Ethereum is in its second-longest bear market at 282 days as of the June 6 bottom. Historical data shows bear markets have lasted 335 days (2018), 222 days (2022), and the current cycle approaching that middle range. More significantly, the time required to reach new all-time highs after each bear market has extended dramatically: 267 days after 2018, 1,106 days after 2022, and 1,382 days in the most recent cycle. The pattern suggests each recovery takes progressively longer, with bear-market bottoms shifting from December (2018, 2022) to June (recent cycles). If the current cycle follows the longest historical recovery timeframe, ETH may not establish new all-time highs until 2030, signaling that multi-year consolidation and patience may be required before significant upside momentum resumes.
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