cpi_btc_watch

According to CoinDesk: Bitcoin remained relatively stable over the weekend, trading between $54,000 and $55,000, following the liquidation of over $220 million in crypto long positions due to a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report. Traders are now eyeing significant events this week, including a U.S. presidential debate and the release of key economic indicators like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI).BTC Trading Flat, But Analysts See ValueWhile major tokens like Ether (ETH), Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), and Ripple’s XRP showed minimal changes, some mid-cap tokens like memecoin Neiro (NEIRO) and BitTorrent token (BTT) surged by 25%. Despite the broader market's sluggish activity, analysts at Presto Research believe Bitcoin is currently undervalued.In a Monday note, Peter Chung and Min Jung from Presto Research stated that Bitcoin’s record-high network security makes it an attractive investment. “The hashrate, or computational power securing the Bitcoin network, has hit an all-time high of 679 EH/s, making it the most secure network by far,” they noted, adding that, “BTC seems grossly undervalued at the moment.”Macroeconomic Factors Impacting BTCBitcoin miners have been expanding capacity since August, and this increase in hashrate typically marks a price bottom for the asset. Market analysts are keeping a close eye on U.S. payroll figures, which recently showed a weaker labor market, and the upcoming CPI and PPI reports, both of which will provide insights into inflation trends.“Lower-than-expected payroll data is dominating the market sentiment at the moment,” Lucy Hu, senior analyst at Metalpha, told CoinDesk. Hu added that volatility could remain high leading up to the Federal Reserve's next meeting.Political Developments to WatchAlongside economic indicators, the market is also focusing on the upcoming presidential debate between Republican candidate Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris. Trump has previously expressed his intention to make the U.S. the "crypto capital" of the world, while Harris is also reportedly considering policies to support the growth of the cryptocurrency industry.With key economic data releases and political events scheduled for this week, Bitcoin could see significant price movement. Traders and analysts alike are closely monitoring market sentiment, with many believing that Bitcoin is undervalued due to its strong fundamentals, despite prevailing macroeconomic concerns.

🚨 🚨 🚨
Hôm nay 13/2/2026 (20:30 giờ Việt Nam), Cục Thống kê Lao động Mỹ (BLS) sẽ công bố CPI tháng 1/2026. Đây là dữ liệu lạm phát quan trọng nhất trong nhiều tuần, vì nó quyết định xem Fed có tiếp tục “higher for longer” hay mở cửa cho đợt cắt lãi suất mới.

1. Dự báo đồng thuận (Dow Jones, Reuters, WSJ, FactSet…)
CPI headline (toàn phần)YoY: 2.5% (tháng trước: 2.7%) → mức thấp nhất kể từ tháng 5/2025MoM: +0.3% (tháng trước: +0.3%)Core CPI (loại trừ thực phẩm & năng lượng)YoY: 2.5% (tháng trước: 2.6%) → thấp nhất kể từ tháng 3/2021MoM: +0.3% (tháng trước: +0.2%)
Nowcast của Cleveland Fed (cập nhật 12/2): headline ~2.36%, core ~2.45% → hơi thấp hơn consensus một chút.

2. Tại sao CPI tháng 1 thường “nóng” và rủi ro upside lớn?
Hiệu ứng đầu năm (seasonal reset): Nhiều công ty tăng giá bảo hiểm y tế, xe hơi, thuốc men vào tháng 1 → core MoM dễ vượt 0.3%.Thuế quan Trump: Các nhà kinh tế Wells Fargo, Société Générale, Natixis đều cảnh báo rằng một phần hàng hóa đã bắt đầu điều chỉnh giá vì tariff → core goods có thể “firm” (tăng mạnh hơn dự kiến).Lịch sử: Tháng 1 thường là tháng lạm phát cao nhất trong năm (Boston Fed đã nhắc lại điều này).
→ Nếu core MoM in 0.4% hoặc headline YoY chỉ giảm xuống 2.6%, thị trường sẽ coi đây là “hot print”.

