Most traders see $BTC at $67k and think, “5% down? Cheap.”
That’s how accounts get liquidated.
After three cycles, one rule changed my PnL:
Velocity > Price.
1️⃣ The Aha Moment: Why Support Fails
Support doesn’t break because it’s weak.
It breaks because the approach speed is too strong to absorb.
There are only two ways price reaches a level:
• The Elevator → Fast, vertical drop (liquidity gap).
• The Staircase → Slow grind with lower highs (distribution).
One is opportunity. The other is a trap.
2️⃣ The Elevator (Flash Liquidation Move)
When $BTC drops $3k in 5 minutes, that’s forced selling — not fundamentals.
It creates a liquidity hole.
Why it works:
• Liquidations fuel the move.
• Massive volume spike.
• Immediate snap-back (mean reversion).
Rule:
Look for a vertical candle + volume climax.
That’s high-quality volatility.
Elevators exhaust. They bounce.
3️⃣ The Staircase (The Death Grind)
This is where retail gets destroyed.
Slow bleed.
Lower highs.
Weak bounces.
Volume fades on every push up.
This isn’t panic. It’s distribution.
Rule:
If price grinds into support with decreasing bounce volume — don’t touch it.
Staircases don’t bounce.
They break.
4️⃣ The Physics (Volume / Time)
High Velocity (Elevator):
Big move in short time → Mean Reversion.
Low Velocity (Staircase):
Slow grind over long time → Trend Continuation.
Trading isn’t guessing. It’s absorption math.
5️⃣ My $BTC $67k Checklist
Before longing support:
1. How did we get here? Elevator or Staircase?
2. Is there a volume climax at the low?
3. Does price bounce immediately? (If it sits → likely breakdown)
The Elevator gives you a gift.
The Staircase takes your capital.
Next time BTC taps support, ask yourself:
Did we take the stairs… or the elevator? 👀