Bitcoin doesn’t move randomly — it moves in phases. Fear, accumulation, expansion, euphoria… then reset. Here’s how the 2020–2026 cycle unfolded:
🟢 2020 – The Spark ($7K → $29K)
Post-halving momentum ignited a new bull phase. Institutional interest quietly entered the market, setting the foundation.
🚀 2021 – The Euphoria Peak ($29K → $69K ATH)
Retail FOMO exploded. $BTC hit its all-time high near $69,000 before volatility shook the market.
🔴 2022 – The Reset ($46K → $15.5K)
Capitulation phase. Liquidity crises and panic selling drove BTC to cycle lows near $15,500. Smart money accumulated.
🟡 2023 – The Recovery Structure ($15.5K → $35K)
Higher lows formed. Confidence slowly returned. Market transitioned from fear to cautious optimism.
🔵 2024 – Compression Phase ($35K → $42K+)
Post-halving stability. Volatility tightened. Accumulation intensified beneath the surface.
🟣 2025 – Expansion Returns ($42K → $58K+)
Momentum rebuilt. Institutional flows strengthened. Market entered controlled bullish structure.
⚡ 2026 – The Decision Year (~$60K Zone)
BTC now trades near a macro decision zone.
History shows that after compression comes expansion — but direction depends on liquidity and breakout confirmation.
📊 Cycle Insight:
Bitcoin’s 4-year rhythm typically follows:
Halving → Expansion → Peak → Capitulation → Accumulation → Expansion
We are currently in the post-accumulation expansion phase, but confirmation requires strong break above previous macro resistance.
🎯 Key Question:
Will 2026 repeat the explosive pattern of 2021 — or evolve into a more institutional-driven super cycle?
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