Bias

Right now my bias is:

Short-term: neutral to slightly bullish bounce

Swing bias: still cautious / sell-the-rally until BTW reclaims higher resistance cleanly

This is not a clean trend-following long yet. It’s more of a high-volatility reaction market.

Long setup💡✅

Long idea 1: pullback scalp long

Entry zone: 0.078 – 0.082

This zone has been acting like a reactive support band after the heavy selloff.

Stop loss: 0.0745

If price loses this area, bounce thesis weakens.

Targets:

TP1: 0.088

TP2: 0.096

TP3: 0.105

Long thesis🧾

Price already flushed hard from the local blow-off top and is trying to stabilize.

If BTW holds above 0.078, dip buyers may push it back into the 0.088–0.096 supply zone.

Good only as a tactical bounce long, not a blind hold.

Long idea 2: breakout confirmation long🚀💡

Entry: 4H close above 0.096 or breakout-retest hold

Stop loss: 0.088

Targets:

TP1: 0.110

TP2: 0.124

TP3: 0.140

Why this long is better

If BTW reclaims 0.096, it starts repairing structure and shows buyers are absorbing post-dump supply.

Short setup📉💡✅

Short idea 1: fade resistance

Entry zone: 0.094 – 0.100

This is a key supply/rejection zone from the latest distribution.

Stop loss: 0.106

Targets:

TP1: 0.086

TP2: 0.078

TP3: 0.070

Short thesis

Market is still below major impulse highs.

Sharp 24h drawdown means many trapped buyers may sell into relief rallies.

Unless price reclaims 0.096–0.100 with strength, rallies can still be faded.

Short idea 2: breakdown short📉✅🧾

Entry: Break below 0.074

Stop loss: 0.079

Targets:

TP1: 0.068

TP2: 0.060

TP3: 0.052

Why this matters

If BTW loses 0.074, it likely revisits the lower panic zone near the 24h low and possibly deeper.

Key levels

Support

0.078 – 0.082

0.074

0.068

0.060

Resistance

0.088

0.096 – 0.100

0.105 – 0.110

0.124+

Best plan

If you want the safest approach:

Long only if 0.078–0.082 holds

Short on rejection near 0.094–0.100

Flip bullish only above 0.096/0.100 reclaim

Flip bearish hard below 0.074

#trading #BTC走势分析