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BITCOIN MACRO UPDATE LIFE CYCLE, STRUCTURE & PRICE LEVELS
As of February 18, 2026, Bitcoin is $BTC navigating a high-stakes structural correction following its October 2025 all-time high of $126,000. The current market is a battle between long-term "cycle bottom" indicators and short-term "bear flag" patterns.
Here is the deep-dive analysis of the Life Cycle, Elliott Wave structure, and the critical price levels you need to watch.
1. Macro Life Cycle: The "Mid-Cycle Shakeout"
We are currently in a classic "Stage 4" correction of the 2024–2026 expansion. After peaking in late 2025, Bitcoin has entered a Deleveraging Phase.
The Narrative Shift: The "Institutional ETF" honeymoon phase has cooled. Bitcoin is now trading more like a High-Beta Tech Asset (correlated with the Nasdaq) than a defensive hedge.Drawdown Status: We are roughly 47% down from the ATH, which historically aligns with mid-cycle 4th-wave corrections (usually 40–55%).
2. Elliott Wave & Market Structure
Analysts are currently tracking a complex A-B-C corrective sequence on the Daily/Weekly timeframes.
Current Wave Position: We are likely in Wave C of a larger correction (or the final sub-wave v of a 5-wave impulsive decline).
The Bear Flag: The recent bounce from $60,000 to $72,000 is being identified by many as a Bear Flag. Failure to hold the mid-$68k range (where we are now) suggests one final "flush" to complete the structure.
The Accumulation Zone: On-chain data shows "OG Whales" are not panic selling; instead, they are setting "Buy Walls" in the $52k–$58k range.
3. Critical Price Levels to Watch
The market is "coiling" for a massive move. These are the technical battlegrounds for the remainder of February.
Level
Role
Significance
$107,000
The Macro Ceiling
The target for any major "Bear Market Rally." We must reclaim this to talk about new ATHs.
$72,500
Bullish Confirmation
Reclaiming this level invalidates the Bear Flag and confirms a local bottom is in.
$68,000 - $69,000
Current Pivot
The "Fair Value" magnet where BTC is currently oscillating.
$60,000 - $62,000
The Line in the Sand
Historically aligns with the 200-week Moving Average. Breaking this triggers a liquidation cascade.
$52,000 - $55,000
The "Generational" Floor
The "Wave 5" exhaustion target. This is where the RSI is expected to show a Bullish Divergence.🚀 Social Media Caption Template
If you are posting this as an update, here is a high-engagement draft:
Title: ⚠️ BITCOIN MACRO UPDATE: The Final Flush?
Caption:
The math for the 2026 cycle is getting interesting. We’re officially 47% off the $126k peak, and the Elliott Wave structure is screaming “Correction Maturity.”
We are currently trapped in a $68k-$72k range. Is this a Bear Flag before a final dip to $55k, or is the $60k bottom already in?
Key Takeaways:
1️⃣ Whale Activity: OGs are accumulating, not selling.
2️⃣ The Floor: $60k is the technical “Must-Hold” level.
3- The Goal: Reclaim $72.5k to flip the script.
Patience is the only alpha right now. 💎🙌
Here is the deep-dive analysis of the Life Cycle, Elliott Wave structure, and the critical price levels you need to watch.
1. Macro Life Cycle: The "Mid-Cycle Shakeout"
We are currently in a classic "Stage 4" correction of the 2024–2026 expansion. After peaking in late 2025, Bitcoin has entered a Deleveraging Phase.
The Narrative Shift: The "Institutional ETF" honeymoon phase has cooled. Bitcoin is now trading more like a High-Beta Tech Asset (correlated with the Nasdaq) than a defensive hedge.Drawdown Status: We are roughly 47% down from the ATH, which historically aligns with mid-cycle 4th-wave corrections (usually 40–55%).
2. Elliott Wave & Market Structure
Analysts are currently tracking a complex A-B-C corrective sequence on the Daily/Weekly timeframes.
Current Wave Position: We are likely in Wave C of a larger correction (or the final sub-wave v of a 5-wave impulsive decline).
The Bear Flag: The recent bounce from $60,000 to $72,000 is being identified by many as a Bear Flag. Failure to hold the mid-$68k range (where we are now) suggests one final "flush" to complete the structure.
The Accumulation Zone: On-chain data shows "OG Whales" are not panic selling; instead, they are setting "Buy Walls" in the $52k–$58k range.
3. Critical Price Levels to Watch
The market is "coiling" for a massive move. These are the technical battlegrounds for the remainder of February.
Level
Role
Significance
$107,000
The Macro Ceiling
The target for any major "Bear Market Rally." We must reclaim this to talk about new ATHs.
$72,500
Bullish Confirmation
Reclaiming this level invalidates the Bear Flag and confirms a local bottom is in.
$68,000 - $69,000
Current Pivot
The "Fair Value" magnet where BTC is currently oscillating.
$60,000 - $62,000
The Line in the Sand
Historically aligns with the 200-week Moving Average. Breaking this triggers a liquidation cascade.
$52,000 - $55,000
The "Generational" Floor
The "Wave 5" exhaustion target. This is where the RSI is expected to show a Bullish Divergence.🚀 Social Media Caption Template
If you are posting this as an update, here is a high-engagement draft:
Title: ⚠️ BITCOIN MACRO UPDATE: The Final Flush?
Caption:
The math for the 2026 cycle is getting interesting. We’re officially 47% off the $126k peak, and the Elliott Wave structure is screaming “Correction Maturity.”
We are currently trapped in a $68k-$72k range. Is this a Bear Flag before a final dip to $55k, or is the $60k bottom already in?
Key Takeaways:
1️⃣ Whale Activity: OGs are accumulating, not selling.
2️⃣ The Floor: $60k is the technical “Must-Hold” level.
3- The Goal: Reclaim $72.5k to flip the script.
Patience is the only alpha right now. 💎🙌
The 2026 Shakeout: $2.5B BTC Flush vs. Morgan Stanley’s Web3 Entry 🏦📉
We are witnessing a historic moment in market structure. $BTC is currently trading nearly 3 standard deviations below its 200-day moving average—a level of "oversold" not seen since the FTX collapse.
The 3 Pillars of Today’s Market (Feb 17):
The Leverage Flush: Roughly $2.5 Billion in Bitcoin futures have been liquidated in the last 7 days. This isn't a "crash"; it's a massive deleveraging that has brought Open Interest down by 20%.
2. Institutional Integration: While retail panics, Morgan Stanley just posted job ads for Blockchain Engineers to integrate Ethereum, Polygon, and Hyperledger into their core banking systems.
Tax Deadline Pressure: Today is the IRS deadline for exchanges to send out new 1099-DA forms. Analysts believe some of the sell pressure is coming from investors liquidating to cover 2025 tax liabilities.
My Strategy: The "Velocity Panic" appears exhausted. I am watching the $65,100 support level. As long as we hold this, the path back to $73k is open.
📊 Are you a "Panic Seller" or an "Institutional Buyer" today?
💎 HODL - Following the Morgan Stanley lead
🛒 BUY THE DIP - Extreme oversold levels
🟡 WAITING - Waiting for tax season to pass
#WriteToEarn #Bitcoin2026 #MarketCrash #MorganStanley #ETH #CryptoTax #BTC60K
We are witnessing a historic moment in market structure. $BTC is currently trading nearly 3 standard deviations below its 200-day moving average—a level of "oversold" not seen since the FTX collapse.
The 3 Pillars of Today’s Market (Feb 17):
The Leverage Flush: Roughly $2.5 Billion in Bitcoin futures have been liquidated in the last 7 days. This isn't a "crash"; it's a massive deleveraging that has brought Open Interest down by 20%.
2. Institutional Integration: While retail panics, Morgan Stanley just posted job ads for Blockchain Engineers to integrate Ethereum, Polygon, and Hyperledger into their core banking systems.
Tax Deadline Pressure: Today is the IRS deadline for exchanges to send out new 1099-DA forms. Analysts believe some of the sell pressure is coming from investors liquidating to cover 2025 tax liabilities.
My Strategy: The "Velocity Panic" appears exhausted. I am watching the $65,100 support level. As long as we hold this, the path back to $73k is open.
📊 Are you a "Panic Seller" or an "Institutional Buyer" today?
💎 HODL - Following the Morgan Stanley lead
🛒 BUY THE DIP - Extreme oversold levels
🟡 WAITING - Waiting for tax season to pass
#WriteToEarn #Bitcoin2026 #MarketCrash #MorganStanley #ETH #CryptoTax #BTC60K
# BTC Reclaims $68K! 🚀 Liquidity Grab or New Leg Up?
$BTC
is showing some serious resilience today. After testing the 24h low at **$67,225**, we’ve seen a sharp recovery to the **$68,158** level.
