ethusd

Following our Fibonacci comparative analysis of Ethereum (ETHUSD) between its 2022 and 2026 Bear Cycles almost 3 months ago (December 01 2025, see chart below) where we predicted the consolidation and January's - February's crash, we decided to take this a step further and add the 2018 Bear Cycle in the mix too:

The results are even more mind-blowing and help put the rest of the 2026 Bear Cycle into greater context.
With the 1W CCI sequences identical among the three Cycle fractals, we are now at a point where Stage 2 of the Cycle has already started. The question is of course how low can it go?
A relatively fair approach would be expecting it to drop and bottom somewhere within a potential -82% decline (as was the 2022 Bear Cycle) and the 1.5 Fibonacci extension from the Bull Cycle's last pull-back. As you can see this has been consistent on the 2018 Cycle too.
A triple bottom below the CCI's -100.00 (oversold) level would also be a fair estimate (again was an optimal long-term buy entry in 2018 and 2022). A break and 1W closing above its 1D MA200 (red trend-line) has also confirmed the start of the new Bull Cycle in both 2019 and 2023.
As a result, we have a cyclical Buy Zone within the $900.00 - $750.00 range.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea!
$ETH #ETH #Ethereum #ETHUSD #ETHUSDT #signals

Ethereum is currently navigating a precarious technical landscape as it teeters on the edge of the psychological $2,000 barrier.
​February 17, 2026 — Ethereum (ETH) is entering a high-stakes period of price discovery as it battles persistent bearish momentum. After failing to sustain a move above the $2,000 mark earlier this week, the second-largest cryptocurrency is now eyeing critical support levels that could determine its trajectory for the remainder of Q1.
​The Technical Outlook: Bearish Dominance
​The daily chart for ETH/USD currently paints a cautious picture for investors. The price action is characterized by diverging bearish Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), a classic signal that the downtrend is gaining strength rather than exhausting itself.
​While ETH saw a modest rebound after testing the $1,740 support zone, the "relief rally" lacks the volume typically associated with a definitive bottom. As long as the price remains suppressed under these EMAs, the market bias remains firmly to the downside.
​The Bear Case: A Drop to $1,500
​The $1,740 level is now the line in the sand for bulls. Technical analysts suggest that a clean break and a daily close below this support could trigger a "liquidation cascade," as stop-loss orders for long positions are likely clustered just beneath it.
​Target: If $1,740 fails, the next major historical support sits at $1,500.​Sentiment: Current derivatives data shows a slight increase in short positioning, suggesting that traders are bracing for a potential breakdown.
​The Bull Case: The Path to $2,630
​Despite the bearish pressure, a reversal is not off the table. For a bullish trend reversal to be confirmed, Ethereum must achieve a decisive breach of the $2,125 resistance.
​The Catalyst: Reclaiming $2,125 would flip the script, potentially turning previous resistance into a new floor.​The Target: Once cleared, the path opens toward the $2,630 resistance zone, which served as a significant distribution point in early January.
​As of today, ETH is trading in a tight range between $1,937 and $1,980. The market's indecision is reflected in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is currently hovering in neutral-to-bearish territory. Investors are advised to watch the $1,740 level closely; the reaction there over the next 48 hours will likely set the tone for the coming weeks.
#ETHUSD
$ETH