bankingsector

HSBC shares are hanging near all-time highs, drifting between HK$135 and HK$138 (about £12.85–£13.00 in London). They’re up just a bit today, but if you zoom out, they’ve rocketed 89% since those April lows. Now everyone’s watching tomorrow’s Q4 and full-year numbers—they want answers on revenue, cost control, and how the $14 billion Hang Seng Bank takeover is working out. Bulls are hoping for more fuel from Asia’s growth story, but honestly, expectations are sky-high. If management doesn’t deliver, some folks will walk away disappointed.

Analysts have made their bets clear. Full-year 2025 revenue forecasts just ticked up again—to $51.06 billion from $50.76 billion—with earnings per share now at $0.91. That’s a nod to confidence in both lending margins and the rebound in other income. This bump shows people still believe HSBC can stay profitable even with all the global uncertainty. If tomorrow’s results back that up, the rally probably keeps going.

Mayank Markanday at Bloomberg Intelligence put it straight: “HSBC’s results will be all about revenue direction and the Hang Seng deal. Strong performance in Asia and real cost cuts have to keep justifying the stock’s premium, but if management goes soft on guidance, that could put the brakes on.”

The next test is at HK$138–HK$140—that’s where a lot of analysts set their targets, and where big sell orders could pile up. If HSBC only matches expectations, that zone might cap the stock and trigger some profit-taking. But if management comes out swinging with better-than-expected numbers or a bullish forecast, the shares could break right through.

Looking at the broader market, people aren’t rushing in blindly. Options volatility is still high ahead of earnings, futures positioning looks steady, and the money flows are pretty balanced. Most traders are playing it safe, preferring strategies with defined risk instead of big, one-sided bets.

There’s one thing quietly working in HSBC’s favor: their push in Asia, especially after finalizing the Hang Seng buyout with minority approval. That gives them a stronger footprint and more efficient operations in the region, and it’s the kind of move that usually props up long-term stability and returns.

In the end, everything hinges on what management says about 2026 and how well those Hang Seng synergies are coming together. Expect HSBC shares to bounce around between HK$132 and HK$140 in the short term while the market sorts out the news, and don’t be surprised if volatility picks up right after the results hit.
~HK $135–138 / £12.85–13.00
Flat to +0.5%
#HSBCEarnings #BankingSector #Write2Earn

While foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have been paring back their Indian equity holdings due to global macro uncertainties, one sector is standing tall: Public Sector Banks (PSBs).
Recent data highlights that India's state-run banks are showing remarkable resilience, attracting significant domestic interest even as broader markets face pressure.
📈 The "PSB" Power Surge
According to Bloomberg and Binance Market Data, state-run lenders like State Bank of India (SBI) and Bank of Baroda have maintained stability driven by three core pillars:
Robust Domestic Demand: India’s credit growth remains strong, fueled by infrastructure and manufacturing expansion.Improving Asset Quality: Years of "cleaning up" balance sheets have resulted in record-low Non-Performing Assets (NPAs).Government Support: Initiatives like the Union Budget 2026-27 proposals for a "High-Level Committee on Banking" have bolstered long-term confidence.
🛡️ Why Foreign Selling Isn't Stopping the Rally
Global investors have been net sellers in the Indian cash market (shedding over ₹41,000 crore in January 2026 alone). However, analysts suggest that:
Attractive Valuations: State-run banks are often seen as "value plays" compared to the high P/E ratios of private sector peers.FDI Reforms: The Indian government is reportedly discussing raising the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) cap in state-run banks from 20% to 49%, which could spark a massive wave of fresh capital.
💡 The Takeaway
The resilience of India’s state-run banks is a "green flag" for the country's financial stability. While global geopolitical tensions create noise, the fundamental strength of the Indian banking sector is creating a unique opportunity for long-term investors.
What’s your strategy? Are you following the "Big Money" exit, or are you betting on the resilience of India's banking giants? 💬 Let’s discuss below!
#India #BankingSector #PSU #BinanceSquare #Write2Earn