dailytrade

Your bias determines the outcome of your trading.
I'm not exaggerating, if I knew this 9 years ago I would have traded less and profited more.
Understanding Trading Bias
There are 2 types of strategies
Breakouts (Momentum)Reversals (Mean reversion)
There are 2 types of trades
LongsShorts
If we combine these, we get our 4 possible trading biases

Our job is to figure out which ones the current market is rewarding most.
For example:
In a clean trending environment → almost any momentum approach works regardless of your specific entry trigger.In a choppy range → even a perfectly timed momentum breakout gets chopped to pieces.
This is why entry rules, stop placement, profit targets and trade management are roughly 20% of what determines whether you make money.
The other 80% is making sure you’re trading a strategy that’s in sync with current conditions.
If you're not doing this already, this will change your trading forever.
By the way, this article is detailed. It will be hard to do this all in one go, bookmark it so you can revisit later. My goal is to help you trade like a professional and set a clear daily bias system. Not to give you a few bullet points that sound cool but do nothing.

How to Determine your Bias
The Strategy Dimension. The X-axis runs from mean reversion on the left to momentum on the right. It answers whether the market is producing clean directional moves or chopping within ranges.The Directional Dimension. The Y-axis runs from shorts at the bottom to longs at the top. It answers whether conditions are skewed in one direction.
Each day, I start at the centre with no bias at all.
I then use a 4 observation process to incrementally shift my bias towards one of the four options.
Bonus: AK-AI Trading Bias
I built a free AI-Assisted Bias Setter that will:
Automate your daily bias based on what you see across the 4 observations.Output your minimum quality thresholds for all four strategy types, before you open your exchange.
You need to read the article before using it, otherwise it won't make sense.
The 4 Step Process
To determine my daily trading bias, I run through 4 observations:
Observation 1: Velodata Return Buckets (Direction)Observation 2: Velodata Spaghetti Chart (Strategy Type)Observation 3: Orion Tick Count and Volume (Activity Level)Observation 4: TradingView Watchlist (Magnitude + Structure)
1. Velodata Return Buckets (Direction)

The first observation targets the Y-axis. Are conditions skewed toward longs or shorts?
Velodata's return buckets show you the distribution of coin returns over the last 4 hours: how many coins are up, how many are down, and by how much.
Step 1: Open Velodata
Step 2: Go to Market View → Return Buckets
Step 3: Set to 4H view
Step 4: Read the colour distribution across the entire chart
Step 5: Select your directional bias:
Extreme green = Strong long biasMild green = Mild long biasMixed = NeutralMild red = Mild short biasExtreme red = Strong short bias
Output: Your position on the Y-axis (long/neutral/short)
2. Velodata Spaghetti Chart (Strategy Type)

Direction is set, now you need a strategy type.
The return buckets told you whether things are broadly up or down. The spaghetti chart tells you how they're moving.

Step 1: Open Velodata → Price Changes (just right of Return Buckets)
Step 2: Set to 4H view
Step 3: Filter by Top Gainers. Focus only on coins that moved 5%+
Step 4: Filter by Top Losers. Again, focus only on coins that moved 5%+
Step 5: Look across the distribution and select your strategy type:
Clean staircases across most movers = Strongly favours momentumMostly staircases with some chop = Mildly favours momentumMixed = NeutralMostly choppy with occasional direction = Mildly favours mean reversionPure chop = Strongly favours mean reversion
Output: Your position on the X-axis (momentum/neutral/mean reversion)
3. Orion Tick Count and Volume (Activity Level)

You now have initial positions on both axes.
This next observation doesn't add a new lean: it strengthens or weakens the one you already have.
Tick count is the number of individual trades executed on a coin in a given period.
High tick = lots of active participants.Low tick = quiet market.
Volume is the dollar amount traded.
A coin can have high tick but low volume (lots of small trades), or low tick but high volume (a few large trades).

Step 1: Open Orion Terminal
Step 2: Set TRD (5M) for tick count
Step 3: Set VOL (5M) for volume
Step 4: Look at the overall picture across the top 10 coins (not individual assets)
If the top 10 coins have been averaging 20,000 ticks for six consecutive days and today they drop to 10,000, that’s a noticeable decrease. Conditions are slowing down. This leans toward mean reversion.If the top coins have been averaging 3,000-5,000 ticks and today they jump to 10,000, that’s a noticeable increase. Conditions are picking up. This leans toward momentum.
Step 5: Compare today's numbers to your recent baseline (last 5–7 sessions) and adjust your existing bias.
Noticeably elevated = Strengthen momentum biasSlightly above normal = Lean slightly harder into momentum biasNormal = No adjustmentSlightly below normal = Lean slightly harder into mean reversion biasNoticeably depressed = Strengthen mean reversion bias
Output: Your bias strengthened, weakened, or unchanged (record the adjustment)
If you haven't been tracking tick count and volume for at least a week, treat this observation as unclear and make no adjustment. You need context before this data point becomes useful.
4. TradingView Watchlist (Magnitude + Structure)

3 observations in, you have a bias. This next one confirms or challenges it.

Your TradingView watchlist shows the percentage change on the day for every coin you track. Unlike Velodata (which shows the previous 24 hours), TradingView measures from 00:00 UTC.
That distinction matters: TradingView's numbers are what other traders see. When a coin shows +15%, that's the number driving FOMO in the broader market. It's the number that drives behaviour.
Step 1: Open your TradingView watchlist and sort by % change
Step 2: Note the magnitude of the top 5 gainers and losers: are the moves large or small?
Step 3: Open the charts of those top movers and count how many show clean staircases vs. choppy ranges
Step 4: Compare against your bias from Observations 1–3 and confirm or adjust:
Large moves + clean structures = Leans towards momentumSmall moves + choppy charts = Leans towards mean reversion
Output: Your final confirmed bias: ready to enter into the AK-AI Trading Bias tool

This observation rarely overrides the first three entirely, but it can nudge you in either direction.
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