eurusd

Morning briefing: $EUR /USD has risen but could limit its upside

The Dollar Index is holding below immediate resistance near 100.54 but the current dip could pause at 99 for a bounce back towards 101-101.50. Euro has risen but could limit its upside to 1.1550-1.16 before declining back to 1.14. EURINR has risen as expected and may continue to rise towards 107/108 while above support near 105-105.50. EURJPY is stable above 183 and can rise within the 180-185 region while USDJPY has almost reached to test 160 from where a rejection is likely. USDCNY is bullish to 6.90/95 while above 6.85. Aussie is headed towards 0.71/72 while the Pound has broken below 1.33 and if sustains can head towards 1.32 and negate our earlier expected rise towards 1.35/36 respectively. The USDINR may trade within 92.00-92.50 region for the near term unless a breakout on the upside is seen.

The US Treasury yields are holding well above their support and are attempting to bounce back. That keeps intact our bullish view. The yields can rise more in the coming days. The US Fed meeting outcome and its economic projections will need a close watch tomorrow. The German Yields have come down. A corrective dip can be seen in the near term. Thereafter the yields can resume their up move. The 10Yr GoI is moving up thereby reducing the chances of seeing a dip first. The bias is positive and there is room to rise more.

Global equities remain broadly weak despite some short term rebounds. Dow has bounced but while below 48000 the outlook stays bearish towards 46000. DAX can rise towards 24000 before potentially reversing lower towards 22000. Nifty has recovered slightly but needs a decisive break above 24000 to negate the downside risk towards 22000-21740, with immediate support at 22900-22800. Nikkei also rebounded but the medium term outlook remains negative towards 50000-48000 while below 56000. Shanghai continues to remain weak and may keep oscillating within the 4000-4200 range for some time.

Crude prices have pulled back but remain supported, with Brent holding above $98-$100 and WTI above $94-$96, keeping the upside open towards $108-$110 and $104-$106 respectively. Precious metals look weak in the near term as Gold may decline towards $4800 and Silver towards $75-$70 before any pause or reversal appears. Copper has rebounded from support near $5.60 and may stay range bound within $6.00-$5.60 for some time. Natural Gas continues to hold above the $3.00-$2.80 support zone and can gradually rise towards $3.50 if the support holds.
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$EUR /USD slips below 1.1500 amid USD uptick; focus remains on central bank meetings
EUR/USD attracts fresh sellers as reduced Fed rate cut bets help revive the USD demand.
Concerns about the energy crisis undermine the Euro and contribute to capping the pair.
The downside seems cushioned ahead of the FOMC/ECB policy decisions later this week.

The $EUR /USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish recovery move from the 1.1415-1.1410 area, or from the vicinity of the lowest level since July 2025, and edges lower during the Asian session on Tuesday. Spot prices currently trade just below the 1.1500 psychological mark, though the downside seems cushioned ahead of the key central bank event risks.

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is scheduled to announce its policy decision at the end of a two-day meeting on Wednesday, which will be followed by the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on Thursday. Policymakers have been grappling with the prospect of renewed inflationary pressures on the back of a sharp rise in Crude Oil prices since the outbreak of the war in Iran. Hence, the policy outlook will play a key role in determining the near-term trajectory for the EUR/USD pair.

In the meantime, bets that the Fed could delay cutting interest rates assist the US Dollar (USD) to attract some dip-buying and stall the overnight pullback from its highest level in May 2025. The shared currency, on the other hand, is undermined by worries that high Crude Oil prices could weigh on the Eurozone economic growth, given the region’s heavy reliance on imported energy. This, in turn, acts as a headwind for the EUR/USD pair and warrants caution for bullish traders.

Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump repeated his call to nations to help reopen shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. This leads to a modest recovery in the global risk sentiment, which is evident from a positive tone around the equity markets and might keep a lid on any meaningful appreciation for the safe-haven Greenback. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before positioning for the resumption of the EUR/USD pair's downtrend.
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​EUR/USDC Technical Analysis

​Market Trend: The pair is in a clear downward trend (Bearish) since the peak recorded at 1.1662. Price is currently hovering at 1.1407, very close to the local support low of 1.1406.
​Moving Averages (EMA): Price is under significant pressure from all major EMAs (7, 25, 99). The alignment of these averages confirms the strength of the bearish momentum, with the EMA 7 acting as immediate dynamic resistance.
​MACD Indicator: We see a slight bullish crossover with faint green bars starting to form, but they remain below the zero line. This indicates a weakening bearish momentum or a failed accumulation phase so far; it is not a strong buy signal unless it breaks above the zero line.
​STOCH RSI: Currently in the mid-range (55) after bouncing from oversold territory. This provides room for movement in both directions, but the bias remains negative as long as the price stays below nearby resistances.

