🚨 THE CEASEFIRE IS HOLDING ON PAPER. EVERYTHING ELSE IS FALLING APART.
No one's shooting. Everyone's pushing. Here's what's actually happening:
✅ No direct fire since yesterday, technically the ceasefire "holds"
✅ Israel keeps hitting Hezbollah in Lebanon, says it's OUTSIDE the deal
✅ Iran's tightening control over Hormuz, slowing traffic, not stopping it. Yet.
⚠️ Hezbollah is already back to attack
⚠️ Iraqi militias hinting they could JOIN IN
⚠️ Iran's message to Washington couldn't be clearer: rein in Israel or this collapses
Iran doesn't need to fire a single missile to cause maximum pain; they're sitting on the world's most critical energy chokepoint and SQUEEZING slowly.
And every day Israel bombs Lebanon, Iran has more justification to close the tap further
This is far from stability.
Every player is testing exactly how far they can push before the whole thing breaks, while the U.S. is stuck in the middle, vouching for a deal Israel is actively undermining and Iran is slowly suffocating.
