NEW FED. SAME PATTERN?
History doesn’t repeat perfectly… but markets rhyme.
2014 — Janet Yellen takes over.
Bitcoin peaks… then crashes 87%.
2018 — Jerome Powell takes over.
Bitcoin peaks… then crashes 82%.
2022 — Powell gets reappointed.
Bitcoin peaks… then crashes 77%.
Now it’s 2026.
A new Fed Chair is stepping in.
Markets are stretched.
Risk assets are euphoric.
Bitcoin already printed a cycle high near $126K.
And suddenly the crowd thinks the danger is gone.
That’s usually when risk is highest.
Because Fed transitions aren’t just political headlines.
They often signal a shift in monetary policy.
New Chair = new priorities.
New priorities = potential liquidity changes.
And when liquidity changes… Bitcoin moves violently.
Is the correlation perfect? No.
But 3 major Fed transitions.
3 major Bitcoin collapses.
That’s not something smart money ignores.
If Kevin Warsh turns more hawkish than markets expect, risk assets could reprice fast.
Does that guarantee a crash? No.
But it does mean this is the moment to stop trading emotionally… and start paying attention to macro.
The biggest market moves often begin with a political shift nobody fully priced in.
So the real question is:
Is this cycle different… or just familiar in disguise?
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