3. Tác động đến chính sách Fed
Kịch bản cơ bản (xác suất cao nhất ~65–70%): CPI đúng dự báo → lạm phát vẫn đang chậm lại dần, nhưng vẫn trên mục tiêu 2%. Fed sẽ giữ lãi suất ổn định ít nhất đến tháng 6–7/2026 (thị trường đang định giá chỉ ~2–3 lần cắt 25bps trong cả năm 2026).Kịch bản bullish (CPI mát hơn): Headline 2.4% hoặc core MoM chỉ 0.2% → xác suất cắt lãi suất tháng 5 tăng vọt → lợi suất trái phiếu 10 năm giảm mạnh, USD yếu → rất tốt cho crypto.Kịch bản bearish (CPI nóng): Core MoM 0.4%+ → Fed sẽ “hawkish” hơn, có thể đẩy lùi thời điểm cắt lãi suất → lợi suất tăng, USD mạnh → áp lực bán mạnh lên Bitcoin & altcoin.
4. Tác động trực tiếp đến Crypto (rất rõ ràng)

Bitcoin hiện đang sideway quanh 66.000 – 67.000 USD, đã giảm 4 tuần liên tiếp và mất gần 6% tuần này.
CPI mát (thấp hơn dự báo):

→ DXY giảm, lợi suất 10Y giảm → dòng tiền risk-on đổ vào BTC.
→ Mục tiêu gần nhất: 69.000 – 70.000 USD (vùng kháng cự mạnh).
→ Nhiều analyst (Coinpedia, Ted Pillows) cho rằng đây là chất xúc tác cần thiết để BTC breakout.CPI nóng (cao hơn dự báo):

→ JPMorgan và Standard Chartered đều cảnh báo khả năng BTC về 60.000 – 62.000 USD (vùng thanh lý lớn của retail).
→ Ethereum có nguy cơ thủng 2.000 USD, altcoin bleed mạnh.
Kết luận & lời khuyên thực tế

CPI tháng 1/2026 không chỉ là một con số – nó là “cú test” xem lạm phát dưới thời Trump + tariff có thực sự “sticky” hay không. Thị trường crypto đang cực kỳ nhạy cảm: chỉ cần lệch 0.1% ở core MoM cũng đủ gây biến động 3–5% trong vòng 1–2 giờ sau công bố.

Chiến lược ngắn hạn khuyến nghị:
Đang hold $BTC /$ETH : chuẩn bị tâm lý biến động mạnh, có thể set stop-loss dưới 65.000 (BTC) hoặc 1.950 (ETH).Muốn trade event: chờ tin chính thức, tránh FOMO trước 20:30.Dài hạn: nếu CPI mát → xu hướng bull 2026 vẫn nguyên vẹn. Nếu nóng → chỉ là pullback lành mạnh trước khi Fed xoay chiều.
#BTC #CPI_BTC_Watch #Fed

📊 CPI Incoming – What It Means for Crypto Today!
🔥 The CPI report is one of the most important events for Bitcoin & the entire crypto market. Here’s what you need to know:
🟢 If CPI Comes in Lower Than Expected
Inflation is coolingFed likely to stay dovishLiquidity flows back into risk assets
📈 BTC pumps
🚀 Altcoins pump even harder
This is the most bullish scenario.
🔴 If CPI Comes in Higher Than Expected
Inflation is heating upFed may keep interest rates highRisk assets get hit
📉 BTC dumps
💥 Altcoins drop harder
This is the bearish outcome.

