fed

Anfang 2026 lebt der Kryptomarkt nicht nur von "Erzählungen", sondern von Liquidität. Während sich viele mit dem täglichen Lärm ablenken, verfolgen große Investoren eine Kennzahl, die niemals lügt: M2 Global (die Geldmenge).
Historisch gesehen hat Bitcoin als eine "Liquiditätsbarometer" fungiert. Wenn die Federal Reserve (FED) Geld injiziert oder ihre Abfluss stoppt (Quantitative Tightening), neigt BTC dazu, explodieren.
Status der FED: Nach der Sitzung im Januar 2026 bleiben die Zinssätze im Bereich von 3,5% - 3,75%. Obwohl es keine sofortigen Kürzungen gab, hat die FED offiziell das Kontraktionsprogramm (QT) beendet, was bedeutet, dass der "Wasserhahn" bereit ist, wieder aufgedreht zu werden.

An diesem Dienstag sagte der Präsident der Vereinigten Staaten, Donald Trump, in einem Interview mit Fox Business, dass die Wahl von Jerome Powell als Präsident der Federal Reserve im Jahr 2017 „ein großer Fehler“ war und dass er im Nachhinein Kevin Warsh hätte wählen sollen.

Trump besteht darauf, dass Warsh, wenn bestätigt, die US-Wirtschaft viel stärker ankurbeln könnte als bisher geschehen, und behauptet sogar, dass die Wirtschaft unter seiner Führung um bis zu 15% oder mehr wachsen könnte, eine Zahl, die von Ökonomen als höchst unwahrscheinlich angesehen wird.

Former U.S. President Donald Trump has expressed strong confidence that his preferred candidate for Chair of the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, could help accelerate U.S. economic growth to an extraordinary level of up to 15%, highlighting the ambitious political and economic expectations surrounding the potential nomination.
In an interview with Fox Business, speaking with Larry Kudlow, Trump referred to Warsh as the “runner-up” during a previous search for a Fed Chair and reiterated his long-standing criticism of current Fed Chair Jerome Powell, calling Powell’s appointment a mistake.
Trump argued that, if confirmed by the U.S. Senate, Warsh could guide the American economy toward significantly faster growth, although he did not clarify whether the 15% figure referred to annual GDP growth or another economic metric.
Growth Expectations Far Above Historical Norms
Economists have noted that Trump’s suggested growth rate would be far beyond historical averages. Over the past several decades, U.S. economic growth has typically ranged between 2% and 3% per year, even during strong expansionary periods.
A sustained 15% growth rate would represent an unprecedented acceleration for a mature economy like the United States, raising questions about feasibility, inflationary pressure, and long-term stability.
Trump’s comments nevertheless signal a clear preference for a pro-growth, low-interest-rate policy stance at the Federal Reserve—a position he has repeatedly advocated during his political career.
Political and Institutional Challenges Ahead
While Trump’s remarks underscore confidence in Warsh’s economic vision, the confirmation process in the Senate could prove challenging. Lawmakers across the political spectrum have historically emphasized the importance of Federal Reserve independence, particularly amid persistent concerns over inflation and financial stability.
Critics argue that political pressure on the central bank could undermine its credibility, while supporters believe a more growth-oriented Fed could better support economic expansion during periods of uncertainty.
Kevin Warsh, a former Fed governor, is generally viewed as market-savvy and experienced, but his potential nomination would likely reignite debates over the balance between monetary discipline and economic stimulus.
Implications for Markets and Crypto Sentiment
Although Trump did not directly reference financial markets or digital assets, discussions around Federal Reserve leadership, interest rates, and economic growth are closely watched by both traditional and crypto investors.
Historically, expectations of lower interest rates and looser monetary policy have tended to increase risk appetite across asset classes, including cryptocurrencies. However, analysts caution that political statements alone do not guarantee policy outcomes, especially given the Fed’s institutional independence.
Conclusion
Trump’s remarks highlight the broader political debate over the future direction of U.S. monetary policy and economic growth. While the prospect of 15% growth remains highly speculative, the discussion reflects ongoing tensions between growth ambitions, inflation control, and central bank autonomy—issues that continue to influence global financial and crypto markets alike.
This article is for informational purposes only and reflects public statements and market commentary. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Readers should conduct their own research before making any decisions.
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