fomcmeeting

If you trade crypto regularly, you have seen this pattern many times. The market stays calm for days, then suddenly volatility spikes. Bitcoin moves sharply, altcoins follow, and everyone starts talking about Jerome Powell. This usually happens on an FOMC day. To trade crypto with clarity, you need to understand why this meeting matters so much.
What the FOMC meeting actually is
The FOMC, or Federal Open Market Committee, is a part of the US Federal Reserve. Its role is to manage US monetary policy. The committee meets eight times a year and sometimes more during economic stress. During these meetings, they decide how tight or loose financial conditions should be for the economy.
The main goals of the FOMC are controlling inflation, supporting economic growth, and maintaining financial stability. To achieve this, they adjust interest rates and manage liquidity in the financial system. These decisions do not stay limited to the US economy. They affect global markets.
Why the crypto market reacts to FOMC decisions
The US dollar is the world’s reserve currency. Because of this, US monetary policy influences stocks, bonds, commodities, and risk assets across the globe. Crypto is considered a risk asset, which is why it reacts quickly and often aggressively to FOMC outcomes.
Understanding rate hikes and rate cuts
Interest rates represent the cost of borrowing money. When the FOMC raises rates, borrowing becomes expensive and liquidity tightens. Investors become cautious and reduce exposure to risky assets. In this environment, crypto usually faces selling pressure.
When the FOMC cuts rates, borrowing becomes cheaper and liquidity increases. Risk appetite improves and investors start searching for higher returns. Crypto often benefits from this shift, especially Bitcoin and strong altcoins. Rate cuts can also signal economic slowdown, which pushes some investors toward Bitcoin as a hedge.
Liquidity and the Fed balance sheet
FOMC policy is not limited to interest rates. The Federal Reserve also controls liquidity through its balance sheet. Quantitative easing means injecting money into the system by buying assets, while quantitative tightening means removing liquidity by selling assets. Crypto has historically performed better during easing cycles and struggled during tightening phases.
Why Jerome Powell’s speech moves markets
Jerome Powell’s speech is one of the most important parts of an FOMC day. Traders focus on his tone as much as his words. A hawkish tone signals tighter policy ahead, while a dovish tone suggests future easing. Even small wording changes can move markets because institutional traders and algorithms react instantly.
Why expectations matter more than decisions
Markets price expectations before the meeting happens. Sometimes the decision itself matters less than what traders expected. If a rate cut is expected and does not happen, crypto can drop sharply. If a rate hike is expected and the Fed pauses, the market may rally. This is why FOMC reactions often confuse new traders.
How crypto traders should approach FOMC days
FOMC days are about risk management, not predictions. Volatility is high and sudden moves are common. Using high leverage can be dangerous. Focusing on higher time frames, watching liquidity trends, and staying patient usually leads to better results.
The bigger picture for crypto investors
The FOMC meeting is not designed for crypto, but it shapes the financial environment in which crypto exists. Understanding interest rates, liquidity, and Powell’s signals helps you make smarter decisions. This knowledge does not guarantee profits, but it improves consistency and long term survival in the crypto market.

