$RIVER — This is how most traders lose money.
First it moves fast. Price explodes, timeline turns bullish, everyone starts thinking “this thing is unstoppable”. That run to 86 didn’t come to reward late buyers, it came to create belief.
Then it starts slowing down. Look at the chart. Higher highs stop. Momentum fades. Structure starts bending. This is where smart money distributes and retail starts hoping.
After that comes the trap bounce. A small recovery, just enough to make people think the dip is over. But trend was already broken. That bounce was not strength, it was liquidity.
And then comes the real move. Fast. Brutal. No time to react. Exactly what you’re seeing now.
Technically it’s clean. Uptrend is broken, structure flipped bearish, and this drop is continuation, not panic.
Yes, price is likely to fall further from here. But don’t expect a straight line down. On RIVER, 10–15% wick pullbacks are normal. They are designed to shake people out. So don’t chase. Wait for those pullbacks and get a better entry.
Personally, I’m looking at the 33– 27 zone as a major area where price can head next. You can plan your trades around that range.
If you break it down, the market always does three things:
It builds hope.
It creates confusion.
It delivers pain.
The lesson is simple:
Price doesn’t move to make you money. It moves to take it from the impatient.
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