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Price is currently pulling back into a key horizontal level (Support & Resistance Block) which previously acted as a strong resistance, rejecting price on multiple occasions before the eventual breakout. That breakout flipped the level into support, and the current retest is a critical validation of its strength.
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So far, price is showing a reaction (bounce) off this zone, indicating buyers are still defending it. This makes the current structure a potential classic breakout–retest scenario, where holding above the level keeps the broader bullish structure intact.

If this bounce gains strength and price pushes through the resistance block around 78K–98K, it would confirm continuation and open the path for a larger upside expansion with projected target pointing towards $300k.

However, if price fails to build momentum off this support and faces rejection from the resistance block, it will indicate structural weakness, opening the door for a deeper correction toward the $34K region, aligning with a typical rising wedge breakdown target.

At this stage, the market remains at a decision point, and the reaction from this support will determine whether price continues higher or transitions into a broader pullback. We are currently positioned long from around $65K, with risk already secured (stop above entry), and will continue to hold until price invalidates the setup.

Key level to watch remains $78K a clean break above this zone should trigger strong upside momentum expansion.

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Bitcoin is still trading above the $70,000 level, but the market is not showing the kind of strength that usually supports a lasting recovery. Price action has remained fragile, and the overall move continues to lack strong conviction from buyers.
One of the biggest warning signs has come from Bitcoin ETF flows. Over the last two weeks, ETFs have posted negative net inflows on nine separate days. That points to sustained selling activity, especially from larger market participants. When institutions or high-value holders continue reducing exposure, it becomes much harder for Bitcoin to build upward momentum, even if some exchange-related selling pressure starts to ease.
At the same time, exchange depositing addresses have dropped to extremely low levels, hovering near decade lows. Under normal conditions, that could be viewed as a positive sign because fewer deposits to exchanges may suggest reduced intent to sell. However, the market has not responded with meaningful strength. That suggests the decline in deposits has not been matched by stronger accumulation or a clear shift toward withdrawals and long-term holding.
Momentum indicators are also reinforcing the weak outlook. The Momentum indicator remains deeply negative, sitting near -5957, which reflects a market that is still under heavy downside pressure. In addition, the Modified DMI has stayed in bearish territory since October 2025, showing that the negative trend has remained firmly in place for an extended period.
Together, these signals suggest that investor participation is still limited. Many traders appear to be staying on the sidelines, while those still active in the market are leaning more toward selling than buying. This has kept Bitcoin stretched to the downside and has prevented any meaningful recovery from gaining traction.
If this trend continues, Bitcoin could slip below $70,000 once again, with the next major support zone around $66,000. On the other hand, if the market finally begins to respond positively to lower exchange inflows, Bitcoin may be able to defend the $70,000 level and make a move toward $74,200.
For now, Bitcoin is holding an important price zone, but the broader picture remains cautious. The drop in sell-side pressure is notable, yet it has not been enough to shift momentum in favor of the bulls. Until stronger buying demand returns, the market may continue to face weakness in the near term.
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Exchange Data Report In March 2026: Spot Trading Volume Down 19.4%, Derivatives Down 2.9%, Website Traffic Down 2.34%

In March 2026, spot trading volume across major exchanges decreased by approximately 19.4% compared to February 2026. All exchanges recorded declines. The smallest declines were seen on Kraken (-9.5%), Bybit (-12.4%), and OKX (-13.2%), while the largest declines were on Upbit (-39.4%), Bitget (-31.2%), and Crypto.com (-23.4%).
In March 2026, derivatives trading volume across major exchanges decreased by approximately 2.9% month-over-month. The top gainers were Coinbase (+41.4%), MEXC (+36.6%), and KuCoin (+4.4%), while the largest declines were recorded by Deribit (-30.6%), HTX (-26.4%), and Crypto.com (-19.7%).
In March 2026, website traffic of major exchanges decreased by approximately 2.34% compared to February 2026. The strongest growth was recorded by Bitget (+17.16%), followed by OKX (+4.81%) and HTX (+3.65%). The largest declines were observed on Upbit (-21.50%), KuCoin (-14.07%), and Crypto.com (-9.63%).
Note: The following data may contain significant wash trading or bot activity. Preprocessing has been applied, including outlier removal, methodology normalization, and standardization. Spot and derivatives data are sourced from CoinGecko; traffic data are sourced from Similarweb.

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Strategy founder Michael Saylor stated that Bitcoin may have bottomed around $60,000, as forced sellers in the market have largely exited.
He suggested that the heavy selling pressure that previously weighed on the market has now subsided, potentially allowing for price stabilization and recovery.
Addressing concerns about quantum computing threats, Saylor described the risk as overstated and largely theoretical.
He emphasized that the crypto community is capable of responding through software upgrades, as it has done in the past with technological challenges.
This outlook provides a more optimistic perspective amid market uncertainty, highlighting the adaptability of blockchain systems.
In conclusion, Saylor believes Bitcoin has passed its most pressured phase, while long-term risks like quantum threats remain manageable through innovation. $BTC #BinanceWalletLaunchesPredictionMarkets #freedomofmoney