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Confusion over competing United States and Iranian proposals to end the war is deepening uncertainty about the fragile two-week ceasefire between the longtime foes, with officials presenting sometimes differing accounts of what has been agreed.
At the centre of the dispute is an Iranian 10-point plan, which is the basis for the upcoming negotiations with the US in the Pakistani capital, Islamabad, this weekend. President Donald Trump has called the plan “workable”, despite initially handing Iran a 15-point plan that Tehran dismissed as “maximalist
However, hours after the ceasefire, US officials, including Trump, offered mixed responses to Iran’s proposal and what Washington understood the key points of the document to be
Vice President JD Vance dismissed the publicised version as little more than a “random yahoo in Iran submitting it to public access television
Adding to the confusion, the Persian version of the plan notably diverges from the English one on a key sticking point between Washington and Tehran – Iran’s right to enrich uranium
The Trump administration presented Iran with what officials described as a 15-point framework aimed at ending the war, and potentially achieving a permanent end to hostilities between the longtime foes
While the full details have not been publicly released, reports by US media outlets and others included the following elements:
Donald Trump on Wednesday said that “many of the 15 points” in the proposal had been agreed upon, signalling optimism about a broader deal
“We are, and will be, talking tariff and sanctions relief with Iran,” the US president added
However, Iran rejected the US framework, with its Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei confirming that Tehran had received messages from the US via intermediaries. He dismissed Washington’s demands as “maximalist” and “illogical
Tehran advanced its own positions in a 10-point counterproposal, which included demands of compensation for damages suffered by Iran during the war, a commitment to non-aggression by the US, Iran retaining its leverage over the Strait of Hormuz, and acceptance of Iran’s nuclear enrichment
Trump on Wednesday said the US has received a 10-point proposal from Iran, which he called a “workable basis on which to negotiate
However, later in the day, confusion over what the official US position was started to become apparent
Trump turned to his Truth Social platform to attack those he accused of spreading inaccurate accounts of supposed agreements
“There is only one group of meaningful ‘POINTS’ that are acceptable to the United States, and we will be discussing them behind closed doors during these Negotiations,” Trump said, without providing details. “These are the POINTS that are the basis on which we agreed to a CEASEFIRE
The US president, in a separate post, said there will be “no enrichment of Uranium, and the United States will, working with Iran, dig up and remove all of the deeply buried (B-2 Bombers) Nuclear ‘Dust
White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt downplayed certain reports about the Iranian proposal and said that Trump would reject any uranium enrichment by
Tehran“The president’s red lines, namely the end of Iranian enrichment in Iran, have not changed,” Leavitt told reporters. While Iran says it is not seeking nuclear weapons, it insists on enriching its own uranium as a national right
Moreover, Leavitt said Iran’s initial 10-point proposal was “literally thrown in the garbage” by Trump’s team, but Tehran later put forward a revised “more reasonable and entirely different” plan, one which could be aligned with Trump’s own 15-point proposal
“We don’t really concern ourselves with what they claim they have the right to do; we concern ourselves with what they actually do,” he added in remarks made to reporters in Budapest
He said he had seen at least three different drafts of the proposals. “The first 10-point proposal was something that was submitted, and we think, frankly, was probably written by ChatGPT,” Vance said
In short, yes. At least two different versions of that same plan appear to exist, one in English and the other in Persian
In the Persian version, made public by Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, it said the “US has, in principle, committed to” a series of demands, most notably the “acceptance of enrichment”, signalling that any deal must recognise Iran’s right to continue enriching uranium
However, this phrase was allegedly omitted from the English-language version.
Iran has consistently framed uranium enrichment as a sovereign right, while the Trump administration and its ally Israel call the demand a non-starter and a red
For years, Tehran has maintained that its nuclear activities are strictly civilian and that it has no plans to build nuclear weapons
In 2015, it reached an agreement with the US to curb its nuclear programme in return for relief from sanctions. In 2018, however, Trump pulled Washington out of that landmark accord and reimposed sanctions on Iran
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A stronger-than-expected payrolls print landed into a market closure, leaving Bitcoin to absorb the macro signal before stocks reopen.
At 8:30 on a Friday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics dropped one of the more surprising jobs reports of the past year. The US economy added 178,000 jobs in March, and the unemployment rate ticked down to 4.3%.
When put against a Wall Street consensus calling for roughly 57,000 nonfarm payrolls, the number was an especially emphatic beat. It was the strongest monthly gain since the end of 2024, higher than every estimate in Bloomberg's recent surveys.
NYSE, Nasdaq, and bond markets were closed in observance of Good Friday, sealing off every traditional channel through which a data surprise like this would normally be absorbed and repriced.
For one of the most market-sensitive economic prints on the calendar, the timing couldn't have been more off.
That's why what follows is going to be a rare and instructive moment: a forced experiment in what price discovery looks like when all the normal machinery is offline.
February had been a disaster. The economy lost 92,000 jobs that month, nearly double the expectations, marking the fourth monthly job loss in nine months. The revisions compounded the damage: December was revised down by 65,000, from +48,000 to -17,000, and January was revised down by a further 4,000.
Heading into Friday, even the most optimistic forecasters weren't calling for anything like a rebound of this scale.
Much of March's gain came from healthcare. A strike of healthcare workers had pulled February's payrolls down, and the sector added 76,000 jobs in March to push overall job growth higher. Positions were also added in construction, transportation, and warehousing.
While the bounce itself was real, it's important to note that a big part of the growth was mechanical, a catch-up from previous disruptions rather than evidence of a suddenly recovered economy.
