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$AUDUSD H1 Outlook – Key Supply & Demand Zones in Play
Body:
Here’s my current H1 market outlook on $AUDUSD, focusing on high-probability zones and reaction levels.
🔴 Supply Zone: 0.4660 – 0.4665
This is a strong resistance zone with multiple confluences:
Aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level
Origin of the previous impulsive bearish move
Likely filled with sell limit orders
👉 This remains a high-probability sell-on-rally zone if price returns with weak bullish momentum.
🟡 Reaction Zone: 0.4580 – 0.4585
A short-term pivot/buffer zone where price may:
Slow down
Consolidate
Form minor structural shifts
👉 Not a major reversal zone, but important for intraday decisions.
🟢 Order Block (Demand): 0.4545 – 0.4550
A recent demand zone formed during the latest bullish pullback.
👉 Watching for:
Bullish rejection (long wicks)
Possible scalp buy setup if structure holds
🔵 Liquidity Zone: 0.4510 – 0.4515
This marks the previous low and liquidity pool.
👉 If bearish momentum takes control, this becomes the next downside target.
🎯 Trading Plan
Sell Bias: Around 0.4660–0.4665 with confirmation
Buy Scalps: Around 0.4545–0.4550 if strong reaction forms
Bearish Target: 0.4510–0.4515 if structure breaks
No rush—waiting for confirmation, not prediction.
Final Thought:
The market rewards patience. Let price come to your zones .#AUDUSD
$AUDUSD H1 Outlook – Key Supply & Demand Zones in Play
Body:
Here’s my current H1 market outlook on $AUDUSD, focusing on high-probability zones and reaction levels.
🔴 Supply Zone: 0.4660 – 0.4665
This is a strong resistance zone with multiple confluences:
Aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level
Origin of the previous impulsive bearish move
Likely filled with sell limit orders
👉 This remains a high-probability sell-on-rally zone if price returns with weak bullish momentum.
🟡 Reaction Zone: 0.4580 – 0.4585
A short-term pivot/buffer zone where price may:
Slow down
Consolidate
Form minor structural shifts
👉 Not a major reversal zone, but important for intraday decisions.
🟢 Order Block (Demand): 0.4545 – 0.4550
A recent demand zone formed during the latest bullish pullback.
👉 Watching for:
Bullish rejection (long wicks)
Possible scalp buy setup if structure holds
🔵 Liquidity Zone: 0.4510 – 0.4515
This marks the previous low and liquidity pool.
👉 If bearish momentum takes control, this becomes the next downside target.
🎯 Trading Plan
Sell Bias: Around 0.4660–0.4665 with confirmation
Buy Scalps: Around 0.4545–0.4550 if strong reaction forms
Bearish Target: 0.4510–0.4515 if structure breaks
No rush—waiting for confirmation, not prediction.
Final Thought:
The market rewards patience. Let price come to your zones .#AUDUSD
Forex Trade AUD/USD Sell (5M Timeframe)
1H market structure is strongly bearish. Price gave a pullback and then broke down on the 5M chart, forming a lower high and confirming continuation.
Entered after breakout retest.
Entry: 0.64835
SL: 0.64905
TP: 0.64650
Clean trend-following setup. 📉💹
#AUDUSD #Forex #SellSetup #Breakout #priceaction #TrendTrading #ForexAnalysis #MTF #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #BinanceSquare
$AUD /USD: RBA weighs stagflation risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists Dr. Henry Hao and Moses Lim note $AUD /USD slipped to 0.6950 as Australia faces a stagflationary dilemma. Pre-war core inflation held at 3.3% while a Middle East energy shock could push prices higher. With confidence and services PMIs weakening, markets still price a 54% chance of a Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike in May.
RBA caught between inflation and growth
"AUD/USD fell 50 pips to 0.6950. The AUD's resilience is partly due to lingering hawkish bets as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) confronts a severe stagflationary dilemma."
While Australia's pre-war February core inflation was unchanged at 3.3%, the unfolding Middle East energy shock threatens to steepen the inflation trajectory in the coming months."
"On the other hand, consumer confidence already plunged to record lows while services PMIs flipped into contraction."
"The RBA will carefully weigh recession risks against the need to contain price spillovers from surging fuel costs, keeping markets pricing a 54% probability of a rate hike in May."
#AUDUSD
#AustralianMarkets
#trading
#MarketAnalysis
Commerzbank economists Dr. Henry Hao and Moses Lim note $AUD /USD slipped to 0.6950 as Australia faces a stagflationary dilemma. Pre-war core inflation held at 3.3% while a Middle East energy shock could push prices higher. With confidence and services PMIs weakening, markets still price a 54% chance of a Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike in May.
