💸🚨💸Major Economic Risks and Market Indicators💸🚨💸

The final week of January 2026 is marked by

Federal Reserve Decision: On Wednesday, January 28, the Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates steady at the 3.50% to 3.75% range. This follows a cycle of three rate cuts in late 2025.

Big Tech Earnings: This week is a critical "stress test" for the AI sector as Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, and Apple report earnings. Investors are looking for proof that massive spending on AI infrastructure is translating into meaningful profits.

Copper and Commodities: Copper is increasingly viewed as a vital asset because the "electric stack" (EVs, AI, robotics) depends heavily on it. While China is leading this "electrostate" transition, the U.S. remains more focused on traditional petrostate energy.

100% Tariff Threat on Canada: On Saturday, January 24, President Trump threatened an immediate 100% tariff on all Canadian products if Canada executes a trade deal with China.

Retaliatory Strategy: Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney responded with a "Buy Canadian" strategy, asserting that Canada will not pursue such an agreement without notifying its North American partners.

USMCA Uncertainty: The North American trade agreement (USMCA) is currently in a state of "limbo," as the U.S. administration uses it as a tool for bilateral concessions rather than extending or updating it.

Government Shutdown Threat: There is a 79% chance of a partial government shutdown starting Saturday, January 31.

The Funding Conflict: The deadlock centers on a $1.2 trillion appropriations package. Senate Democrats have vowed to block funding for the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) unless new guardrails are placed on ICE following fatal shootings of U.S. citizens in Minneapolis earlier this month.

Shutdown Scope: While some agencies (like Agriculture and Justice) are already funded, a shutdown would impact Homeland Security, Transportation, and Health and Human Services.

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