Bitcoin ne Friday ko do din ki winning streak ki taraf move kiya, dip-buying ki wajah se price $68,154 tak pohanch gaya (+1.8%). Lekin yeh bounce ek strong trend reversal hai ya sirf temporary relief — yeh sawal abhi bhi market me ghoom raha hai.
📉 Is week Bitcoin 2.5% down hai
📉 2026 me ab tak 23.6% loss
📉 Pichle 7 hafton me se 5 haftay red close
Yani short-term green candles ke bawajood overall structure abhi weak hai.
---
📊 Interest Rate Fears Ne Market Ko Pressure Me Rakha
Crypto market ka sab se bara factor abhi U.S. monetary policy hai.
January meeting ke minutes me Federal Reserve ke kai policymakers ne inflation risks ko dekhte hue rate hikes ya rates ko higher-for-longer rakhne ki support dikhayi.
High interest rates ka simple impact hota hai:
Liquidity kam hoti hai
Risk appetite reduce hota hai
Speculative assets (jaise crypto) pressure me aate hain
Bitcoin historically tab perform karta hai jab liquidity zyada ho. Abhi environment tight hai — isi liye rallies sustainable nahi ho pa rahi.
---
📈 Inflation Still Above Target
Core PCE inflation December me 3.0% Y/Y record hui — jo Fed ke 2% target se kaafi upar hai.
Iska matlab:
Rate cuts delay ho sakte hain
Policy uncertainty continue reh sakti hai
Market me volatility barh sakti hai
Jab tak inflation clearly cool nahi hoti, crypto par pressure rehne ke chances zyada hain.
---
📉 Growth Slowdown Bhi Concern Hai
Q4 GDP sirf 1.4% annualized grow hui — jo 2.8% expectation se kaafi kam thi.
Slow growth + sticky inflation ek tough combination hota hai. Is scenario me central bank aggressively rate cut bhi nahi kar sakta aur growth bhi strong nahi hoti — jis ka impact risk assets par negative hota hai.
---
⚖️ Supreme Court Ruling Ka Angle
Supreme Court of the United States ne ruling di ke Donald Trump ke paas IEEPA ke through reciprocal tariffs impose karne ka authority nahi tha.
Iska direct impact crypto par limited hai, lekin policy changes inflation aur economic outlook ko indirectly influence kar sakte hain — aur traders in developments ko closely monitor kar rahe hain.
---
🎯 Ab Kya Expect Karein?
Agar:
Inflation gradually cool hoti hai
Fed rate cuts ka clear signal deta hai
Liquidity improve hoti hai
Toh Bitcoin me strong upside momentum dekhne ko mil sakta hai.
Lekin jab tak macro uncertainty clear nahi hoti, market me sharp moves — dono direction me — possible hain.
Filhaal Bitcoin ek critical zone me khara hai. Short-term bounce mil raha hai, lekin long-term trend ka confirmation abhi baqi hai.
#bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket $BTC