**What the Chart is Telling Us:**
1. **Moving Average Support:** We are currently holding above the MA60. As long as we stay above this, the intraday bias remains bullish.
2. **Volume Check:** The green volume bars show that buyers are defending the $67k range.
3. **The Target:** Next stop? A retest of the **$70,000** psychological barrier.
**My Strategy:**
- **Bullish:** 4H close above $68,500 = Moon mission toward $70k.
- **Bearish:** Lose MA60 = Back to $67,200.
Stay disciplined with your risk management! 🛡️
**What’s your move? Long 🟢 or Short 🔴?**
#BTC #CryptoAnalysis #BinanceSquareBTC #Bitcoin2026 #Write2Earn
$BTC
is showing some serious resilience today. After testing the 24h low at **$67,225**, we’ve seen a sharp recovery to the **$68,158** level.
**What the Chart is Telling Us:**
1. **Moving Average Support:** We are currently holding above the MA60. As long as we stay above this, the intraday bias remains bullish.
2. **Volume Check:** The green volume bars show that buyers are defending the $67k range.
3. **The Target:** Next stop? A retest of the **$70,000** psychological barrier.
**My Strategy:**
- **Bullish:** 4H close above $68,500 = Moon mission toward $70k.
- **Bearish:** Lose MA60 = Back to $67,200.
Stay disciplined with your risk management! 🛡️
**What’s your move? Long 🟢 or Short 🔴?**
#BTC #CryptoAnalysis #BinanceSquareBTC #Bitcoin2026 #Write2Earn
Beyond the Router: Why a Global Internet Shutdown Wouldn't Kill Bitcoin
The most common "gotcha" used by crypto-skeptics is a simple scenario: “What happens to your Bitcoin if the internet goes down?”
The conventional wisdom suggests that Bitcoin would vanish instantly, leaving holders with nothing but digital dust. But this perspective fundamentally misunderstands what Bitcoin is. Bitcoin isn't just a website or an app; it is a decentralized protocol.
While a global internet outage would disrupt the world as we know it, Bitcoin is arguably better prepared for the "Digital Dark Age" than the very banks that claim to be safer.
1. The "Satellite Shield": Blockstream and Beyond
Most people assume Bitcoin data travels exclusively through terrestrial fiber-optic cables. In reality, the Bitcoin blockchain is currently being broadcast from space.
Through the Blockstream Satellite network, the entire ledger is beamed down to Earth 24/7. This allows anyone with a small satellite dish and a basic laptop to sync a full node and verify transactions without ever connecting to a local Internet Service Provider (ISP). In a total blackout, the "source of truth" remains accessible from the stars.
2. Transactions via Airwaves (Radio & Mesh)
A Bitcoin transaction is remarkably small—usually less than 500 bytes of data. Because the data is so light, it doesn't require a high-speed connection.
Ham Radio: Developers have already proven that Bitcoin can be sent over High Frequency (HF) radio waves across thousands of miles.Mesh Networks: Tools like goTenna allow users to create localized, peer-to-peer "mesh" networks. If one person in a city has a satellite link, an entire neighborhood could theoretically route their transactions through them using simple radio3. The Fragility of TradFi vs. The Resilience of DeFiIf the internet goes dark, the traditional financial (TradFi) system collapses almost instantly:Centralized Points of Failure: Banks rely on private servers and centralized databases. If the connection to those servers is severed, your debit card is a plastic brick.The Bitcoin Advantage: Bitcoin’s ledger is distributed across tens of thousands of nodes globally. As long as one single node survives and stays powered, the entire history of every Bitcoin transaction ever made remains intact.3. The Fragility of TradFi vs. The Resilience of DeFiIf the internet goes dark, the traditional financial (TradFi) system collapses almost instantly:Centralized Points of Failure: Banks rely on private servers and centralized databases. If the connection to those servers is severed, your debit card is a plastic brick.The Bitcoin Advantage: Bitcoin’s ledger is distributed across tens of thousands of nodes globally. As long as one single node survives and stays powered, the entire history of every Bitcoin transaction ever made remains intact.4. Offline Signing and "Delayed" Settlement.Bitcoin supports offline transaction signing. You can sign a transaction on a cold-storage device (like a hardware wallet) in a bunker with zero connectivity. That signed "message" remains valid indefinitely. It can be physically transported on a USB drive or written down as a QR code and broadcast whenever any form of connectivity—radio, satellite, or eventually the restored internet—becomes available.The Bottom Line: Bitcoin is an ExtremophileIn biology, an extremophile is an organism that thrives in conditions that would kill anything else. Bitcoin is the extremophile of finance.The internet is Bitcoin’s preferred highway because it is fast and efficient. But the internet is not its foundation. Bitcoin is built on mathematics and energy. As long as electricity exists and humans have a way to communicate—whether by light, sound, or radio—the Bitcoin network will continue to produce blocks.The internet might go down, but the math doesn't.#BTC #Write2Earn #Bitcoin2026 #CryptoResilience #BinanceSquare
The conventional wisdom suggests that Bitcoin would vanish instantly, leaving holders with nothing but digital dust. But this perspective fundamentally misunderstands what Bitcoin is. Bitcoin isn't just a website or an app; it is a decentralized protocol.
While a global internet outage would disrupt the world as we know it, Bitcoin is arguably better prepared for the "Digital Dark Age" than the very banks that claim to be safer.
1. The "Satellite Shield": Blockstream and Beyond
Most people assume Bitcoin data travels exclusively through terrestrial fiber-optic cables. In reality, the Bitcoin blockchain is currently being broadcast from space.
Through the Blockstream Satellite network, the entire ledger is beamed down to Earth 24/7. This allows anyone with a small satellite dish and a basic laptop to sync a full node and verify transactions without ever connecting to a local Internet Service Provider (ISP). In a total blackout, the "source of truth" remains accessible from the stars.
2. Transactions via Airwaves (Radio & Mesh)
A Bitcoin transaction is remarkably small—usually less than 500 bytes of data. Because the data is so light, it doesn't require a high-speed connection.
Ham Radio: Developers have already proven that Bitcoin can be sent over High Frequency (HF) radio waves across thousands of miles.Mesh Networks: Tools like goTenna allow users to create localized, peer-to-peer "mesh" networks. If one person in a city has a satellite link, an entire neighborhood could theoretically route their transactions through them using simple radio3. The Fragility of TradFi vs. The Resilience of DeFiIf the internet goes dark, the traditional financial (TradFi) system collapses almost instantly:Centralized Points of Failure: Banks rely on private servers and centralized databases. If the connection to those servers is severed, your debit card is a plastic brick.The Bitcoin Advantage: Bitcoin’s ledger is distributed across tens of thousands of nodes globally. As long as one single node survives and stays powered, the entire history of every Bitcoin transaction ever made remains intact.3. The Fragility of TradFi vs. The Resilience of DeFiIf the internet goes dark, the traditional financial (TradFi) system collapses almost instantly:Centralized Points of Failure: Banks rely on private servers and centralized databases. If the connection to those servers is severed, your debit card is a plastic brick.The Bitcoin Advantage: Bitcoin’s ledger is distributed across tens of thousands of nodes globally. As long as one single node survives and stays powered, the entire history of every Bitcoin transaction ever made remains intact.4. Offline Signing and "Delayed" Settlement.Bitcoin supports offline transaction signing. You can sign a transaction on a cold-storage device (like a hardware wallet) in a bunker with zero connectivity. That signed "message" remains valid indefinitely. It can be physically transported on a USB drive or written down as a QR code and broadcast whenever any form of connectivity—radio, satellite, or eventually the restored internet—becomes available.The Bottom Line: Bitcoin is an ExtremophileIn biology, an extremophile is an organism that thrives in conditions that would kill anything else. Bitcoin is the extremophile of finance.The internet is Bitcoin’s preferred highway because it is fast and efficient. But the internet is not its foundation. Bitcoin is built on mathematics and energy. As long as electricity exists and humans have a way to communicate—whether by light, sound, or radio—the Bitcoin network will continue to produce blocks.The internet might go down, but the math doesn't.#BTC #Write2Earn #Bitcoin2026 #CryptoResilience #BinanceSquare
$BTC BTC: The "Pain Period" is Here. Are You a Player or a Spectator? 💎🦾
If you’re feeling the pressure today, good. That means you’re paying attention.
As of February 16, 2026, Bitcoin is stuck in a classic "sideways grind" around $68,700. After falling from the $120k+ peak late last year, the market is doing exactly what it was designed to do: Transfer wealth from the impatient to the patient.
