📍#BTC Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report 2025-12-24
【Core Viewpoint】：Indicators are dead-crossing everywhere. The bulls are collapsing into the abyss. Longing here is suicide.
Bitcoin is presenting a hideous bearish alignment across all timeframes (12H, 4H, 1H). RSI is below 50, and both MACD and KD are in dead crosses. The market can't even squeeze out a decent bounce. Don't dream of buying the bottom; this is a falling knife that will sever your hand.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Small Bearish (12H Level)
Market Status:
The 12H close is suffocating below 94,070. With RSI in the weak zone and a KD dead cross, the price action is a classic "slow bleed" downward grind. Overhead resistance is heavy. Unless whales aggressively pump it back above 94,070, this is the start of a long journey down.
【12H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Every bounce is a gift to the bears. Short the highs.
• Defense/Pivot: 94,070
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit): 90,407 ～ 94,070 (Allocate 70% capital, be patient)
• Breakdown (Chase): Close below 76,890 (Allocate 30% capital)
• Take Profit (TP): 76,890; 63,419
• Stop Loss (SL): 97,062
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📊 Mid-Term Trend: Medium Bearish (4H Level)
Market Status:
The 4H chart looks even worse. MACD histogram has flipped negative with a dead cross, showing consistent bearish momentum. If the price fails to reclaim 87,824 or gets rejected at 91,199, these are prime shorting entries.
【4H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Watch for weak rejections and aggressively position shorts.
• Defense/Pivot: 91,199
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit): 87,824 ～ 91,199 (Allocate 60% capital)
• Breakdown (Chase): Close below 85,283 (Allocate 40% capital)
• Take Profit (TP): 85,283; 81,909; 79,368
• Stop Loss (SL): 92,279
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📊 Short-Term Trend: Small Bearish (1H Level)
Market Status:
Short-term price is suppressed below 87,675. ADX breaking above 20 signals a high probability of bearish extension—the downtrend is accelerating. Short-term bulls have no defense; every rally is a dead cat bounce.
【1H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Follow the trend. Use resistance levels to enter.
• Defense/Pivot: 88,750
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit): 87,675 ～ 88,750 (Allocate 70% capital)
• Breakdown (Chase): Close below 86,411 (Allocate 30% capital)
• Take Profit (TP): 86,411; 85,337; 84,073
• Stop Loss (SL): 89,233
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📝 Summary & Advice
For Holders:
If your cost basis is above 94,000, any bounce now is your exit liquidity. The support at 76,890 is fragile. Once it breaks, we will see 63,419. Abandon hope.
For Non-Holders:
Patience is a virtue. Wait for a bounce into the 87,800 - 94,000 zone to scale into shorts, or watch for a breakdown below 85,283 to chase the momentum. This is a feast for the bears—dig in.
