ratewatch

Just saw the latest CME FedWatch numbers dropping. Markets are pricing in a massive 98.1 percent chance the Fed holds rates steady through June, with only a tiny 1.9 percent shot at a 25-basis-point cut.

By July the picture shifts a bit. Probability of no change drops to 84.7 percent while a 25bp hike jumps to 13.6 percent and a cut sits around 1.6 percent.

This kind of sticky rate outlook keeps pressure on risk assets but also sets up clearer expectations. $BTC and $ETH are watching these flows closely, same with $SOL as liquidity dynamics play out.

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