BTC/USD remains inside a 93,750–87,500 consolidation zone as markets expect a 25 bps rate cut to 3.75%. Cooling U.S. labor data and softer inflation support the move, but medium-term sentiment is bearish:

• ETF outflows: –$87.7M last week

• Extreme Fear Index at 20

• AI, not blockchain, highlighted in new U.S. National Security Strategy

A sustained breakout below 87,500 targets 75,000 → 68,750, confirming trend continuation. A move above 93,750 opens the way to 100,000 but requires stronger demand than the market currently shows.

Trading Scenario (Weekly):

SELL STOP 87,450 → TP 75,000 / 68,750 | SL 92,300

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