⚠️ Be Careful at Release Time!
At 8:30 PM (VN) the market usually creates:
Fake pumpsFake dumpsLiquidity hunts
🔍 Best strategy: WAIT for structure → THEN trade the breakout.
🎯 Quick Market Checklist
✔️ CPI < forecast → Bullish
✔️ CPI = forecast → Neutral → Range
✔️ CPI > forecast → Bearish
#CPIWatch #CPI数据 #CPIAlert #CPI_BTC_Watch

I spent 100 hours analyzing their transactions
What I saw shocked me...
Here’s how government plans to trick you 🧵👇

Before thread start...
⚹ Every day I spend 5+ hours writing Articles.
⚹ Make sure to follow me and bookmark it so you won't lose it and future contents later.
ᗒ 2/9 ⚹ Recently, the market has experienced a significant correction, with the German government being a substantial source of FUD.
⚹ They hold over $1B in $BTC and have gradually started transferring assets to CEX for sale.
⚹ Does such an event have a significant impact?
https://x.com/ArkhamIntel/status/1811064906193486264

ᗒ 3/9 ⚹ This is quite a comical moment since the German government never invested in $BTC but obtained it through other means.
⚹ These 50,000 $BTC were confiscated from the Movie2k website, dedicated to film piracy.
⚹ The funds were confiscated in January 2024.
ᗒ 4/9 ⚹ So far, more than half of their $BTC, over 25,000, has already been sold through several CEXs:
- Kraken
- Coinbase
- Bitstamp
⚹ It's likely they don't leave unsold funds overnight and send them back to their wallets.

ᗒ 5/9 ⚹ This event should not be cited as an example of competent people.
⚹ The government's paper hands simply decided not to diversify their treasury, for which they received criticism from their own deputies
⚹ This is market pressure that won't change the global picture

ᗒ 6/9 ⚹ Very often, the market's reaction to news is much more emotional than the news itself.
⚹ People's emotions don't change, and the $1B figure hits their heads, making them rush to sell, forgetting that $BTC's market cap is $1.14T.
⚹ Sooner or later, a rapid buyback would inevitably begin.

ᗒ 7/9 ⚹ Although the pressure is quite amusing to experienced crypto enthusiasts, it has caused emotional swings for others.
⚹ This is a crucial moment in any cycle before global growth.
⚹ The market simply cannot start growing without shaking out weak hands from positions

ᗒ 8/9 ⚹ Analyzing previous cycles, I can say that this could very well be manipulation by large players.
⚹ Before any global growth, there was a significant correction, knocking people out of the market.
⚹ The current market phase can be described as a Bear Trap.

ᗒ 9/9 ⚹ In the current realities, there are no more reasons for the market to dump, and we have already passed the most crucial moment.
⚹ The best option would be not to touch your assets until autumn and buy them back at current discounts.
⚹ Such patience will definitely bring you life-changing gains in 2024-2025.
ᗒ That's all for today...

HOPE YOU LIKE IT..

#CPI_BTC_Watch #BinanceTurns7 #CryptoPM_Youtube #WhaleAlert #Whale.Alert

Apa itu CPI??
CPI atau Consumer Price Index adalah salah satu indikator makro yang kerap menentukan pergerakan harga Bitcoin dan aset kripto lainnya. Meskipun Bitcoin disebut sebagai aset anti inflasi, akan tetapi harga Bitcoin tidak selalu naik ketika inflasi atau CPI diumumkan naik.
Sebaliknya, yang sering terjadi adalah harga Bitcoin dan aset kripto lainnya malah mengalami penurunan bila CPI naik. Setelah pengumuman CPI ini biasanya naik turun harga berlaku hanya dalam jangka pendek, bisa berhari-hari, atau hanya beberapa jam.
Lalu apa sih pengaruh CPI terhadap pergerakan harga Bitcoin dan kripto??
- Jika CPI diumumkan naik, harga Bitcoin dan aset kripto lain akan turun.
- Jika CPI tetap atau dicut, maka harga Bitcoin biasanya akan naik.
Dalam dunia investasi, suku bunga yang tinggi akan membuat investor lebih tertarik untuk menyimpan uangnya di bank dikarenakan akan mendapat bunga simpanan yang lebih besar.
Walaupun CPI atau inflasi menjadi salah satu indikator makro yang secara historis memberi pengaruh terhadap pergerakan harga Bitcoin.
Namun di luar itu, ada banyak faktor lain yang mempengaruhi pergerakan harga Bitcoin dan aset kripto secara umum ;
>> termasuk perkara regulasi,
>> kebijakan ekonomi-politik,
>> sentimen media sosial,
>> update proyek,
>> pergerakan investor dan bandar,
>> atau bahkan kicauan Elon Musk.