Still, 178,000 jobs against expectations of 57,000 isn't a rounding error. The implications for the Federal Reserve's policy were immediate and precise: if the numbers come in strong, crypto prices will fall because interest rate expectations rise.
Stronger labor data reduces the Fed's space to cut rates, and tighter financial conditions ripple through every risk asset. So the question here wasn't whether markets would react, but which markets, specifically, were still open to react at all.
Bitcoin remained the only major financial market still trading as the March report landed at 8:30 AM ET, with the NYSE closed and sentiment sitting at extreme fear levels. The crypto Fear and Greed Index had printed at 9 out of 100 on Apr. 3, a reading so low that it doesn't even signal panic anymore, but something closer to exhausted resignation. Bitcoin touched $66,300 in the morning, with traders seemingly focused on the incoming data.
The hot jobs print wasn't bullish or bearish per se. It was complicated, and Bitcoin, in its flatness, reflected that complexity with more fidelity than a knee-jerk rally or selloff would have.
Consider what the report contained beneath its surface. Long-term unemployment stood at 1.8 million, up 322,000 over the year. Federal government employment, under relentless contraction, continued to fall. The ongoing war with Iran still threatens to strain a delicate labor market, and developments in AI that lead to mass layoffs add further uncertainty.
When the opening bell rings Monday morning, stocks will be absorbing not only a jobs report that surprised every forecaster, but also whatever develops over the Easter weekend in a geopolitical environment that remains acutely fragile, with an ongoing Iran conflict still reshaping oil prices and the dollar simultaneously.
Bitcoin's stillness means that the market is holding a position, aware that any verdict rendered now may need to be revised entirely by what Monday brings.
The real judgment on March's jobs report will arrive when the institutions that normally lead this conversation are finally allowed back in the room. Until then, the numbers belong to the bond market, the foreign exchange desks, and the one financial market that does not observe holidays.
For three days, Bitcoin is the only clock still ticking. The question is whether it keeps accurate time
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Rising EV adoption in the United States is reducing gas tax revenues, putting the Highway Trust Fund under increasing financial strain.
The auto industry proposes replacing the outdated gas tax with a weight-based vehicle fee so all vehicles contribute to road funding.
The shift is driven by long-term funding gaps, inflation, and the transition away from gasoline-powered cars, which threatens infrastructure financing.
The growing share of electric vehicles and the expected increase in EV sales this year amid soaring gasoline prices are reducing the revenues for the U.S. Highway Trust Fund, which pays for America’s roads.
Most of the revenue for the fund comes from the 18.4% per gallon federal gas tax, which hasn’t been changed since 1993.
Yet, over the past 30 years, the funding for the trust fund has been declining, due to inflation and the fact that EVs now represent 2.5% of total light-duty vehicles in operation in America, and the market share of internal combustion engine vehicles has dropped by 24 percentage points since 2016.
The new oil crisis and U.S. national average gasoline price topping $4 per gallon could prompt more potential buyers to look to purchase an EV—whose owners, obviously, don’t pay the federal gas tax.
More EVs means lower revenues for the Highway Trust Fund, which is teetering on bankruptcy every year and needs to be regularly backfilled by Congress. Therefore, the current oil crisis “shows why it’s time to dump the gas tax,” John Bozzella, president and CEO of Alliance for Automotive Innovation, said this week.
The auto industry trade association, which represents most U.S. and foreign automakers in America, proposes to scrap the federal gas tax and replace it with a single fee on every vehicle based on weight.
This policy would guarantee every vehicle on the road contributes something to maintaining America’s transportation network,” Bozzella wrote in a blog post this week.
We can drive with the devil we know… or get behind a new policy that requires every vehicle on the road to contribute to the upkeep of America’s roads and bridges.”
The auto industry group’s latest analysis of U.S. EV data showed at the end of March that a total of 164 electric models are now available for sale in the U.S. Although EV sales fell last year from 2024, electric vehicles represented 9.6% of new U.S. light-duty vehicle sales for full-year 2025.
EVs now account for 2.5% of total light-duty vehicles in operation in the United States, while the market share of internal combustion engine vehicles, whose owners pay the federal gas tax, has decreased by 24 percentage points since 2016.
In January 2026, hybrids were 19% of all light-duty vehicle sales, the Alliance’s CEO Bozzella said.
As gasoline prices spike due to the war in the Middle East, the U.S. might see an additional shift in the marketplace toward EVs and hybrids, the industry group said.
Online searches for EVs are up 20 percent since the conflict began,” Bozzella wrote.
The Alliance for Automotive Innovation argues that a single, weight-based vehicle fee can fully fund the Highway Trust Fund, unlike the gas tax.
For over 20 years, transportation spending has exceeded the dedicated revenue flowing into the trust fund as the gas tax has failed to keep pace with inflation, and vehicles are becoming more fuel-efficient, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget says. It estimates that the Highway Trust Fund would be insolvent by 2028.
Since increasing the federal gas tax is a nonstarter in any Congress, the solution to fix the problem with the dwindling revenues for the Highway Trust Fund is to replace it with a fee for every vehicle using the road, regardless of how it’s powered/fueled, the Alliance for Automotive Innovation says.
Bozzella notes that the proposed weight-based vehicle fee is simple, and nobody would need to track how many miles you drive, like some proposals out there, to determine what you pay.
Beyond that, it’s an overdue policy change that insulates infrastructure spending – a $3.5 trillion national need over the next decade – from gas price shocks and inevitable geopolitical disruptions,” Bozzella noted.
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