Kevin Warsh is back in the headlines. With prediction markets pricing him at 95% chance of becoming Fed Chair, investors are anxious and curious.
Warsh’s career combines Wall Street experience at Morgan Stanley, public service under George W. Bush, and advisory roles for top investors. Married into the Lauder family, his personal connections add a layer of influence rarely seen in Fed nominations.
Policy Vision
Warsh combines hawkish credibility with a recent openness to easing, making his policy path uncertain. He advocates for coordinated Fed-Treasury efforts, shrinking the balance sheet while potentially cutting rates—a bold but controversial strategy.
Global Implications
The stakes are high. Global liquidity, equities, crypto, and financial stability could all be affected by his decisions. Warsh stands at a crossroads, capable of either calming markets or triggering volatility.
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