
đ Current unlock situation
According to on-chain/token data:
⢠Max supply: 100M $RIVER
⢠Unlocked: ~47.7M (â 47.7%)
⢠Locked: ~52.3M (â 52.3%)
⢠Circulating supply: still relatively low
⢠FDV is much higher than current market cap
đ This means over half of the total supply is still locked.
Future unlocks = future supply entering the market.
â ď¸ What this means professionally
Token unlocks are not automatically bearish â
but they change market dynamics.
They introduce:
⢠Potential sell pressure
⢠Liquidity shifts
⢠Trend instability
⢠Whale re-positioning
As more tokens unlock, price must find new real demand to absorb that supply.
If demand is weak â price adjusts downward.
If demand is strong â market can absorb unlocks.
đ§ Professional trader perspective
Professionals donât only ask:
âIs price bullish?â
They ask:
⢠Who will receive unlocked tokens?
⢠Are they builders or sellers?
⢠Is volume strong enough to absorb new supply?
⢠Where is forced liquidity?
Unlock phases often create:
â fake breakouts
â distribution zones
â volatility spikes
â liquidity traps
This is when emotional traders get hurt.
đŻ Final assessment
$RIVER is entering a supply-sensitive phase.
Price will now depend less on hype
and more on real capital absorption.
This is no longer a simple momentum market.
It is becoming a structure market.
High opportunity.
High risk.
What matters most now is not prediction â
but reaction to unlock behavior.
đ
Do you think the market can absorb future $RIVER supply,
or will unlocks dominate price?
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