🚨 BREAKING: Prediction Markets’ Spot Volume Up ~29× in the Past Year
Data from the latest industry research shows that prediction market trading activity has exploded, with spot volumes increasing by roughly 29 times over the past year — a signal of mainstreaming adoption and deepening liquidity across platforms.
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📈 What’s Driving This Growth
• Total notional trading volume across prediction markets soared from ~$15.8B in 2024 to over $63.5B in 2025, a more than 4× annual increase — and weekly activity has mirrored that broader trend.
• Platforms like Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion Labs have taken the lead, accounting for most of this volume surge.
• Growth isn’t limited to politics — markets now include sports, economics, crypto events, and macro outcomes, drawing in a wider user base.
This isn’t just a flash in the pan — prediction markets are showing sustained, structural growth across categories.
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🧠 Why This Matters
✔ Liquidity expansion: Markets once viewed as niche betting platforms are now processing institutional-scale volume, attracting both retail and institutional participants.
✔ Mainstream signal markets: The rise in notional trading volume reflects broader trust in using these markets not just for bets, but as indicators of real-world odds on elections, macro policy, sporting events, and economic releases.
✔ Infrastructure evolution: With growth, regulatory frameworks and integrated liquidity paths are improving — making prediction markets more credible and durable as a financial instrument.
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