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When Donald Trump returned to the White House, much of the crypto sector expected a familiar scenario: pro-crypto rhetoric, friendlier regulation, institutional inflows, and renewed appetite for risk — all coming together to ignite a new bull market.
Instead, as 2025 draws to a close, the crypto market is finishing the year significantly lower, trading at barely 20% of its peak during the Biden era.
Even with Trump in office, crypto remains far below its former highs, fueling a growing debate over whether the market is simply experiencing a difficult phase — or whether something deeper has fundamentally shifted.

Analysts: The Market Is Failing Despite “Perfect Conditions”
Analyst Ran Neuner summarized the situation bluntly: “It’s time to acknowledge the crypto market is failing.”

According to Neuner, 2025 had every ingredient for a bull run — abundant liquidity, a pro-crypto administration, spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, Michael Saylor’s massive BTC accumulation, sovereign involvement, and macro assets like stocks and gold reaching historic highs.
Yet the market failed to translate these fundamentals into price appreciation.

Neuner argues that classic explanations — four-year cycles, liquidity timing, or IPO-style narratives — no longer hold up. In his view, only two scenarios remain:
A hidden structural seller or mechanism is suppressing prices,

or the market is preparing for what he calls the “mother of all catch-up trades” as prices eventually realign with fundamentals.

A Different View: Nothing Is Broken — This Is How Markets Reset
Market commentator Gordon Gekko disagrees with the idea that the crypto market is dysfunctional. He argues the current pain is intentional and structural — not a sign of failure.
“Sentiment is at its lowest in years. Leveraged traders are being wiped out. It’s not supposed to be easy; only the strong will be rewarded,” he wrote.
This view frames today’s downturn as a classic cleansing phase — a necessary reset before a new market cycle can begin.

The New Rules of the Game: Institutionalization Is Changing Crypto’s Rhythm
One of the biggest differences between this cycle and previous ones is that institutions now shape price action — not retail speculation.
During Trump’s first term (2017–2020), crypto operated in a largely unregulated environment.

Retail speculation, unchecked leverage, and reflexive momentum drove prices far beyond fundamentals.
Under Biden, the market became institutionalized:
regulation and enforcement reshaped risk-takingETFs redirected capital toward structured productsliquidity flowed into TradFi wrappers rather than on-chain ecosystems
The result is a more stable but significantly less explosive market.

Bitcoin and Ethereum hold their ground, while altcoins collapse to multi-year lows.
Analyst Shanaka Anslem argues that the idea of a “unified crypto market” no longer exists.

According to him, 2025 has split into two separate worlds:
Institutional Crypto: BTC, ETH, and ETFs — low volatility, long horizonsAttention Crypto: millions of tokens fighting for fleeting liquidity, most collapsing within days
Waiting for a traditional alt-season is, as he puts it, “waiting for a market structure that no longer exists.”

Macro Pressures Add Another Layer of Uncertainty
Bitcoin’s decline toward its 100-week moving average reflects concerns about an AI-driven stock bubble, uncertainty around the next Federal Reserve chair, and end-of-year tax-loss selling in equities.
Nic Puckrin of Coin Bureau warns that Bitcoin could briefly dip below $80,000 if selling accelerates.

Is Crypto Breaking — or Transforming?
Whether the crypto market is malfunctioning or simply evolving remains an open question. What is clear, however, is that expectations built around Trump’s pro-crypto stance are now colliding with a market structure shaped during the Biden era — and the old cycle playbook no longer applies.
Discussions among economists and investors suggest the market may be undergoing either a brutal repricing or preparing for a powerful upside move that will define crypto’s emerging post-institutional identity.

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Axios reports Kamala Harris is stepping toward another run for the White House.
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Präsident Donald Trump unterzeichnete am Donnerstag im Weißen Haus eine umfassende Exekutivverordnung, die die Regulierung von künstlicher Intelligenz in den Vereinigten Staaten drastisch umgestaltet. Die neue Richtlinie entzieht den einzelnen Bundesstaaten effektiv die Möglichkeit, eigene KI-Gesetze zu erlassen, und zentralisiert stattdessen die Regulierungsbehörde unter der Bundesregierung. Washington wird nun in der Lage sein, Klagen, finanziellen Druck und die Hebelwirkung von Bundeszuschüssen zu nutzen, um einen einheitlichen nationalen Ansatz durchzusetzen.
Während der Unterzeichnungszeremonie im Oval Office sagte Trump, dass Unternehmen nicht in einer Umgebung operieren können, in der sie die Genehmigung von Dutzenden von Landesregierungen einholen müssen: