According to CME's 'FedWatch,' there is a 15.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points by March, while the likelihood of maintaining the current rate stands at 84.7%. According to Jin10, by April, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut increases to 29.0%, with a 68.0% chance of rates remaining unchanged and a 3.0% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut rises to 49.5%.