Untuk para investor pemula selalu ingat untuk DYOR sebelum memulai berinvestasi.

#Binance #CryptoExplorerFiesta #CPI_BTC_Watch #cpi

Rocket Pool (RPL) is gaining attention in the crypto space as a decentralized Ethereum staking protocol that allows users to stake ETH without needing to run their own validator node. As Ethereum continues its transition to a proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism, the demand for staking solutions like Rocket Pool is expected to rise. But what does the future hold for RPL? Let’s explore potential price predictions for 2024-2030 and evaluate whether RPL could be a good investment.
Current Overview of Rocket Pool (RPL) 📊
Rocket Pool’s unique approach allows anyone to participate in Ethereum staking, either by running their own node or by staking with as little as 0.01 ETH through its decentralized network of nodes. This flexibility, combined with the ongoing development of Ethereum’s PoS system, positions Rocket Pool as a significant player in the staking ecosystem.
Factors Influencing RPL’s Price in the Coming Years 🚀
1. Ethereum’s PoS Adoption:
- Staking Demand: As more ETH holders seek to stake their assets, Rocket Pool could see increased usage, driving demand for RPL, which is used within the Rocket Pool ecosystem for governance and incentives.
- Ethereum 2.0 Upgrades: Continued upgrades to Ethereum, particularly those that enhance staking or reduce gas fees, could positively impact Rocket Pool’s adoption and, consequently, RPL’s price.
2. Decentralized Staking Popularity:
- Increased Decentralization: With growing concerns about centralization in Ethereum staking, Rocket Pool’s decentralized approach may attract more users, bolstering demand for RPL.
- Competition: While Rocket Pool is a leading decentralized staking protocol, competition from other staking services could influence RPL’s market share and price trajectory.
3. Market Sentiment and Trends:
- Overall Crypto Market: The general sentiment in the cryptocurrency market will play a crucial role in RPL’s price. Bullish trends could see RPL soaring, while bearish conditions might suppress its growth.
- Regulatory Environment: Global regulations concerning staking and DeFi could impact Rocket Pool’s operations and RPL’s value.
4. Tokenomics and Ecosystem Development:
- Supply Dynamics: The circulating supply and staking incentives associated with RPL could influence its price. If more RPL is locked up in staking or governance, reduced supply could drive up the token’s value.
- Ecosystem Growth: The growth of the Rocket Pool ecosystem, including partnerships and integrations with other DeFi protocols, could positively impact RPL’s adoption and price.
Price Predictions for RPL (2024-2030) 🔮
2024: A Year of Growth Amid Ethereum’s Continued Evolution
👇👇👇
$RPL
- Price Prediction: $50 – $75
- Scenario: If Ethereum’s PoS adoption accelerates and Rocket Pool continues to attract users, RPL could see steady growth. The $50-$75 range is achievable, especially if the broader crypto market remains positive.
2025: Expansion and Increased Adoption
- Price Prediction: $75 – $100
- Scenario: By 2025, Rocket Pool could establish itself as a go-to decentralized staking solution. Increased adoption and network growth, coupled with positive market conditions, could push RPL toward the $100 mark.
👇👇👇
$RPL
2026 – 2027: Consolidation and Ecosystem Maturity
- Price Prediction: $100 – $150
- Scenario: As Rocket Pool’s ecosystem matures and Ethereum’s PoS system becomes more entrenched, RPL could benefit from sustained demand. The token could reach $150 if it remains a dominant player in decentralized staking.
👇👇👇
$RPL
2028 – 2030: A Leading Staking Protocol?
- Price Prediction: $150 – $200+
- Scenario: If Rocket Pool maintains its position and continues to innovate, RPL could surpass $200 by 2030. Widespread adoption, new use cases, and a robust ecosystem could drive long-term growth.
Is RPL a Good Investment? Final Thoughts 💡
Rocket Pool’s potential for growth is tied closely to the success of Ethereum’s PoS system and the broader demand for decentralized staking solutions. As Ethereum continues to evolve, Rocket Pool’s role as a decentralized alternative to centralized staking services could make RPL a valuable asset.
However, like all crypto investments, RPL carries risks. Investors should consider the competitive landscape, potential regulatory challenges, and market volatility when assessing RPL’s long-term prospects. That said, for those bullish on Ethereum and decentralized finance, RPL could be a compelling investment opportunity in the coming years.
#RPL #CryptoMarketMoves #CPI_BTC_Watch #SahmRule #SuperMacho