The Reality Check 🔍
The "Boring" Zone: We’ve been bouncing between $60k and $72k for weeks. This is the "Apathy Phase" where most retail traders give up and sell their bags to institutions.
Institutional Absorption: While we see headlines about ETF outflows, companies like MicroStrategy are still adding to their stacks (over 1,100 BTC added just this month!). They aren't looking at the 4-hour chart; they are looking at 2030.
Technical Floor: The $60,132 level (early Feb low) is our current "line in the sand." As long as we stay above this, the macro bullish structure for 2026 remains intact.
Why I’m Not Panicking 🧘♂️
Market cycles are getting longer and more institutionalized. The "Four-Year Cycle" might be dead, replaced by a "Macro-Asset Cycle." Bitcoin is no longer just "internet money"—it’s a genuine portfolio asset alongside gold and tech stocks.
The Lesson: In 2021, people wished they bought at $30k. In 2024, they wished they bought at $50k. In 2027, they will likely look back at $68k as a "gift."
The Poll: What’s your conviction level?
🌕 100% Bullish – Buying every red candle.
⚖️ Neutral – Holding my current bag, waiting for $75k.
📉 Bearish – I think we visit $50k before the real moon mission.
Drop your target for the end of February below! 👇
#BitcoinStrategy #BTC #CryptoInvesting #HODL #BinanceSquare #MarketSentiment #Bitcoin2026
If you’re feeling the pressure today, good. That means you’re paying attention.
As of February 16, 2026, Bitcoin is stuck in a classic "sideways grind" around $68,700. After falling from the $120k+ peak late last year, the market is doing exactly what it was designed to do: Transfer wealth from the impatient to the patient.
The Reality Check 🔍
The "Boring" Zone: We’ve been bouncing between $60k and $72k for weeks. This is the "Apathy Phase" where most retail traders give up and sell their bags to institutions.
Institutional Absorption: While we see headlines about ETF outflows, companies like MicroStrategy are still adding to their stacks (over 1,100 BTC added just this month!). They aren't looking at the 4-hour chart; they are looking at 2030.
Technical Floor: The $60,132 level (early Feb low) is our current "line in the sand." As long as we stay above this, the macro bullish structure for 2026 remains intact.
Why I’m Not Panicking 🧘♂️
Market cycles are getting longer and more institutionalized. The "Four-Year Cycle" might be dead, replaced by a "Macro-Asset Cycle." Bitcoin is no longer just "internet money"—it’s a genuine portfolio asset alongside gold and tech stocks.
The Lesson: In 2021, people wished they bought at $30k. In 2024, they wished they bought at $50k. In 2027, they will likely look back at $68k as a "gift."
The Poll: What’s your conviction level?
🌕 100% Bullish – Buying every red candle.
⚖️ Neutral – Holding my current bag, waiting for $75k.
📉 Bearish – I think we visit $50k before the real moon mission.
Drop your target for the end of February below! 👇
#BitcoinStrategy #BTC #CryptoInvesting #HODL #BinanceSquare #MarketSentiment #Bitcoin2026
🚨 BINANCE SAFU FUND JUST MOVED $300M INTO BITCOIN 🚨
Binance's Secure Asset Fund for Users (SAFU) just executed a massive strategic reallocation: $300 MILLION into Bitcoin .
💡 What This Signals:
🔹 Exchanges moving from stablecoins to "hard assets"
🔹 Reduces floating supply = potential price floor
🔹 Creates "risk-on" environment for broader market
When giants like Binance absorb liquidity, shorts get squeezed.
Follow the smart money. 👇
#Binance #SAFU🙏 #Bitcoin2026 #InstitutionalAdoption
Binance's Secure Asset Fund for Users (SAFU) just executed a massive strategic reallocation: $300 MILLION into Bitcoin .
💡 What This Signals:
🔹 Exchanges moving from stablecoins to "hard assets"
🔹 Reduces floating supply = potential price floor
🔹 Creates "risk-on" environment for broader market
When giants like Binance absorb liquidity, shorts get squeezed.
Follow the smart money. 👇
#Binance #SAFU🙏 #Bitcoin2026 #InstitutionalAdoption
Sunday Market Check: Why $70k is the New "Line in the Sand" 📉🚀
We are ending the week with a classic "Indecision Candle." While some are calling for a deeper correction, the on-chain data tells a much more interesting story.
🔍 What’s happening under the hood?
• The "Smart Money" Accumulation: Even with Spot ETF outflows this week, mid-tier whales (wallets with 10–100 BTC) are buying every dip toward $68k. They aren't scared—they're hungry.
• AI Sector Decoupling: While the rest of the market is flat, AI-native chains like $FET and $VANRY are showing strength. In 2026, utility is finally beating pure speculation.
• X (Twitter) Integration: With rumors of "Smart Cashtags" for in-app trading launching soon, the bridge between social media and liquidity is about to get a lot shorter.
💡 My Strategy:
I’m not chasing the green candles today. I’m setting limit orders in the "Value Zone" between $68,800 and $69,200. Sundays are for patience, Mondays are for volatility.
Poll for the squad:
1️⃣ Buying the dip 🛍️
2️⃣ Holding my bags 🎒
3️⃣ Waiting for $65k 📉
Let’s see who has the strongest hands! 👇
#BinanceSquare #Bitcoin2026 #CryptoTrends #AIWeb3 #WriteToEarn
We are ending the week with a classic "Indecision Candle." While some are calling for a deeper correction, the on-chain data tells a much more interesting story.
🔍 What’s happening under the hood?
• The "Smart Money" Accumulation: Even with Spot ETF outflows this week, mid-tier whales (wallets with 10–100 BTC) are buying every dip toward $68k. They aren't scared—they're hungry.
• AI Sector Decoupling: While the rest of the market is flat, AI-native chains like $FET and $VANRY are showing strength. In 2026, utility is finally beating pure speculation.
• X (Twitter) Integration: With rumors of "Smart Cashtags" for in-app trading launching soon, the bridge between social media and liquidity is about to get a lot shorter.
💡 My Strategy:
I’m not chasing the green candles today. I’m setting limit orders in the "Value Zone" between $68,800 and $69,200. Sundays are for patience, Mondays are for volatility.
Poll for the squad:
1️⃣ Buying the dip 🛍️
2️⃣ Holding my bags 🎒
3️⃣ Waiting for $65k 📉
Let’s see who has the strongest hands! 👇
#BinanceSquare #Bitcoin2026 #CryptoTrends #AIWeb3 #WriteToEarn
GIVEAWAY NOW JOIN EVERYONE 🎁🎖️
Was that the bottom? I don’t know 🏅🏅 but the momentum is real!
#btc #Bitcoin2026 #CryptoUpdate $BTC
Was that the bottom? I don’t know 🏅🏅 but the momentum is real!
#btc #Bitcoin2026 #CryptoUpdate $BTC
Α
BNB/USD1
Τιμή
598,55
hui:
a
Title: 2026 Mein Online Earning: Pehla Kadam aur Digital Mindset 🚀
Assalam-o-Alaikum Friends!
2026 mein online earning sirf ek khwab nahi balkay ek haqeeqat ban chuki hai. Lekin sab se bada sawal ye hai ke shuruat kahan se ki jaye?
Maine apna safar "Pehla Kadam" ke naam se shuru kiya hai. Mera maqsad sirf paisa kamana nahi, balkay sahi platforms ki pehchan karna hai. Aaj kal market mein bohat si apps hain, lekin ek "Trusted Friend" (Mr. M) ki madad se maine seekha hai ke Binance jaisa mehfooz platform hi asli kamyabi ki chabi hai.
Main yahan Binance Square par apna experience share karta rahon ga. Kya aap log bhi kisi cloud mining ya staking project mein invest kar rahe hain? Apni raaye niche comments mein zaroori batayein!
Hamesha yaad rakhein: "Pehla kadam mushkil hota hai, lekin manzil tak wahi pohanchta hai jo rasta nahi badalta."
#Write2Earn #BinanceSquareFamily #Bitcoin2026 #PehlaKadam #CryptoLearning $ETH $BTC $BNB
2026 mein online earning sirf ek khwab nahi balkay ek haqeeqat ban chuki hai. Lekin sab se bada sawal ye hai ke shuruat kahan se ki jaye?
Maine apna safar "Pehla Kadam" ke naam se shuru kiya hai. Mera maqsad sirf paisa kamana nahi, balkay sahi platforms ki pehchan karna hai. Aaj kal market mein bohat si apps hain, lekin ek "Trusted Friend" (Mr. M) ki madad se maine seekha hai ke Binance jaisa mehfooz platform hi asli kamyabi ki chabi hai.
