$DOGE — Long-Term Reversal Setup (High-Risk / High-Reward)
Dogecoin has been consolidating at long-term support levels for months, showing signs of structural stabilization rather than continuation of the downtrend. Despite three consecutive red weekly candles, price failed to make a lower low relative to the 29-Dec-2025 low — a key signal of selling pressure exhaustion.
Market context strengthens the bullish case:
Bitcoin has not made new lows since November 21, 2025
BTC’s move to $98,000 followed by a retrace at major resistance suggests bullish market structure
The retrace is forming a higher low, implying continuation toward $100,000+
Historically, BTC continuation phases trigger strong altcoin expansions
This setup aligns with a broader market reversal narrative, suggesting $DOGE is transitioning from accumulation to expansion. The thesis assumes this may be the final major altcoin cycle expansion before a longer-term macro bearish phase positioning DOGECOIN for a climax-style bullish move.
🟢 Trade Plan — LONG DOGE
Leverage: 8×
Allocation: 5%
Risk Profile: High probability setup, high volatility exposure
Entry Zone:
$0.1065 – $0.1250
Targets:
$0.1450
$0.1759
$0.2010
$0.2260
$0.2615
$0.3068
$0.3568
$0.3878
$0.4377
$0.5180
Stop loss:
Weekly close below $0.1050
Upside Potential: ~2608% (leveraged projection)
⚠️ Risk warning
This is a probability-based setup, not certainty. Market structure supports reversal, but invalidation is clearly defined. Position sizing, risk control, and discipline are critical.