What If You Invested $500 in PepeCoin (PEPE) at Launch?
Imagine investing just $500 in PepeCoin (PEPE) when it first hit the market in 2021. What initially seemed like a playful meme coin driven by internet hype and community trends quickly turned into a record-breaking phenomenon, delivering returns beyond anyone’s wildest dreams.
---
Turning $500 Into $38 Million – The Math Behind the Hype 📊
At its peak, PEPE achieved an astronomical 7,600,000% gain. Let’s break down what this kind of explosive growth could mean:
\$500 \times \left(1 + \frac{7,600,000}{100}\right) = \$38,000,500
Yes, you read that right. A mere $500 investment could have transformed into a staggering $38 million. This kind of life-changing return is incredibly rare and almost exclusive to speculative markets like cryptocurrency, where timing and hype play critical roles.
---
Why Did PEPE Skyrocket? 🚀
Unlike traditional investments with strong fundamentals, PEPE’s growth was fueled by viral momentum. Here’s why it soared:
1. Community Hype: PEPE gained massive traction across social platforms like Twitter and Telegram, driven by its meme appeal and loyal community.
2. Viral Internet Culture: Meme coins spread like wildfire in crypto, as more people talk, buy, and hold, creating a self-fulfilling cycle of demand.
3. Speculative FOMO: Investors piled in, hoping PEPE would "moon." The resulting surge in demand amplified price gains, attracting even more buyers.
However, such meteoric rises often come with extreme volatility. While early adopters saw massive profits, latecomers buying during peak hype often faced sharp losses as the price corrected.
---
Key Takeaways for Investors 🎯
While PEPE’s story is extraordinary, it offers important lessons for anyone exploring the crypto market:
1. Meme Coins Are High-Risk: Gains can be monumental, but losses can hit just as hard. Only invest what you’re prepared to lose.
2. Diversification Matters: Avoid putting all your money into one coin. Spread your investments to minimize risk.
3. Timing Is Everything: Early investors reap the biggest rewards, while those chasing hype can face significant losses.
4. Have a Clear Strategy: Set clear profit-taking and stop-loss levels to avoid emotional decisions during market swings.
---
What PEPE Teaches Us About Investing 💡
The PEPE story reminds us that small investments can sometimes yield unimaginable returns—but these outcomes are the exception, not the rule. Meme coins are highly speculative, driven more by hype than utility or fundamentals. If you’re considering investing in such assets:
Start Small: Stick to amounts you can afford to lose, like $10, $50, or $100.
Do Your Research: Understand the token’s trends, market sentiment, and liquidity before investing.
Prepare for Volatility: Prices can fluctuate wildly. If you’re not comfortable with such swings, meme coins may not align with your risk tolerance.
---
Final Thoughts: A Mix of Luck and Risk 🧩
If you had put $500 into PEPE at launch, the possibility of turning it into $38 million is nothing short of astonishing. However, it’s crucial to remember that these success stories are exceedingly rare and come with enormous risk.
Approach meme coins like PEPE as speculative opportunities—exciting, but unpredictable. Invest responsibly, balance risk with strategy, and never let hype cloud your judgment. In the end, smart investing isn’t just about bold moves; it’s about calculated decisions, learning from the market, and protecting your capital while chasing opportunities.
#BTCNewATH #MicroStrategyJoinsNasdaq100 #MicroStrategyJoinsNasdaq100 #CPI_BTC_Watch #MicroStrategyJoinsNasdaq100 t 🚀