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🌍 MACRO PICTURE | Feb 18, 2026
While everyone is watching crypto charts, the bigger picture is telling an important story.
Traditional markets today:
S&P 500 +1% | Nasdaq +1.4% | Dow +0.6%
Stocks are green — but crypto is still red. When capital flows into tech stocks instead of crypto, that's a clear signal: risk appetite exists, but it's selective. Traders are choosing "safe" growth over speculative assets right now.
What's actually moving markets:
Nvidia +2% on the back of a massive Meta AI chip deal. Amazon +2.3% after Pershing Square increased its stake by 65%. Micron +6% on institutional buying. The AI trade is alive — but the money is staying in equities, not rotating into crypto.
Meanwhile, Palo Alto Networks dropped 8% on weak guidance. The software sector is under pressure from AI disruption fears. ETH and altcoins don't exist in a vacuum — they feel this sentiment directly.
Oil jumped 3% on U.S.-Iran tensions. Geopolitical risk historically isn't crypto-friendly in the short term.
The real event to watch — Friday PCE:
FOMC minutes today are just the appetizer. The main course is Friday's PCE data — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Markets are in a holding pattern until then.
PCE comes in hot → more selling pressure on crypto. PCE comes in soft → potential relief rally. Either way, volatility is coming.
Bottom line:
Institutional money is moving — but it's going into Nvidia, Amazon, and Micron. Not Bitcoin. Not Ethereum. Until that changes, every crypto bounce remains a selling opportunity.
Bearish bias on BTC and ETH unchanged.
#Crypto #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #BTC #Ethereum #ETH #MacroAnalysis #FOMC #FederalReserve #PCE #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BrainerPro #Nasdaq #StockMarket #Nvidia #CryptoNews #Trading #Investing #MarketAnalysis
While everyone is watching crypto charts, the bigger picture is telling an important story.
Traditional markets today:
S&P 500 +1% | Nasdaq +1.4% | Dow +0.6%
Stocks are green — but crypto is still red. When capital flows into tech stocks instead of crypto, that's a clear signal: risk appetite exists, but it's selective. Traders are choosing "safe" growth over speculative assets right now.
What's actually moving markets:
Nvidia +2% on the back of a massive Meta AI chip deal. Amazon +2.3% after Pershing Square increased its stake by 65%. Micron +6% on institutional buying. The AI trade is alive — but the money is staying in equities, not rotating into crypto.
Meanwhile, Palo Alto Networks dropped 8% on weak guidance. The software sector is under pressure from AI disruption fears. ETH and altcoins don't exist in a vacuum — they feel this sentiment directly.
Oil jumped 3% on U.S.-Iran tensions. Geopolitical risk historically isn't crypto-friendly in the short term.
The real event to watch — Friday PCE:
FOMC minutes today are just the appetizer. The main course is Friday's PCE data — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Markets are in a holding pattern until then.
PCE comes in hot → more selling pressure on crypto. PCE comes in soft → potential relief rally. Either way, volatility is coming.
Bottom line:
Institutional money is moving — but it's going into Nvidia, Amazon, and Micron. Not Bitcoin. Not Ethereum. Until that changes, every crypto bounce remains a selling opportunity.
Bearish bias on BTC and ETH unchanged.
#Crypto #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #BTC #Ethereum #ETH #MacroAnalysis #FOMC #FederalReserve #PCE #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BrainerPro #Nasdaq #StockMarket #Nvidia #CryptoNews #Trading #Investing #MarketAnalysis
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