⚡ Weekend geopolitics vs $BTC structure testing $75K

CryptoQuant is basically saying: the worst of the bear might be behind us, but don’t rush to call a new bull just yet. The data hints at “cycle exhaustion,” not confirmation of reversal. Meanwhile, price action is sitting in that uncomfortable middle zone where conviction usually goes to die.

Add macro into the mix and it gets messier. Traditional markets close for the weekend, but risk doesn’t. Saturday brings US–Iran talks, while political noise around the Hormuz Strait is already heating up again. $BTC, as usual, is stuck reacting to headlines it can’t price in advance.

This isn’t a trend market right now, it’s a headline-driven range with leverage sitting underneath. If talks go smoothly, BTC can attempt a clean push above $72K and grind into $75K. If not, we’re just as likely to rotate back into the $65K–$72K box.

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