$BTC MACRO SHOCK: HORMUZ ODDS COLLAPSE

Polymarket now prices only an 18% chance the Strait of Hormuz stays navigable through month-end, a sharp escalation in disruption risk. Institutions should watch energy, inflation, and cross-asset volatility; a shipping shock can force fast de-risking across risk assets, including crypto.

This matters now because macro desks move slowly until a bottleneck hits funding and sentiment at the same time. I think this is the kind of geopolitical pressure that can trigger an outsized BTC volatility bid before consensus catches up.

Not financial advice. Manage your risk.

#Bitcoin #Crypto #Macro #Polymarket #Geopolitics

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