Main yahan Binance Square par apna experience share karta rahon ga. Kya aap log bhi kisi cloud mining ya staking project mein invest kar rahe hain? Apni raaye niche comments mein zaroori batayein!
Hamesha yaad rakhein: "Pehla kadam mushkil hota hai, lekin manzil tak wahi pohanchta hai jo rasta nahi badalta."
#Write2Earn #BinanceSquareFamily #Bitcoin2026 #PehlaKadam #CryptoLearning $ETH $BTC $BNB
🔱 LA TRAMPA DE LIQUIDEZ: POR QUÉ LAS BALLENAS QUIEREN QUE TENGAS MIEDO 🔱
El mercado está dando una lección magistral de transferencia de riqueza y la mayoría está reprobando el examen. 📉🧠 Mientras el "retail" se enfoca en el precio de hoy, el Smart Money está mirando el calendario de 2026.
📊 LOS NÚMEROS QUE TU PÁNICO NO TE DEJA VER:
Capitulación de "Short-Term Holders": Las billeteras con menos de 155 días han enviado más de $1.2 Billones en pérdidas hacia los exchanges en las últimas 72 horas. 🩸💸
Drenaje de Reservas: En ese mismo periodo, las reservas de BTC en exchanges cayeron a 1.72M BTC, el nivel más bajo en la historia moderna de Bitcoin. No hay ventas reales, hay pánico forzado. 📉🚫
MVRV Z-Score en 0.82: Estamos en la zona de "sobreventa extrema". Históricamente, comprar cuando este indicador está por debajo de 1.0 ha generado retornos de más de 300% en los siguientes 12 meses. 🚀🎯
🏹 LA VERDAD CRUDA:
Las ballenas no compran cuando el gráfico es una línea verde perfecta; compran cuando tú vendes por miedo. Están creando una trampa de liquidez para absorber tus Satoshis baratos antes del siguiente salto parabólico. 🐋🛒
"El mercado es una máquina que extrae dinero de las manos que tiemblan para entregárselo a las manos que esperan." 🥂👑
MI POSICIÓN: 👇
Yo no le regalo mi futuro a una ballena. Si el precio baja, mi DCA sube. Mi convicción es matemática, no emocional.
DIME TÚ: 👇
¿Vas a ser el que provee la liquidez o el que se sienta en la mesa con los grandes?
¡COMENTA "MANOS DE ACERO" Y DALE LIKE SI NO VAS A CEDER NI UN SATOSHI! 💎🙌🔥
#btc70k #OnChainAnalysis #SmartMoney #BinanceSquare #SupplyShock #HODL #CryptoStrategy #Write2Earn #Bitcoin2026 #Write2Earn! #Bitcoin❗
El mercado está dando una lección magistral de transferencia de riqueza y la mayoría está reprobando el examen. 📉🧠 Mientras el "retail" se enfoca en el precio de hoy, el Smart Money está mirando el calendario de 2026.
📊 LOS NÚMEROS QUE TU PÁNICO NO TE DEJA VER:
Capitulación de "Short-Term Holders": Las billeteras con menos de 155 días han enviado más de $1.2 Billones en pérdidas hacia los exchanges en las últimas 72 horas. 🩸💸
Drenaje de Reservas: En ese mismo periodo, las reservas de BTC en exchanges cayeron a 1.72M BTC, el nivel más bajo en la historia moderna de Bitcoin. No hay ventas reales, hay pánico forzado. 📉🚫
MVRV Z-Score en 0.82: Estamos en la zona de "sobreventa extrema". Históricamente, comprar cuando este indicador está por debajo de 1.0 ha generado retornos de más de 300% en los siguientes 12 meses. 🚀🎯
🏹 LA VERDAD CRUDA:
Las ballenas no compran cuando el gráfico es una línea verde perfecta; compran cuando tú vendes por miedo. Están creando una trampa de liquidez para absorber tus Satoshis baratos antes del siguiente salto parabólico. 🐋🛒
"El mercado es una máquina que extrae dinero de las manos que tiemblan para entregárselo a las manos que esperan." 🥂👑
MI POSICIÓN: 👇
Yo no le regalo mi futuro a una ballena. Si el precio baja, mi DCA sube. Mi convicción es matemática, no emocional.
DIME TÚ: 👇
¿Vas a ser el que provee la liquidez o el que se sienta en la mesa con los grandes?
¡COMENTA "MANOS DE ACERO" Y DALE LIKE SI NO VAS A CEDER NI UN SATOSHI! 💎🙌🔥
#btc70k #OnChainAnalysis #SmartMoney #BinanceSquare #SupplyShock #HODL #CryptoStrategy #Write2Earn #Bitcoin2026 #Write2Earn! #Bitcoin❗
The Sunday Reset: Bitcoin $70k Battle & the $3B Liquidation 📉🛡️
We are closing the week at a critical "Decision Zone." While $BTC is fighting to stay above $70,000, the data behind the scenes shows that $3 Billion in futures were liquidated this week. This is a "Leverage Flush"—it hurts short-term traders but makes the market much healthier for long-term growth.
Top Stories for your Sunday:
ETF Outflows: Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a $410M outflow on Thursday, showing that institutional investors are pausing to see if the $70k resistance holds.
Infrastructure over Hype: While prices are volatile, the network is stronger than ever. Bitcoin Mining is now being hailed as the "Silent Savior" of the US electricity grid during recent winter storms.
The "Smart" Rotation: We are seeing money move from "Meme hype" into Programmable Privacy and DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure). Projects like $ZAMA ZAMA and $BTTC C are gaining traction with the "Smart Money" crowd.
My Sunday Strategy: I’m keeping 30% in stablecoins. If we retest $68k, it’s a buying opportunity. If we break $72k, the road to $80k is wide open.
What’s your move for the weekly close?
💎 HODL - No matter what
📉 SELL - Taking profits
💸 BUY - Buying the volatility
#writetoearn rn #Bitcoin2026 #MarketUpdate #CryptoStrategy #BTTH #smartmoney
We are closing the week at a critical "Decision Zone." While $BTC is fighting to stay above $70,000, the data behind the scenes shows that $3 Billion in futures were liquidated this week. This is a "Leverage Flush"—it hurts short-term traders but makes the market much healthier for long-term growth.
Top Stories for your Sunday:
ETF Outflows: Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a $410M outflow on Thursday, showing that institutional investors are pausing to see if the $70k resistance holds.
Infrastructure over Hype: While prices are volatile, the network is stronger than ever. Bitcoin Mining is now being hailed as the "Silent Savior" of the US electricity grid during recent winter storms.
The "Smart" Rotation: We are seeing money move from "Meme hype" into Programmable Privacy and DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure). Projects like $ZAMA ZAMA and $BTTC C are gaining traction with the "Smart Money" crowd.
My Sunday Strategy: I’m keeping 30% in stablecoins. If we retest $68k, it’s a buying opportunity. If we break $72k, the road to $80k is wide open.
What’s your move for the weekly close?
💎 HODL - No matter what
📉 SELL - Taking profits
💸 BUY - Buying the volatility
#writetoearn rn #Bitcoin2026 #MarketUpdate #CryptoStrategy #BTTH #smartmoney
Bitcoin Stabilizes at $69K as Institutional "Sticky Capital" Replaces Retail Speculation in 2026
Bitcoin Stabilizes at $69K as Institutional "Sticky Capital" Replaces Retail Speculation in 2026 Maturity Phase
As of February 14, 2026, Bitcoin has transitioned from a speculative retail asset into a "neutral value reserve" integrated into global financial infrastructure. For any investor navigating the current market, these are the three most critical factors to understand:
1. Institutional Pricing Power and the "New Paradigm"
The era of the "four-year halving cycle" as the primary price driver has largely failed. Pricing power has shifted from crypto-native speculators to traditional institutional asset managers who focus on Sharpe ratios and allocation weights rather than mining events.
Sticky Capital: Approximately 24.5% of Bitcoin ETF holdings are now institutional, which tends to be benchmark-driven and less reactive to short-term volatility.
Corporate Reserves: At least 190 public companies now hold Bitcoin as a strategic treasury asset, locking up approximately 8.5% of the total circulating supply.
Price Resistance: Despite institutional support, heavy supply pressure exists in the $92,100 to $117,400 range due to "trapped" buy orders from the 2025 peak.
2. Emerging Regulatory Frameworks
2026 is a pivotal year for regulatory clarity, moving from enforcement-by-litigation to established federal law.
The CLARITY Act: Currently moving through the U.S. Senate, this bill aims to officially divide regulatory authority between the SEC and CFTC, providing a "safe harbor" for institutional participation.
The GENIUS Act: Enacted in July 2025, this law established federal standards for stablecoins, requiring 100% reserves and monthly disclosures, which has stabilized the "on-ramps" for Bitcoin investing.