​Professional Trading Recommendation

​Trade Type: Support Breakout Watch or Short-term Corrective Bounce.
​Sell Scenario: If the price breaks the 1.1400 level with an hourly candle close, targets will be around 1.1350.

​Buy Scenario (Scalping): Enter only if the price breaks above 1.1425 (surpassing EMA 25).

​Targets:

​Target 1: 1.1490 (EMA 99 zone).
​Target 2: 1.1550.
​Stop Loss (SL): Hourly close below 1.1380.

​The Euro Under Pressure: Will it Break Below 1.1400? 📉

​The EUR/USDC pair continues its clear negative performance, with bears dominating the price action since the drop from the 1.1662 highs. The price is now testing a critical psychological and technical support zone around 1.1406.

​Technically, all indicators are pushing lower. Despite MACD showing signs of a potential rebound, the lack of buying liquidity above the moving averages suggests that any upward move might just be a temporary correction before resuming the downtrend.

​The smart move now is to wait for a confirmed break below 1.1400 to follow the trend, or a solid breakout above 1.1430 to start a bullish correction targeting higher liquidity zones. Always remember that strictly following your Stop Loss is the key to surviving this
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Any one can explane me in #EURUSD for (1-lot's) how much should I target TP bezus even i make profit i get lose too on commetion why this happen to me, any one please explane me this

If you’re holding a significant amount of $USDT and feeling uneasy—just like I am—as the DXY (US Dollar Index) continues its downward spiral in early 2026, it’s time to talk strategy. Shifting some of your holdings into $EURI (Euro Stablecoin) is a defensive move you seriously need to consider.
Here’s my breakdown of why this pivot makes sense right now:
1. The EUR/USD Reversal: A Historic Shift
As of late January 2026, the Euro has been on an impressive run, gaining over 13% against the Dollar in the past year.
While the USD is buckling under the weight of massive national debt and aggressive Fed rate cuts, the Euro remains stable due to the ECB's tighter monetary policy.The Takeaway: Holding $EURI allows you to benefit from "double exposure." You maintain the stability of a pegged asset while profiting from the Euro’s appreciation against the greenback.
2. MiCA Compliance: Your Legal Safe Haven
Let’s be honest: $USDT has always operated in a legal gray area, plagued by constant audit rumors and regulatory pressure. $EURI is a different breed. It is one of the first stablecoins to fully comply with the EU’s MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets) framework.
Security: MiCA requires issuers to back the coin with 100% cash reserves and highly liquid assets, all under the direct supervision of EU central banks.Transparency: While $USDT remains a "gray zone" asset, $EURI is as transparent as it gets. In a volatile market, that transparency is your best insurance policy.
3. Diversification is Survival
"Don't put all your eggs in one basket" is the golden rule for a reason. Keeping 100% of your stables in $USDT means you're betting your entire portfolio on the health of the U.S. economy.

Moving a portion to $EURI balances your geopolitical risk. Historically, when U.S. inflation spikes, the Euro becomes the primary destination for global flight-to-safety capital.
4. Seamless Liquidity on Major Exchanges
By 2026, liquidity is no longer an issue. Top-tier exchanges like Binance and OKX have heavily promoted Euro trading pairs to stay ahead of global regulations.
Slippage is now minimal. You can swap between $EURI, $BTC , and $ETH ...just as efficiently as you would with USDT, but without the "Dollar-drag" devaluing your purchasing power.
🚩 My Execution Strategy
The Ratio: I’m personally rotating 30% to 40% of my stablecoin stash into $EURI. This provides a solid defensive hedge while keeping enough USDT on hand to "buy the dip" during flash crashes.Pro Tip: Keep an eye out for brief "dead cat bounces" in the USD. Those technical recoveries are the perfect windows to swap into $EURI at a discount.
The Bottom Line: $EURI is more than just another token; it’s an escape hatch from a declining U.S. monetary system. It keeps you in the crypto game while insulating you from the Dollar’s slow-motion train wreck.

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All posts are for informational purposes only | Personal insights, not financial advice | DYOR
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