signals

Following our Fibonacci comparative analysis of Ethereum (ETHUSD) between its 2022 and 2026 Bear Cycles almost 3 months ago (December 01 2025, see chart below) where we predicted the consolidation and January's - February's crash, we decided to take this a step further and add the 2018 Bear Cycle in the mix too:

The results are even more mind-blowing and help put the rest of the 2026 Bear Cycle into greater context.
With the 1W CCI sequences identical among the three Cycle fractals, we are now at a point where Stage 2 of the Cycle has already started. The question is of course how low can it go?
A relatively fair approach would be expecting it to drop and bottom somewhere within a potential -82% decline (as was the 2022 Bear Cycle) and the 1.5 Fibonacci extension from the Bull Cycle's last pull-back. As you can see this has been consistent on the 2018 Cycle too.
A triple bottom below the CCI's -100.00 (oversold) level would also be a fair estimate (again was an optimal long-term buy entry in 2018 and 2022). A break and 1W closing above its 1D MA200 (red trend-line) has also confirmed the start of the new Bull Cycle in both 2019 and 2023.
As a result, we have a cyclical Buy Zone within the $900.00 - $750.00 range.
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Crypto trading is one of the most emotionally intense financial activities in the world. It runs 24/7, prices can swing wildly in minutes, and your emotions are always right there in the middle of every decision you make.
Most traders spend hours studying charts and researching coins. Very few spend time studying the one thing that influences every single trade , their own mind.
Why Crypto Feels So Different 🎢
The stock market closes. Crypto never stops. That alone creates a psychological environment most people are completely unprepared for.
Imagine waking up at 3 AM to a notification. $BTC in just dropped 12% in 20 minutes. Your heart races, your palms sweat, and every rational thought about your "long-term plan" disappears instantly.
That is not a personality flaw. That is your brain treating financial loss the same way it treats physical danger, triggering a fight-or-flight response. And in trading, that response almost always makes things worse.
Fear and Greed: The Two Kings of the Market 😨🤑
The entire crypto market essentially runs on two emotions, cycling between them constantly.
When prices rise, greed takes over. People throw logic out the window and pour money in because they do not want to miss out. This is the phase where even your taxi driver is telling you which coin to buy.
Then comes the crash. Fear takes over, panic selling begins, and the same crowd screaming "to the moon" is now declaring #crypto dead forever.
The painful irony? The best time to buy is when everyone is terrified. The best time to sell is when everyone is celebrating. But doing the opposite of your emotions is one of the hardest things a human being can do.
FOMO: The Trade That Ruins Portfolios 😤
#FOMO , "Fear Of Missing Out " is probably the single most dangerous trap in crypto. It is behind more bad trades than almost anything else.
Here is how it plays out. You watched a coin for weeks and decided not to buy. One morning it is up 300%. Social media explodes with people posting gains. You convince yourself it is "still early" and you buy , right at the top , just in time to watch it crash.
The antidote is simple in theory but hard in practice. Have a plan before the market moves, not after. When you already know what you want to buy and at what price, a sudden pump becomes a missed opportunity , not an emergency you need to chase.
Loss Aversion: Losses Hurt More Than Wins Feel Good 📉
Nobel Prize winning psychologist Daniel Kahneman discovered that losing $100 feels roughly twice as painful as gaining $100 feels pleasurable. This plays out in crypto in very specific ways.
The most common example is holding a losing trade too long. A coin drops 40% and instead of cutting the loss, you hold , because selling makes it "real." Sometimes it recovers. Sometimes it drops another 60%, turning a manageable loss into a disaster.
Ask yourself honestly before every decision: "Am I holding this because I believe in it, or because I cannot face the pain of losing?"
Overconfidence: The Silent Account Killer 😎
A few big wins can do strange things to a person. You start feeling like you have cracked the market, that your strategy is bulletproof, that you have some edge others do not.
So you take bigger risks. You skip your own rules. You stop using stop losses because you are "sure" about this one.
Then the market humbles you , and it always does , and the damage is far worse than it would have been if you had stayed disciplined. The best traders stay humble no matter how good their recent run has been.
Revenge Trading: The Fastest Way to Blow an Account 🔥
You make a bad trade. The frustration is instant. So you jump straight into another trade with more money, trying to win it back immediately.
This is revenge trading, and it is almost always a disaster.
You are not thinking about setups or strategy at this point , you are reacting emotionally, which is the worst possible state for making financial decisions. Poker players call this being "on tilt."
The only real solution? Close the app. Go for a walk. The market will still be there tomorrow.
Social Media is Messing With Your Head 📱
Twitter, Telegram, Reddit, Discord , crypto communities are powerful, and their influence on how you feel about the market is mostly negative.
In a bull market, everyone posts gains and hypes projects. Doom gets drowned out. You start believing everyone is getting rich and you should be taking bigger risks.
In a bear market, doom dominates everything and it becomes nearly impossible to think clearly about real opportunities.
The healthiest thing you can do is reduce your social media consumption during active trading periods. Make decisions based on your own research, not what someone with 200,000 followers tweeted at 2 AM.
What Emotional Discipline Actually Looks Like 🧘
Emotional discipline is not about feeling nothing. It is about building habits that stop your emotions from making decisions for you.
Keep a trading journal. Write down every trade, why you made it, what you felt at the time, and what happened. Over time you will start seeing patterns in your own behaviour — maybe you always make bad trades late at night, or panic sell on the first dip after entering.
Set rules in advance. Decide your position size, your stop loss, and your profit target before you enter a trade. When the rules are already set, there is nothing left for your emotions to decide.
What Consistently Profitable Traders Think Differently 🏆
Traders who make money over the long term share a few key mindset traits.
They accept losses as part of the process. A losing trade is not a failure , it is just information.
They are patient. They wait for setups that meet their criteria instead of trading out of boredom or excitement.
They focus on process, not outcome. They know that if they execute their strategy correctly and consistently, results will follow.
Most importantly, they are comfortable with uncertainty. No one knows what the market will do next. Accepting that, rather than fighting it, brings a kind of psychological peace that allows for much clearer thinking.
A Honest Question Worth Asking 🤔
Not everyone should be actively trading, and there is nothing wrong with that.
If trading is affecting your sleep, your mood, or your relationships , those are serious #signals .A simpler approach of buying solid assets and holding through volatility often produces better results with far less psychological damage.
The market will always offer opportunities. Your mental health does not get a second chance.

💡 The crypto market is one of the most psychologically demanding environments you can put yourself in. The volatility, the noise, the 24/7 pressure , all of it pushes you toward emotional decisions.
Understanding your own psychology does not guarantee profits. But it gives you a real fighting chance.
Every time you catch yourself about to FOMO in, every time you walk away instead
#Psychologyofcrypto