Global Compliance: Europe’s MiCA regulation is in full enforcement as of 2026, forcing a flight of volume toward regulated, compliant exchanges.
3. Structural Scarcity vs. Macro Sensitivity
Bitcoin’s fundamental value is increasingly anchored to its verifiable scarcity, even as it becomes more sensitive to global macroeconomic shifts.
Inflation Rate: As of January 13, 2026, 95.12% of all Bitcoin has been mined. Its annualized inflation rate has dropped to 0.823%, which is lower than gold's traditional 1.5%–2%.
Macro Headwinds: Bitcoin now trades as a "macro asset" highly sensitive to Federal Reserve interest rate policies. In February 2026, prices have faced a "crypto winter" sentiment, dropping nearly 50% from October 2025 highs ($126,000+) due to high interest rates and a stronger U.S. Dollar.
Digital Gold Debate: While still viewed as a hedge, Bitcoin recently diverged from gold; gold surged to $4,900+ while Bitcoin fell, challenging the "digital gold" narrative during periods of high geopolitical stress.
Key Investor Insights for 2026
Oversold Conditions: As of mid-February, the Fear & Greed Index has plummeted to 9 (Extreme Fear), while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 30, historically a signal of a potential short-term bounce.
Critical Support: Analysts have identified $58,000–$60,000 as the most significant floor, aligning with the 200-week moving average and the "realized price" (average cost basis) of all holders.
Institutional "Waterline": The average entry price for Bitcoin ETF holders is estimated at $81,600, meaning most institutional buyers are currently underwater, which may lead to further selling pressure if recovery stalls.
#Bitcoin2026 – Tracking the asset's transition from a speculative trade to permanent financial infrastructure.#InstitutionalBTC – Reflecting the 86% of institutional investors now allocating to digital assets and the rise of corporate treasury holdings.#CLARITYAct – Monitoring the pivotal U.S. legislation defining SEC and CFTC jurisdictions to provide long-awaited regulatory certainty.#CryptoMaturity – Highlighting the shift away from the "four-year halving cycle" toward macro-driven, fundamentals-based growth.#DigitalReserves – Discussing Bitcoin's role as a "neutral value reserve" alongside the implementation of federal stablecoin laws like the GENIUS Act.
As of February 14, 2026, Bitcoin has transitioned from a speculative retail asset into a "neutral value reserve" integrated into global financial infrastructure. For any investor navigating the current market, these are the three most critical factors to understand:
1. Institutional Pricing Power and the "New Paradigm"
The era of the "four-year halving cycle" as the primary price driver has largely failed. Pricing power has shifted from crypto-native speculators to traditional institutional asset managers who focus on Sharpe ratios and allocation weights rather than mining events.
Sticky Capital: Approximately 24.5% of Bitcoin ETF holdings are now institutional, which tends to be benchmark-driven and less reactive to short-term volatility.
Corporate Reserves: At least 190 public companies now hold Bitcoin as a strategic treasury asset, locking up approximately 8.5% of the total circulating supply.
Price Resistance: Despite institutional support, heavy supply pressure exists in the $92,100 to $117,400 range due to "trapped" buy orders from the 2025 peak.
2. Emerging Regulatory Frameworks
2026 is a pivotal year for regulatory clarity, moving from enforcement-by-litigation to established federal law.
The CLARITY Act: Currently moving through the U.S. Senate, this bill aims to officially divide regulatory authority between the SEC and CFTC, providing a "safe harbor" for institutional participation.
The GENIUS Act: Enacted in July 2025, this law established federal standards for stablecoins, requiring 100% reserves and monthly disclosures, which has stabilized the "on-ramps" for Bitcoin investing.
Global Compliance: Europe’s MiCA regulation is in full enforcement as of 2026, forcing a flight of volume toward regulated, compliant exchanges.
3. Structural Scarcity vs. Macro Sensitivity
Bitcoin’s fundamental value is increasingly anchored to its verifiable scarcity, even as it becomes more sensitive to global macroeconomic shifts.
Inflation Rate: As of January 13, 2026, 95.12% of all Bitcoin has been mined. Its annualized inflation rate has dropped to 0.823%, which is lower than gold's traditional 1.5%–2%.
Macro Headwinds: Bitcoin now trades as a "macro asset" highly sensitive to Federal Reserve interest rate policies. In February 2026, prices have faced a "crypto winter" sentiment, dropping nearly 50% from October 2025 highs ($126,000+) due to high interest rates and a stronger U.S. Dollar.
Digital Gold Debate: While still viewed as a hedge, Bitcoin recently diverged from gold; gold surged to $4,900+ while Bitcoin fell, challenging the "digital gold" narrative during periods of high geopolitical stress.
Key Investor Insights for 2026
Oversold Conditions: As of mid-February, the Fear & Greed Index has plummeted to 9 (Extreme Fear), while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 30, historically a signal of a potential short-term bounce.
Critical Support: Analysts have identified $58,000–$60,000 as the most significant floor, aligning with the 200-week moving average and the "realized price" (average cost basis) of all holders.
Institutional "Waterline": The average entry price for Bitcoin ETF holders is estimated at $81,600, meaning most institutional buyers are currently underwater, which may lead to further selling pressure if recovery stalls.
#Bitcoin2026 – Tracking the asset's transition from a speculative trade to permanent financial infrastructure.#InstitutionalBTC – Reflecting the 86% of institutional investors now allocating to digital assets and the rise of corporate treasury holdings.#CLARITYAct – Monitoring the pivotal U.S. legislation defining SEC and CFTC jurisdictions to provide long-awaited regulatory certainty.#CryptoMaturity – Highlighting the shift away from the "four-year halving cycle" toward macro-driven, fundamentals-based growth.#DigitalReserves – Discussing Bitcoin's role as a "neutral value reserve" alongside the implementation of federal stablecoin laws like the GENIUS Act.
Why isn’t the market growing? Why hasn’t altseason started yet?
The answer is simple!
Last time, people weren’t so competent in accumulating assets.
Now, everyone is more competent, and they’ve loaded up at advantageous prices.
But here’s the question: when the market goes up, who will buy all the coins we bought cheap? Who will be naïve enough to buy them at expensive prices?
And now, the market knows this — so it’s not convenient to start the train full of passengers.
So what needs to happen? The market must shake off the passengers and let the train leave only with the important people — without us…
Then, later on the road, when prices are already high, we will enter the market at more expensive levels, so the elite can sell us their coins and we give them our money.
They made the profit, and we’re left holding coins bought at high prices.
#BinanceSquareCreator #Write2Earn #Bitcoin2026 #TradingTips #CryptoSriLanka #MarketAnalysis #$BTC # #Educational
The answer is simple!
Last time, people weren’t so competent in accumulating assets.
Now, everyone is more competent, and they’ve loaded up at advantageous prices.
But here’s the question: when the market goes up, who will buy all the coins we bought cheap? Who will be naïve enough to buy them at expensive prices?
And now, the market knows this — so it’s not convenient to start the train full of passengers.
So what needs to happen? The market must shake off the passengers and let the train leave only with the important people — without us…
Then, later on the road, when prices are already high, we will enter the market at more expensive levels, so the elite can sell us their coins and we give them our money.
They made the profit, and we’re left holding coins bought at high prices.
#BinanceSquareCreator #Write2Earn #Bitcoin2026 #TradingTips #CryptoSriLanka #MarketAnalysis #$BTC # #Educational
In barely over an hour, financial markets around the world saw a brutal sell-off that erased trillions in value. Precious metals led the slide as investors rushed to reduce risk, while equities and crypto followed close behind.
Gold slipped sharply as traders locked in profits after its recent rally, and silver faced even stronger selling pressure — a clear sign that short-term fear is dominating sentiment. Major U.S. stock indexes also moved lower as tech shares weakened and institutional money rotated into cash.
Digital assets weren’t spared either. The broader crypto space dipped as leveraged positions were flushed out, reminding everyone how fast momentum can change during high-volatility sessions.
📉 What’s driving this move?
• Rising uncertainty around global economic growth
• Traders de-risking ahead of key macro data
• Profit-taking after strong recent runs
• Algorithmic selling amplifying the drop
Moments like this highlight an important lesson: markets don’t move on headlines alone — liquidity, emotions, and positioning matter just as much.
Smart traders are now watching support zones closely, waiting for confirmation before making their next move. Whether this becomes a deeper correction or just a temporary shakeout will depend on how buyers respond in the coming sessions.
#Bitcoin2026 #silvertrader #GoldSilverRally #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop
Gold slipped sharply as traders locked in profits after its recent rally, and silver faced even stronger selling pressure — a clear sign that short-term fear is dominating sentiment. Major U.S. stock indexes also moved lower as tech shares weakened and institutional money rotated into cash.
