Ceasefire talks between the US and Iran are showing real progress, with reports of a “principle agreement” to extend the truce beyond April 22. The focus now shifts to technical negotiations around nuclear enrichment limits and access to the Strait of Hormuz both critical for long-term stability.
Markets have responded quickly. The S&P 500 is up around 10% since late March, the Nasdaq has recorded a rare 10-day winning streak, and oil prices have dropped nearly 5% as geopolitical risk premium starts to unwind.
Still, the situation remains fragile. Iran has warned that continued US naval pressure could destabilize the ceasefire, while Trump maintains that the war is نزدیک its end but keeps strategic pressure in place.
The direction is improving, but for markets, execution matters more than optimism.
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