$BTC has done the hard part already. It reclaimed the 68k zone, pushed into 69k, and is now sitting right under a well-known supply area. From here, the market usually doesn’t give a straight answer. It gives tests.

Let’s talk through both paths.

Scenario 1: Pullback First, Then Expansion (Healthy Continuation)

This is the green-arrow scenario.

Price pushes into 69–70k, stalls, then pulls back toward the 67.5k–68k demand zone.

What to watch here:

The pullback should be slow, not impulsive

Wicks into support with quick recoveries are a good sign

No strong acceptance below 67.5k

If BTC dips, taps that zone, and holds, that’s not weakness. That’s liquidity recycling.

Why this matters:

Late longs get shaken out

Shorts jump in early

Strong hands absorb

That’s how fuel gets built for the next leg.

If this plays out cleanly, the market usually rotates back up and takes another run at 70k, with 72–73k coming back into play after.

This is the kind of pullback you want to see in an up-move.

Scenario 2: Immediate Push Up, Then Sharp Rejection (Bull Trap Risk)

This is the red-arrow scenario.

BTC pushes straight into the 70–71k resistance band without resetting, without cooling off.

What to watch:

Long upper wicks near 70–71k

Volume spike without follow-through

Fast rejection back below 69k

If price gets rejected hard from that upper box and drops back into the range quickly, it usually means supply is still active up there.

In that case:

Market goes back into range trading

Chop increases

Direction gets delayed

This doesn’t mean a crash. It just means more time, more frustration, more fake moves.

Right now:

Trend is not broken

Momentum is okay, not explosive

Structure is rebuilding, not expanding

BTC already did the panic move to 60k. It already reclaimed 65–63k like expected. Now it’s testing whether buyers are strong enough to keep price above reclaimed levels.

Strong markets:

Hold reclaimed zones

Pull back shallow

Don’t give back structure easily

Weak markets:

Break up, fail fast

Can’t hold retests

Give back gains quickly

So far, BTC is behaving like the first, not the second.

How I’d Treat This:

Above 68k: bias stays neutral to bullish

Acceptance below 67.5k: step back, let it show hand

Clean hold + momentum: then we talk continuation

This is not the moment to force trades. This is the moment to observe behavior, not predict candles.

Let price confirm. Let structure do the talking.

Markets don’t pay impatience. They pay positioning.

Stay sharp.