Digital assets weren’t spared either. The broader crypto space dipped as leveraged positions were flushed out, reminding everyone how fast momentum can change during high-volatility sessions.
📉 What’s driving this move?
• Rising uncertainty around global economic growth
• Traders de-risking ahead of key macro data
• Profit-taking after strong recent runs
• Algorithmic selling amplifying the drop
Moments like this highlight an important lesson: markets don’t move on headlines alone — liquidity, emotions, and positioning matter just as much.
Smart traders are now watching support zones closely, waiting for confirmation before making their next move. Whether this becomes a deeper correction or just a temporary shakeout will depend on how buyers respond in the coming sessions.
#Bitcoin2026 #silvertrader #GoldSilverRally #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop
🚀 THE MEGA-RALLY: Gold, Silver & BTC Reality Check!
The markets are in a "Tug-of-War." While metals are fighting to reclaim their record peaks, Bitcoin is testing the nerves of every "diamond hand" out there. Here is the 60-second Alpha:
⚜️ GOLD ($XAU ): The $5,000 Battle
After hitting a mind-blowing $5,595 earlier this month, Gold is stabilizing near $4,980. The "Warsh Meltdown" caused a dip, but Central Banks are still stacking. Support: $4,950 | Target: $6,000+ 👑
🥈 SILVER ($XAG ): The Volatility Beast
Silver is the wild child of 2026. After a historic sprint to $121, it’s currently hovering around $79. With a 6th consecutive year of supply deficits, this "liquidity flush" is just a breather before the next squeeze. ⚡
₿ BITCOIN ($BTC ): The Digital Rebel
BTC is lagging the metals today, trading near $65,000. Sentiment is at record lows (Fear & Greed Index at 5!), but remember: the best gains are made when the crowd is terrified. 📉
💡 My Move: I’m watching the Gold/Silver ratio. As it widens, Silver becomes the "high-beta" play for the next leg up. Don't let the shakeout take your bags.
👇 Which one hits a NEW All-Time High first?
1️⃣ Gold | 2️⃣ Silver | 3️⃣ Bitcoin
#GoldSilverRally #Bitcoin2026 #SilverSqueeze #MacroAlpha #BinanceSquare
The markets are in a "Tug-of-War." While metals are fighting to reclaim their record peaks, Bitcoin is testing the nerves of every "diamond hand" out there. Here is the 60-second Alpha:
⚜️ GOLD ($XAU ): The $5,000 Battle
After hitting a mind-blowing $5,595 earlier this month, Gold is stabilizing near $4,980. The "Warsh Meltdown" caused a dip, but Central Banks are still stacking. Support: $4,950 | Target: $6,000+ 👑
🥈 SILVER ($XAG ): The Volatility Beast
Silver is the wild child of 2026. After a historic sprint to $121, it’s currently hovering around $79. With a 6th consecutive year of supply deficits, this "liquidity flush" is just a breather before the next squeeze. ⚡
₿ BITCOIN ($BTC ): The Digital Rebel
BTC is lagging the metals today, trading near $65,000. Sentiment is at record lows (Fear & Greed Index at 5!), but remember: the best gains are made when the crowd is terrified. 📉
💡 My Move: I’m watching the Gold/Silver ratio. As it widens, Silver becomes the "high-beta" play for the next leg up. Don't let the shakeout take your bags.
👇 Which one hits a NEW All-Time High first?
1️⃣ Gold | 2️⃣ Silver | 3️⃣ Bitcoin
#GoldSilverRally #Bitcoin2026 #SilverSqueeze #MacroAlpha #BinanceSquare
2026 Bitcoin Roadmap:
January: Bull Trap
February: Denial
March: Panic
April: Mass Liquidations
May: Bear Market
June: $BTC Bottom 🔖#Bitcoin2026 #btc #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop $BTC
January: Bull Trap
February: Denial
March: Panic
April: Mass Liquidations
May: Bear Market
June: $BTC Bottom 🔖#Bitcoin2026 #btc #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop $BTC
Akhal-Teke:
29
Coinbase Reports $667M Net Loss for Q4 2025 as Crypto Market Downturn Triggers Heavy Impairments
Coinbase Reports $667M Net Loss for Q4 2025 as Crypto Market Downturn Triggers Heavy Impairments
Coinbase reported a net loss of $666.7 million for the fourth quarter of 2025 on February 12, 2026, primarily due to non-cash impairment charges on its cryptocurrency holdings. Despite the headline loss, the company emphasized record 2025 growth, including doubling its crypto trading market share to 6.4% and reaching nearly 1 million Coinbase One subscribers.
Q4 2025 Financial Performance
The results reflect the impact of a significant crypto market downturn in late 2025, during which Bitcoin prices fell sharply from October peaks.
Revenue: Total revenue fell 22% year-over-year to $1.78 billion, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.83 billion.
Losses: The $666.7 million net loss ($2.49 per share) was driven by a $718 million non-cash impairment on crypto investments and a $395 million loss on strategic stakes, including Circle.
Transaction Revenue: Transaction revenue dropped to $983 million, a 36% decrease from the prior year, as consumer spot trading volume slid to $56 billion.
Operational Profitability: Adjusted net profit remained positive at $178 million, showing that core exchange operations remained profitable despite asset markdowns.
Strategic Outlook for 2026
Management remains optimistic about 2026, focusing on expanding into derivatives and stablecoins.
Q1 2026 Guidance: Coinbase expects subscription and services revenue between $550 million and $630 million, which is below initial analyst expectations of $761 million.
Institutional Growth: While spot volumes fell, institutional transaction revenue rose 37% to $185 million, aided by the acquisition of Deribit.
Healthy Reset: Analysts suggest the late 2025 correction helped eliminate excessive leverage, positioning the market for a more stable structural foundation in early 2026.
Market Reaction
Following the report, COIN stock fell 8% to close at $141.09 on February 12, 2026. The decline was exacerbated by a brief trading disruption on the platform during the earnings release. Over the past year, the stock has remained volatile, dropping over 40% year-to-date amid broader digital asset price softness.
$BTC
#Coinbase #CryptoMarket #EarningsReport #fintech #Bitcoin2026
Coinbase reported a net loss of $666.7 million for the fourth quarter of 2025 on February 12, 2026, primarily due to non-cash impairment charges on its cryptocurrency holdings. Despite the headline loss, the company emphasized record 2025 growth, including doubling its crypto trading market share to 6.4% and reaching nearly 1 million Coinbase One subscribers.
Q4 2025 Financial Performance
The results reflect the impact of a significant crypto market downturn in late 2025, during which Bitcoin prices fell sharply from October peaks.
Revenue: Total revenue fell 22% year-over-year to $1.78 billion, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.83 billion.
Losses: The $666.7 million net loss ($2.49 per share) was driven by a $718 million non-cash impairment on crypto investments and a $395 million loss on strategic stakes, including Circle.
Transaction Revenue: Transaction revenue dropped to $983 million, a 36% decrease from the prior year, as consumer spot trading volume slid to $56 billion.
Operational Profitability: Adjusted net profit remained positive at $178 million, showing that core exchange operations remained profitable despite asset markdowns.
Strategic Outlook for 2026
Management remains optimistic about 2026, focusing on expanding into derivatives and stablecoins.
Q1 2026 Guidance: Coinbase expects subscription and services revenue between $550 million and $630 million, which is below initial analyst expectations of $761 million.
Institutional Growth: While spot volumes fell, institutional transaction revenue rose 37% to $185 million, aided by the acquisition of Deribit.
Healthy Reset: Analysts suggest the late 2025 correction helped eliminate excessive leverage, positioning the market for a more stable structural foundation in early 2026.
Market Reaction
Following the report, COIN stock fell 8% to close at $141.09 on February 12, 2026. The decline was exacerbated by a brief trading disruption on the platform during the earnings release. Over the past year, the stock has remained volatile, dropping over 40% year-to-date amid broader digital asset price softness.
$BTC
#Coinbase #CryptoMarket #EarningsReport #fintech #Bitcoin2026
The Next Bitcoin Supercycle Won’t Look Like the Last One
We just watched Bitcoin lose nearly 50% of its value from the October 2025 peak of 126K.
Bitcoin has survived multiple 70–80% drawdowns. It has recovered to new all-time highs every cycle.
But structural shifts since 2024–2025 changed something fundamental:
The next expansion phase may not resemble 2017. It may not resemble 2021. Not because Bitcoin weakened. Because its ownership base evolved.
What Changed?
