$BTC Bitcoin has never stayed broken forever. The real question is are you mentally strong enough to weather the storm?
Let me give it to you straight, no sugarcoating. $BTC is currently trading around $68,000 $70,000 after a devastating -46% crash from its $126,296 ATH (October 2025). The biggest capitulation event we've seen since 2022 and you FELT it, didn't you? 😤
🔍 TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN:
RSI Daily: 28–33 → Strongly Oversold (historically precedes relief rallies)
365-day MA: BROKEN first time since March 2022 (bearish signal)
200-week MA: $58,000–$60,000 Historical Cycle Bottom Zone 🎯
Key Psychological Level: $70,000 reclaim this = confidence returns
200-day EMA Resistance: $95,700 full recovery signal
📊 THE MACRO PICTURE:
⚠️ US Spot ETFs turned NET SELLERS in 2026 (lost ~$6.2B since Nov 2025)
⚠️ Fed holding rates at 3.50–3.75% no cuts expected all year
⚠️ Treasury Secretary Bessent rejected crypto bailouts (the Feb 6 crash trigger)
✅ Over $16B in leverage liquidated "flush" events often mark lows
✅ Crypto Fear & Greed Index: EXTREME FEAR (8) contrarian BUY signal historically
✅ February historically = BULLISH month for BTC (+14.3% average)
🎯 TRADE LEVELS:
| Scenario | Level |
|----------|-------|
| 🐂 Feb Recovery Target | $74,750–$84,900 |
| 🏆 Full Recovery Target | $95,700–$100,000 |
| 🛡️ Critical Support | $60,000 (200-week MA) |
| 🚨 Bear Continuation | Below $58,000 → $38,000–$50,000 |
💬 My Veteran Take:
I've watched Bitcoin die "for good" 11 times in my career. It hasn't died yet. But I also know the difference between a dip and a cycle correction. This feels more like the 2022 cycle not the 2020 March COVID crash. Meaning: this likely takes MONTHS to recover, not weeks.
Scale in. Don't blow your entire stack at $70K. Think in tranches. Think long. Think like a investor, not a gambler. The players who DCA'd at cycle bottoms in 2018 and 2022 are now legends in their communities. 👑
The $60K zone is where history says markets BOTTOM. If we touch it that's your zone. Not financial advice. This is what my 25 years tells me.
💬 Comment your BTC price target for EOY 2026 below! 👇
Let's see what the community thinks. Follow for more honest analysis!
