$RAVE saw a brutal 19.1% drop backed by a massive 14.4x spike in volume on #RAVEUSDT.P. When price collapses this hard with that kind of activity, it usually signals a liquidity sweep — forced liquidations, panic exits, and opportunistic positioning all happening at once. This is where weak hands get shaken out… and where stronger players often step in quietly.$RAVE
Right now, the key question isn’t why it dropped — it’s how price reacts next.
📍 Critical Level: 0.46625
If 0.46625 holds, we could see a relief bounce. Watch closely for exhaustion signals on the 15m or lower timeframes:
Long lower wicks
Bullish pin bars
Strong engulfing candles
Aggressive buy-side absorption
If buyers defend this zone, a short-term recovery toward 0.53438 — and possibly 0.60995 — becomes realistic before any further downside continuation.
Relief bounces after liquidation cascades are common. Markets rarely move in straight lines — especially after vertical drops. 📉➡️📈
🔴 Short Scenario
The higher-probability short setup would be a failed bounce into 0.53438 or 0.60995, followed by bearish confirmation:
Rejection candles
Clear lower-high structure
Momentum shift back to sellers
If that happens, targeting a move back toward 0.46625 makes sense, with a stop placed above the retracement swing high. Let the market prove weakness — don’t anticipate it.
🟢 Long Scenario (Scalp Only)
If you see sharp bullish reversal signals at or slightly below 0.46625 — strong engulfing candles or aggressive reversal wicks — a controlled scalp into nearby resistance could be valid. But this is strictly a confirmation-based trade with tight risk management.
This does not look like a confirmed macro bottom yet. It looks like the first potential stabilization attempt after a heavy flush.
⚠️ Breakdown Risk
If price closes decisively below 0.46625 with strong momentum, expect continuation toward 0.41114. That would confirm sellers remain fully in control.
On the flip side, if bulls reclaim and close above 0.53438 — and especially above 0.60995 — that would invalidate the immediate bearish bias and open the door for a broader structural recovery toward equilibrium levels.$RAVE
Right now, patience wins. Let the bounce develop. Then evaluate how price behaves at resistance. The reaction at those zones will reveal whether this was just a liquidity event… or the start of something bigger.
📝 This is not financial advice. It’s an educational breakdown of current market structure. Always manage risk and wait for confirmation — volatility cuts both ways.$RAVE
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