Three structural transformations reshaped Bitcoin:
➡️ Spot ETFs altered demand mechanics
➡️ Institutional capital became dominant
➡️ Bitcoin integrated into macro liquidity cycles
Bitcoin is no longer a retail-dominated reflexive trade. It is increasingly a liquidity-sensitive macro asset. That changes how cycles ignite, expand, and cool.
1️⃣ From Parabolic Mania to Capital Rotation
➡️Previous Cycles:
🔸️Retail-led FOMO🔸️Vertical price expansions
🔸️Blow-off tops 🔸️Deep resets
➡️Emerging Structure:
🔸️ETF-driven allocation
🔸️Gradual capital rotation
🔸️Portfolio rebalancing
🔸️Liquidity-dependent acceleration
Institutions don’t chase candles emotionally. They allocate when:
▫️Risk premiums compress
▫️Real yields fall
▫️Portfolio diversification improves
This suggests future expansions may be less vertical but more structurally sustained.
2️⃣ Volatility Isn’t Gone — It’s Evolving
Bitcoin still experiences 25–35% drawdowns even post-ETF. Institutions did not eliminate volatility. But the trajectory may shift over longer time horizons.
Instead of: Extreme blow-off → 80% collapse
We may see: Stair-step expansions. Multi-quarter consolidations. Shallower, longer drawdowns
Short-term volatility remains high. Long-term volatility may gradually decay as ownership broadens. That’s not compression. That’s maturation.
3️⃣ The Structural Ceiling: ETF Cost Basis
This did not exist in 2017. Large ETF inflows in 2025 clustered between $85K–100K.
That creates:
🔹️Defined cost-basis zones
🔹️Overhead supply
🔹️Rebalancing resistance
Institutional ETF holdings create structured supply mechanical layers that influence BTC price behavior.
When BTC rallies toward prior institutional entry zones:
• Breakeven sellers emerge
• Risk desks reduce exposure
• Momentum stalls
Bitcoin now has layers of capital that behave mechanically not emotionally. Future supercycles must absorb structured positioning, not just ignite hype.
4️⃣ What Makes the Next Cycle Structurally Different?
Older cycle shape:
🔸️Vertical expansion 🔸️Rapid exhaustion
🔸️Deep winter reset
Potential new cycle shape:
Liquidity shift → accumulation band
Breakout → rotation → consolidation
Re-acceleration → measured extension
Macro-driven cooling not full collapse
Instead of explosive one-year mania, we may see a multi-year staircase expansion.
🔹️Longer 🔹️More mechanical.
🔹️Less chaotic.
Still powerful but structurally layered.
5️⃣ What Actually Ignites the Next Expansion?
Structure alone doesn’t start cycles. Capital reallocation does. Three realistic ignition triggers:
➡️ A Clear Fed Pivot
If:
Real yields decline meaningfully
Rate cuts accelerate
Dollar weakens structurally
Liquidity expands.
Bitcoin historically responds disproportionately to liquidity regime shifts. Historically, Bitcoin’s strongest expansions coincided with periods of expanding global M2 and falling real yields.
➡️ Sovereign or Pension Allocation
If even one major sovereign wealth fund or pension system increases ETF exposure meaningfully:
The signaling effect alone could reprice risk, trigger institutional follow-through, pull sidelined capital forward. This is reflexivity at scale.
ETF inflows/outflows highlight institutional positioning liquidity, not hype, drives BTC cycles.
➡️ Dollar Regime Shift
A sustained breakdown in DXY or rapid global M2 expansion would reintroduce capital flows into scarce assets.
Bitcoin thrives in expanding liquidity environments. The next supercycle likely begins the moment liquidity structurally turns not when sentiment does. Not narratives. Liquidity.
Macro conditions falling real yields, DXY weakness, and M2 growth historically align with BTC expansions.
6️⃣ Retail Still Finishes the Move
No Bitcoin cycle completes without retail.
Institutions: Build the base.
Retail: Creates acceleration.
Signs retail has returned:
▫️Search spikes▫️App download surges
▫️Meme coin mania ▫️Mainstream euphoria
Retail activity historically accelerates BTC expansions search interest and app downloads often precede price surges.
Without retail, expansion is orderly. With retail, expansion becomes reflexive.
So… Will There Be Another Supercycle?
Likely. But it may not be louder.It may be:
🔸️Liquidity-triggered
🔸️Institutionally layered
🔸️Structurally absorbed
🔸️Retail-finished
Bitcoin is no longer early-stage speculation it’s now a liquidity-sensitive macro asset with built-in volatility.
And those waiting for a 2021-style vertical candle may miss a slower, stair-step repricing.
Final Thought
Bitcoin didn’t mature overnight. Its capital base did. The next expansion won’t start with hype. It will start with liquidity.
And the real question isn’t: “Will we see another supercycle?”
It’s: “Will we recognize it if it doesn’t look like the last one?”
Will the next BTC cycle be explosive, or a structural stair-step grind? Where do you see BTC: $150K, $200K, or beyond?
#BitcoinCycle #Bitcoin2026 #MacroCrypto #CryptoAnalysis
Bitcoin has survived multiple 70–80% drawdowns. It has recovered to new all-time highs every cycle.
But structural shifts since 2024–2025 changed something fundamental:
The next expansion phase may not resemble 2017. It may not resemble 2021. Not because Bitcoin weakened. Because its ownership base evolved.
What Changed?
Three structural transformations reshaped Bitcoin:
➡️ Spot ETFs altered demand mechanics
➡️ Institutional capital became dominant
➡️ Bitcoin integrated into macro liquidity cycles
Bitcoin is no longer a retail-dominated reflexive trade. It is increasingly a liquidity-sensitive macro asset. That changes how cycles ignite, expand, and cool.
1️⃣ From Parabolic Mania to Capital Rotation
➡️Previous Cycles:
🔸️Retail-led FOMO🔸️Vertical price expansions
🔸️Blow-off tops 🔸️Deep resets
➡️Emerging Structure:
🔸️ETF-driven allocation
🔸️Gradual capital rotation
🔸️Portfolio rebalancing
🔸️Liquidity-dependent acceleration
Institutions don’t chase candles emotionally. They allocate when:
▫️Risk premiums compress
▫️Real yields fall
▫️Portfolio diversification improves
This suggests future expansions may be less vertical but more structurally sustained.
2️⃣ Volatility Isn’t Gone — It’s Evolving
Bitcoin still experiences 25–35% drawdowns even post-ETF. Institutions did not eliminate volatility. But the trajectory may shift over longer time horizons.
Instead of: Extreme blow-off → 80% collapse
We may see: Stair-step expansions. Multi-quarter consolidations. Shallower, longer drawdowns
Short-term volatility remains high. Long-term volatility may gradually decay as ownership broadens. That’s not compression. That’s maturation.
3️⃣ The Structural Ceiling: ETF Cost Basis
This did not exist in 2017. Large ETF inflows in 2025 clustered between $85K–100K.
That creates:
🔹️Defined cost-basis zones
🔹️Overhead supply
🔹️Rebalancing resistance
Institutional ETF holdings create structured supply mechanical layers that influence BTC price behavior.
When BTC rallies toward prior institutional entry zones:
• Breakeven sellers emerge
• Risk desks reduce exposure
• Momentum stalls
Bitcoin now has layers of capital that behave mechanically not emotionally. Future supercycles must absorb structured positioning, not just ignite hype.
4️⃣ What Makes the Next Cycle Structurally Different?
Older cycle shape:
🔸️Vertical expansion 🔸️Rapid exhaustion
🔸️Deep winter reset
Potential new cycle shape:
Liquidity shift → accumulation band
Breakout → rotation → consolidation
Re-acceleration → measured extension
Macro-driven cooling not full collapse
Instead of explosive one-year mania, we may see a multi-year staircase expansion.
🔹️Longer 🔹️More mechanical.
🔹️Less chaotic.
Still powerful but structurally layered.
5️⃣ What Actually Ignites the Next Expansion?
Structure alone doesn’t start cycles. Capital reallocation does. Three realistic ignition triggers:
➡️ A Clear Fed Pivot
If:
Real yields decline meaningfully
Rate cuts accelerate
Dollar weakens structurally
Liquidity expands.
Bitcoin historically responds disproportionately to liquidity regime shifts. Historically, Bitcoin’s strongest expansions coincided with periods of expanding global M2 and falling real yields.
➡️ Sovereign or Pension Allocation
If even one major sovereign wealth fund or pension system increases ETF exposure meaningfully:
The signaling effect alone could reprice risk, trigger institutional follow-through, pull sidelined capital forward. This is reflexivity at scale.
ETF inflows/outflows highlight institutional positioning liquidity, not hype, drives BTC cycles.