RBA caught between inflation and growth
"AUD/USD fell 50 pips to 0.6950. The AUD's resilience is partly due to lingering hawkish bets as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) confronts a severe stagflationary dilemma."
While Australia's pre-war February core inflation was unchanged at 3.3%, the unfolding Middle East energy shock threatens to steepen the inflation trajectory in the coming months."
"On the other hand, consumer confidence already plunged to record lows while services PMIs flipped into contraction."
"The RBA will carefully weigh recession risks against the need to contain price spillovers from surging fuel costs, keeping markets pricing a 54% probability of a rate hike in May."
#AUDUSD
#AustralianMarkets
#trading
#MarketAnalysis
#AUDUSD
WILL GROW|LONG
AUDCAD has tapped into a clean discount demand zone after a strong bullish displacement. Price is holding structure with buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs, favoring continuation toward the premium imbalance and next liquidity pool. Time Frame 5H.
WILL GROW|LONG
AUDCAD has tapped into a clean discount demand zone after a strong bullish displacement. Price is holding structure with buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs, favoring continuation toward the premium imbalance and next liquidity pool. Time Frame 5H.
AUDUSD stretches to a new high for 2026. Can the buyers keep the momentum going?
The AUDUSD has pushed to a new high for 2026, breaking above the February peak at 0.7146 and reaching a session high of 0.7155. However, after the breakout, the price has rotated back lower and is now trading just below that prior high, creating the risk of a failed breakout if buyers cannot maintain momentum.
For now, the technical picture still favors the buyers as long as the pair can hold above the recent swing levels at 0.7135 and 0.7121. Those levels represent prior resistance that should now act as support. Staying above them keeps the bullish bias intact, while a move below would likely disappoint buyers and could trigger a shift in sentiment, with former buyers turning into sellers.
Fundamentals are also helping support the upside in the pair. The broader risk tone in markets is more positive, with U.S. stocks extending gains after yesterday’s late-session reversal higher. The Nasdaq is up about 141 points (0.62%), while the S&P 500 and Dow are also trading higher, reinforcing the risk-on backdrop that tends to benefit the Australian dollar.
At the same time, U.S. yields are moving lower, which is also providing a tailwind for AUDUSD. The 10-year yield is down about 2.1 basis points to 4.112%, well off yesterday’s high of 4.214%. Lower yields typically weigh on the U.S. dollar and can help support higher-beta currencies like the Aussie.
The RBA meets next week. The bottom line for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is that policy is likely to remain tight with a slight bias toward additional tightening, but the central bank is not committed to a fixed path. After the February rate hike, policymakers signaled that inflation risks remain elevated and progress toward the 2–3% target is not yet secure, meaning further tightening cannot be ruled out.
Adam just posted with more reasons. You can read his post HERE$BTC $ETH $BNB #AUDUSD
The AUDUSD has pushed to a new high for 2026, breaking above the February peak at 0.7146 and reaching a session high of 0.7155. However, after the breakout, the price has rotated back lower and is now trading just below that prior high, creating the risk of a failed breakout if buyers cannot maintain momentum.
For now, the technical picture still favors the buyers as long as the pair can hold above the recent swing levels at 0.7135 and 0.7121. Those levels represent prior resistance that should now act as support. Staying above them keeps the bullish bias intact, while a move below would likely disappoint buyers and could trigger a shift in sentiment, with former buyers turning into sellers.
Fundamentals are also helping support the upside in the pair. The broader risk tone in markets is more positive, with U.S. stocks extending gains after yesterday’s late-session reversal higher. The Nasdaq is up about 141 points (0.62%), while the S&P 500 and Dow are also trading higher, reinforcing the risk-on backdrop that tends to benefit the Australian dollar.
At the same time, U.S. yields are moving lower, which is also providing a tailwind for AUDUSD. The 10-year yield is down about 2.1 basis points to 4.112%, well off yesterday’s high of 4.214%. Lower yields typically weigh on the U.S. dollar and can help support higher-beta currencies like the Aussie.
The RBA meets next week. The bottom line for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is that policy is likely to remain tight with a slight bias toward additional tightening, but the central bank is not committed to a fixed path. After the February rate hike, policymakers signaled that inflation risks remain elevated and progress toward the 2–3% target is not yet secure, meaning further tightening cannot be ruled out.
Adam just posted with more reasons. You can read his post HERE$BTC $ETH $BNB #AUDUSD
$AUD/USD is sitting on a fragile support shelf 🌊
The pending buy is parked inside a low-volume pocket where price has already shown it can react. After a 9-day, 22-hour uptrend and a 3.27% climb, the market is breathing in a tight range; if this 0.39% support zone keeps holding, buyers may still have control, but a clean break could flip the script fast as trapped longs start to unwind.
