This is just an idea from Admin's research on the market situation to share with you. If there is anything wrong, I apologize in advance. Always Do Your Own Research
Talking about the macroeconomic situation and technical warning signs in December 2025. It reflects the great concern about the "trap" of the current market momentum. Here are the main points that you should pay attention to:
1. ⚠️ Liquidity Crunch:
- Reverse Repo (RRP) Collapse: The decline in RRP to an all-time low ($8–10 Billion) is a sign that the "reserve money" in the banking system has been used up. If a banking crisis suddenly occurs, the Federal Reserve may not have enough money to cope.
- $7 Trillion Money Market Funds (MMF): Don't be mistaken that the money in the MMF will come to buy Crypto! In fact, the Fed's money injection is an injection of money into the banking system to save cash flow
2. 📊 Bitcoin $BTC : Danger Zone "Banana Zone"
- Triple Top & RSI Divergence: On the Weekly Chart, we see the RSI signal falling while the price is still high (Bearish Divergence). This is a sign of "exhaustion" of the Bull Market that occurred in 2021.
- Distribution Phase: The $115k - $125k area is becoming an area where whales are selling (Distribution) to retail investors who are rushing to buy out of excitement (FOMO).
3. 🏗️ MicroStrategy Risk (MSTR): A pattern to watch out for
- Yield Pressure: The increase in interest rates on Preferred Shares to 10.25% indicates that raising capital is becoming more difficult and expensive.
- Debt Trap: If BTC cannot rise faster than debt and new equity issuance, it will create massive selling pressure that could shake the entire market.
4. 🏃♂️ Insider Action
- Insiders are Selling: While everyone is buying (Record Inflow), the owners of big companies are selling at a faster rate. Do they know something we don't?
Source: x