➡️ Dollar Regime Shift
A sustained breakdown in DXY or rapid global M2 expansion would reintroduce capital flows into scarce assets.
Bitcoin thrives in expanding liquidity environments. The next supercycle likely begins the moment liquidity structurally turns not when sentiment does. Not narratives. Liquidity.
Macro conditions falling real yields, DXY weakness, and M2 growth historically align with BTC expansions.
6️⃣ Retail Still Finishes the Move
No Bitcoin cycle completes without retail.
Institutions: Build the base.
Retail: Creates acceleration.
Signs retail has returned:
▫️Search spikes▫️App download surges
▫️Meme coin mania ▫️Mainstream euphoria
Retail activity historically accelerates BTC expansions search interest and app downloads often precede price surges.
Without retail, expansion is orderly. With retail, expansion becomes reflexive.
So… Will There Be Another Supercycle?
Likely. But it may not be louder.It may be:
🔸️Liquidity-triggered
🔸️Institutionally layered
🔸️Structurally absorbed
🔸️Retail-finished
Bitcoin is no longer early-stage speculation it’s now a liquidity-sensitive macro asset with built-in volatility.
And those waiting for a 2021-style vertical candle may miss a slower, stair-step repricing.
Final Thought
Bitcoin didn’t mature overnight. Its capital base did. The next expansion won’t start with hype. It will start with liquidity.
And the real question isn’t: “Will we see another supercycle?”
It’s: “Will we recognize it if it doesn’t look like the last one?”
Will the next BTC cycle be explosive, or a structural stair-step grind? Where do you see BTC: $150K, $200K, or beyond?
#BitcoinCycle #Bitcoin2026 #MacroCrypto #CryptoAnalysis
Rafitasanv:
Yo llevo comprando BTC cada mes desde hace 3 años y estoy convencido de que en 4 años BTC llegará a 500.000 dólares el BTC y en más tiempo al millón, pero con volatilidad.
🔥🚨 THE ELON PIVOT: $1.3 MILLION BITCOIN LOADING? 🚀🌕💥
$BTC $BNB $DOGE
The world is shaking! 🌍 While the "weak hands" are crying because of the recent dip to $65K, the ULTIMATE WHALE is preparing his move. Reports are exploding that Elon Musk is ready to go "ALL-IN" on Bitcoin in 2026! 📉➡️🚀
This isn't just a rumor; it’s a financial supernova. Samson Mow is calling for $1,330,000 per BTC. Read that again. ONE. POINT. THREE. MILLION. 🤯💰
Why this is the "buy of a lifetime":
⚡ The Musk Effect: When Elon moves, the world follows. Tesla, SpaceX, X... if he integrates BTC, the supply will vanish in seconds! 💨
📉 The Great Shakeout: Today’s 14% drop is a GIFT. The institutions are flushing out the scared money before the vertical moonshot. 🎁🔥
🏦 Wall Street is Positive: Even JPMorgan says they are "Positive" on crypto for 2026 despite the volatility. They want your cheap sats! 🏛️🤫
🚀 Seven-Figure Target: We are moving from "digital gold" to the global reserve currency. 💎
The "experts" said $100K was the top. They were WRONG. Now they say it's over. They are WRONG AGAIN. ❌
Are you going to let Elon and the whales take your seat on the rocket? 🚀🎟️
The clock is ticking. Fortune favors the BOLD. 🏆⚡
#Bitcoin2026 #ElonMusk #CryptoPanic #BullRunLoading #SamsonMow
$BTC $BNB $DOGE
The world is shaking! 🌍 While the "weak hands" are crying because of the recent dip to $65K, the ULTIMATE WHALE is preparing his move. Reports are exploding that Elon Musk is ready to go "ALL-IN" on Bitcoin in 2026! 📉➡️🚀
This isn't just a rumor; it’s a financial supernova. Samson Mow is calling for $1,330,000 per BTC. Read that again. ONE. POINT. THREE. MILLION. 🤯💰
Why this is the "buy of a lifetime":
⚡ The Musk Effect: When Elon moves, the world follows. Tesla, SpaceX, X... if he integrates BTC, the supply will vanish in seconds! 💨
📉 The Great Shakeout: Today’s 14% drop is a GIFT. The institutions are flushing out the scared money before the vertical moonshot. 🎁🔥
🏦 Wall Street is Positive: Even JPMorgan says they are "Positive" on crypto for 2026 despite the volatility. They want your cheap sats! 🏛️🤫
🚀 Seven-Figure Target: We are moving from "digital gold" to the global reserve currency. 💎
The "experts" said $100K was the top. They were WRONG. Now they say it's over. They are WRONG AGAIN. ❌
Are you going to let Elon and the whales take your seat on the rocket? 🚀🎟️
The clock is ticking. Fortune favors the BOLD. 🏆⚡
#Bitcoin2026 #ElonMusk #CryptoPanic #BullRunLoading #SamsonMow
🏛️ LA CALMA ES EL VERDADERO ALPHA 🏛️
Bienvenido a un rincón de estrategia en un mercado lleno de ruido. Si estás aquí, es porque entendiste que el trading no es una carrera de 100 metros, sino una maratón de resistencia y disciplina. 🏃♂️💨
En este perfil no buscamos "dar el pelotazo" por suerte. Buscamos rentabilidad sostenible mediante tres pilares fundamentales:
1️⃣ Narrativa antes que Precio: El dinero fluye hacia donde hay utilidad. Hoy es la IA, los RWA y el DePIN. Mañana será otra cosa, pero nuestra metodología para identificarlo no cambia. 🧠🔬
2️⃣ Gestión del Caos: El mercado está diseñado para quitarle el dinero a los impacientes. Aquí aprendemos a amar el "dip" y a tener la sangre fría para tomar ganancias cuando todos los demás tienen FOMO. 🧊🩸
3️⃣ Visión 2026: No operamos para pagar el café de mañana; operamos para construir la libertad de los próximos 10 años. 💎🏛️
📍 ¿QUÉ APRENDERÁS AQUÍ?
Cómo filtrar el 99% de las "gems" que son basura. 🗑️🚫
Análisis técnico simplificado (lo que realmente funciona). 📈
Psicología de mercado: Por qué tu mente es tu mejor activo o tu peor enemigo. 🧠⚖️
💡 MI COMPROMISO: Ser tu brújula cuando el gráfico se ponga rojo y tu cable a tierra cuando el verde te nuble el juicio. La riqueza se construye en el silencio de la acumulación, no en el ruido de las redes sociales. 🤫💰
Si buscas un mentor que te diga la verdad, aunque duela, y que te ayude a ver lo que otros ignoran... SÍGUEME y activa las notificaciones. 🔔
👇 Comenta "CLARIDAD" si estás listo para operar con inteligencia.
Nos vemos en la cima. 🏔️🥂
#MentorCrypto #InversiónConsciente #BinanceSquare #Bitcoin2026 #WealthBuilding #IA #RWA #Write2Earn
En este perfil no buscamos "dar el pelotazo" por suerte. Buscamos rentabilidad sostenible mediante tres pilares fundamentales:
1️⃣ Narrativa antes que Precio: El dinero fluye hacia donde hay utilidad. Hoy es la IA, los RWA y el DePIN. Mañana será otra cosa, pero nuestra metodología para identificarlo no cambia. 🧠🔬
2️⃣ Gestión del Caos: El mercado está diseñado para quitarle el dinero a los impacientes. Aquí aprendemos a amar el "dip" y a tener la sangre fría para tomar ganancias cuando todos los demás tienen FOMO. 🧊🩸
3️⃣ Visión 2026: No operamos para pagar el café de mañana; operamos para construir la libertad de los próximos 10 años. 💎🏛️
📍 ¿QUÉ APRENDERÁS AQUÍ?
Cómo filtrar el 99% de las "gems" que son basura. 🗑️🚫
Análisis técnico simplificado (lo que realmente funciona). 📈
Psicología de mercado: Por qué tu mente es tu mejor activo o tu peor enemigo. 🧠⚖️
💡 MI COMPROMISO: Ser tu brújula cuando el gráfico se ponga rojo y tu cable a tierra cuando el verde te nuble el juicio. La riqueza se construye en el silencio de la acumulación, no en el ruido de las redes sociales. 🤫💰
Si buscas un mentor que te diga la verdad, aunque duela, y que te ayude a ver lo que otros ignoran... SÍGUEME y activa las notificaciones. 🔔
👇 Comenta "CLARIDAD" si estás listo para operar con inteligencia.
Nos vemos en la cima. 🏔️🥂
#MentorCrypto #InversiónConsciente #BinanceSquare #Bitcoin2026 #WealthBuilding #IA #RWA #Write2Earn
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