Not financial advice. Manage your risk and protect your capital.
#Forex #AUDUSD #Trading #PriceAction #Liquidity
✓
The pending buy is parked inside a low-volume pocket where price has already shown it can react. After a 9-day, 22-hour uptrend and a 3.27% climb, the market is breathing in a tight range; if this 0.39% support zone keeps holding, buyers may still have control, but a clean break could flip the script fast as trapped longs start to unwind.
Not financial advice. Manage your risk and protect your capital.
#Forex #AUDUSD #Trading #PriceAction #Liquidity
✓
#AUDUSD
للمهتمين بتداول ال forex
#الأسترالي_دولار 🇦🇺/🇺🇸 الرؤية الموجية لزوج العملات ضمن الإطار الزمني 1 ساعة
🚀 تصحيح ثم انطلاق
بعد الانتهاء من الموجة الحافزة التي تمثل الموجة (1)/(A)، التي شهدت ارتفاعًا ملحوظًا، يتحرك السعر حاليًا في مرحلة تصحيحية قد تتخذ شكلًا تصحيحياً قد يصل الى مناطق 50-61.8%.
👈 على هذا الأساس نتوقع
- تشكّل الموجة التصحيحية بشكل مثالي في أحد الأنماط المتعرجة
- وصول الزوج إلى مستويات 0.61890 - 0.61755 من طول الموجة الصاعدة.
💡 ملاحظات مهمة
- تحديد النمط الذي سيتشكل يعتبر خطوة أساسية لتأكيد الاتجاه.
- المستوى المفتاحي للنمط يمثل علامة فارقة:
- اختراقه سيؤهل السعر للوصول إلى تحقيق قمة جديدة أعلى من مستوى 0.62926 كهدف ادنى
للمهتمين بتداول ال forex
#الأسترالي_دولار 🇦🇺/🇺🇸 الرؤية الموجية لزوج العملات ضمن الإطار الزمني 1 ساعة
🚀 تصحيح ثم انطلاق
بعد الانتهاء من الموجة الحافزة التي تمثل الموجة (1)/(A)، التي شهدت ارتفاعًا ملحوظًا، يتحرك السعر حاليًا في مرحلة تصحيحية قد تتخذ شكلًا تصحيحياً قد يصل الى مناطق 50-61.8%.
👈 على هذا الأساس نتوقع
- تشكّل الموجة التصحيحية بشكل مثالي في أحد الأنماط المتعرجة
- وصول الزوج إلى مستويات 0.61890 - 0.61755 من طول الموجة الصاعدة.
💡 ملاحظات مهمة
- تحديد النمط الذي سيتشكل يعتبر خطوة أساسية لتأكيد الاتجاه.
- المستوى المفتاحي للنمط يمثل علامة فارقة:
- اختراقه سيؤهل السعر للوصول إلى تحقيق قمة جديدة أعلى من مستوى 0.62926 كهدف ادنى
📉 Yesterday, AUD/USD saw a slight drop of 0.30%. Let's keep an eye on the next support level! 💱✨
#dailyanalysis #AUDUSD
#dailyanalysis #AUDUSD
*Analyse commerciale du jour (2 janvier 2025)*
L'#USOIL se stabilise ⚖️. Surveillez le support à 71,5 et la résistance à 75,6. Une cassure sous 69,6 pourrait signaler une nouvelle baisse 🔻.
L'#AUDUSD fluctue à des niveaux inférieurs. Surveillez la résistance à 0,624 et le support à 0,617. Une cassure au-dessus de 0,628 pourrait signaler une tendance à la hausse
L'#USOIL se stabilise ⚖️. Surveillez le support à 71,5 et la résistance à 75,6. Une cassure sous 69,6 pourrait signaler une nouvelle baisse 🔻.
L'#AUDUSD fluctue à des niveaux inférieurs. Surveillez la résistance à 0,624 et le support à 0,617. Une cassure au-dessus de 0,628 pourrait signaler une tendance à la hausse
AUD/USD 💱 might see some downside movement 📉. Let’s wait and watch! 👀📊
#audusd #BinanceTalks #dailyanalysis
#audusd #BinanceTalks #dailyanalysis
#AUDUSD 4H Outlook!
AUDUSD has shown a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, confirming bullish momentum after breakout from the previous consolidation zone.
Price is now approaching the 4H POI (Premium Zone) near 0.6630–0.6660, which aligns with previous supply and potential short-term rejection area.
If bearish reaction forms here, a corrective pullback toward 0.6560–0.6530 demand zone is expected before continuation of the uptrend.
Best Sell Zone: 0.6630–0.6660
Target: 0.6560
SL: Above 0.6680
Watch for bearish confirmation inside the POI before entering the short.
#forexsignals
AUDUSD has shown a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, confirming bullish momentum after breakout from the previous consolidation zone.
Price is now approaching the 4H POI (Premium Zone) near 0.6630–0.6660, which aligns with previous supply and potential short-term rejection area.
If bearish reaction forms here, a corrective pullback toward 0.6560–0.6530 demand zone is expected before continuation of the uptrend.
Best Sell Zone: 0.6630–0.6660
Target: 0.6560
SL: Above 0.6680
Watch for bearish confirmation inside the POI before entering the short.
#forexsignals
Australian Dollar inches lower ahead of RBA policy decision
AUD/USD slips after posting more than 1.25% gains in the previous session.
Australian Dollar may find support as the RBA’s expected 25-basis-point interest rate hike on Tuesday.
The US Dollar struggled as tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz eased.
$AUD /USD edges lower after posting more than 1.25% gains in the previous session, trading near 0.7060 during Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair could regain traction as the Australian Dollar (AUD) may find support as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected 25-basis-point interest rate hike later in the day, driven by rising inflation risks linked to higher oil prices.
The RBA is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 4.10% from 3.85%, potentially becoming the first G10 central bank to resume tightening. Market participants will closely watch RBA Governor Michele Bullock’s press conference for signals on the future policy path. Meanwhile, RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser has warned that oil price shocks tied to the Iran conflict pose upside risks to inflation.
A Reuters poll indicates economists expect the RBA to lift rates to 4.10% in March, with the possibility of another increase to 4.35% later this year. Westpac’s shift toward forecasting back-to-back rate hikes reinforces the view that the March meeting is “live,” which could lend support to Australian bond yields and the Australian Dollar.
Meanwhile, the $US
Dollar (USD) has struggled amid easing tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. However, its downside may be limited as expectations for US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year fade due to the economic impact of the Iran conflict. Concerns that surging crude oil prices could drive inflation higher have dampened expectations for near-term monetary easing.
#AUDUSD
#US
#DollarDominance
AUD/USD slips after posting more than 1.25% gains in the previous session.
Australian Dollar may find support as the RBA’s expected 25-basis-point interest rate hike on Tuesday.
The US Dollar struggled as tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz eased.
$AUD /USD edges lower after posting more than 1.25% gains in the previous session, trading near 0.7060 during Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair could regain traction as the Australian Dollar (AUD) may find support as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected 25-basis-point interest rate hike later in the day, driven by rising inflation risks linked to higher oil prices.
The RBA is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 4.10% from 3.85%, potentially becoming the first G10 central bank to resume tightening. Market participants will closely watch RBA Governor Michele Bullock’s press conference for signals on the future policy path. Meanwhile, RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser has warned that oil price shocks tied to the Iran conflict pose upside risks to inflation.
A Reuters poll indicates economists expect the RBA to lift rates to 4.10% in March, with the possibility of another increase to 4.35% later this year. Westpac’s shift toward forecasting back-to-back rate hikes reinforces the view that the March meeting is “live,” which could lend support to Australian bond yields and the Australian Dollar.
Meanwhile, the $US
Dollar (USD) has struggled amid easing tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. However, its downside may be limited as expectations for US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year fade due to the economic impact of the Iran conflict. Concerns that surging crude oil prices could drive inflation higher have dampened expectations for near-term monetary easing.
#AUDUSD
#US
#DollarDominance
AUD: War risks challenge recent strength – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts argue that the Australian Dollar’s (AUD) strong year-to-date performance leaves it vulnerable to concerns over imported petroleum dependence during the Gulf blockade. They discuss potential short AUD/NZD and short AUD/CAD ideas, while stressing that any easing of the United States (US) blockade could quickly reverse Australian Dollar weakness and keep volatility suppressed.
Petroleum exposure weighs on Australian Dollar
My first thought was that the Australian dollar has had a great run this year (up 8 ½% including interest against the $USD but is now, once again, vulnerable to concerns about dependence on imported petroleum products.
#AUD #AUDUSD $AUD
Societe Generale analysts argue that the Australian Dollar’s (AUD) strong year-to-date performance leaves it vulnerable to concerns over imported petroleum dependence during the Gulf blockade. They discuss potential short AUD/NZD and short AUD/CAD ideas, while stressing that any easing of the United States (US) blockade could quickly reverse Australian Dollar weakness and keep volatility suppressed.
Petroleum exposure weighs on Australian Dollar
My first thought was that the Australian dollar has had a great run this year (up 8 ½% including interest against the $USD but is now, once again, vulnerable to concerns about dependence on imported petroleum products.
#AUD #AUDUSD $AUD
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