#Fomc #fomcmeeting #ratecuts $BTC
$ETH
$SOL

If you trade crypto regularly, you have seen this pattern many times. The market stays calm for days, then suddenly volatility spikes. $BTC moves sharply, altcoins follow, and everyone starts talking about Jerome Powell. This usually happens on an FOMC day. To trade crypto with clarity, you need to understand why this meeting matters so much.
What the FOMC meeting actually is
The FOMC, or Federal Open Market Committee, is a part of the US Federal Reserve. Its role is to manage US monetary policy. The committee meets eight times a year and sometimes more during economic stress. During these meetings, they decide how tight or loose financial conditions should be for the economy.
The main goals of the FOMC are controlling inflation, supporting economic growth, and maintaining financial stability. To achieve this, they adjust interest rates and manage liquidity in the financial system. These decisions do not stay limited to the US economy. They affect global markets.
Why the crypto market reacts to FOMC decisions
The US dollar is the world’s reserve currency. Because of this, US monetary policy influences stocks, bonds, commodities, and risk assets across the globe. Crypto is considered a risk asset, which is why it reacts quickly and often aggressively to FOMC outcomes.
Understanding rate hikes and rate cuts
Interest rates represent the cost of borrowing money. When the FOMC raises rates, borrowing becomes expensive and liquidity tightens. Investors become cautious and reduce exposure to risky assets. In this environment, crypto usually faces selling pressure.
When the FOMC cuts rates, borrowing becomes cheaper and liquidity increases. Risk appetite improves and investors start searching for higher returns. Crypto often benefits from this shift, especially Bitcoin and strong altcoins. Rate cuts can also signal economic slowdown, which pushes some investors toward Bitcoin as a hedge.
Liquidity and the Fed balance sheet
FOMC policy is not limited to interest rates. The Federal Reserve also controls liquidity through its balance sheet. Quantitative easing means injecting money into the system by buying assets, while quantitative tightening means removing liquidity by selling assets. Crypto has historically performed better during easing cycles and struggled during tightening phases.
Why Jerome Powell’s speech moves markets
Jerome Powell’s speech is one of the most important parts of an FOMC day. Traders focus on his tone as much as his words. A hawkish tone signals tighter policy ahead, while a dovish tone suggests future easing. Even small wording changes can move markets because institutional traders and algorithms react instantly.
Why expectations matter more than decisions
Markets price expectations before the meeting happens. Sometimes the decision itself matters less than what traders expected. If a rate cut is expected and does not happen, crypto can drop sharply. If a rate hike is expected and the Fed pauses, the market may rally. This is why FOMC reactions often confuse new traders.
How crypto traders should approach FOMC days
FOMC days are about risk management, not predictions. Volatility is high and sudden moves are common. Using high leverage can be dangerous. Focusing on higher time frames, watching liquidity trends, and staying patient usually leads to better results.
The bigger picture for crypto investors
The FOMC meeting is not designed for crypto, but it shapes the financial environment in which crypto exists. Understanding interest rates, liquidity, and Powell’s signals helps you make smarter decisions. This knowledge does not guarantee profits, but it improves consistency and long term survival in the crypto market.

#Fomc #fomcmeeting #ratecuts $BTC

البيتكوين كسر لـ 104 الف دولار وده شئ مفاجئ جدًا خصوصًا وإن تثبيت الفايدة في أمريكا كان متوقع. بس في عوامل كتير اشتغلت مع بعض وخلّت السوق ينفجر
زخم مضاربي و FOMO
أول ما السعر كسر الـ 100 الف دولار بدأ الخوف من فوات الفرصة يشتغل. البورصات دخلت أوامر شراء تلقائي والمضاربين دخلوا بكثافة، فالسوق ولّع.
سيولة ضخمة من المؤسسات
صناديق استثمارية زي BlackRock و Fidelity بيجهزوا منتجات بيتكوين وده ضخ سيولة غير مسبوقة. تثبيت الفايدة شجّعهم يدخلوا بكامل قوتهم.
أخبار اقتصادية وتجارية إيجابية
تصريحات ترامب عن صفقة تجارية مع دولة "محترمة" خلت الناس تدور على ملاذ آمن والبيتكوين بقى البديل الأول.
الندرة بعد Halving
العرض قل والطلب انفجر، فالسعر رفع.
طيب وبيتكوين هي الوحيدة لأ طبعًا السوق كله مولع
إيثيريوم ETH سعره حوالى 1966 دولار بعد ما كان فوق الـ2000 من كام ساعة
و سولانا SOL دلوقتي 162 دولار محافظ على دعم قوي وتوقعات بيوصل لـ200و220 دولار لو الزخم كمل.
ريبل XRP عند 2.21 دولار بيحاول يكسر مقاومة عند 2.23 دولار ولو نجح ممكن يطير لـ2.30–2.40
طب هل ممكن يحصل تصحيح قريب؟
آه، وارد جدا لأسباب
RSI عالي جدًا ده معناه السوق محتاج يريح. عندنا مقاومات عند 106–108k ممكن يحصل عندها بيع عنيف بس في دعم أول عند 100و 102الف دولار اتكسر ممكن ننزل لـ95و96k
سيناريوهات الهبوط المرجح خلال 48 ساعة
تصحيح خفيف من 5 لـ 8% لمستوى 96–99 الف دولار ثم تصحيح متوسط بس ده احتمال اقل ممكن يوصّلنا لـ 93 الف دولار
اقتباسات مهمة
Trenchev (Nexo) البيتكوين فوق الـ100 ألف؟ ده إنجاز تاريخي.
Zack Shapiro المؤسسات داخلة السوق كأنها في سباق تسلح.
Kendrick (StanChart) بداية الهروب من الدولار… وبيتكوين رايح لـ120 ألف.
Puckrin الارتفاعات على حجم تداول ضعيف… التقلبات قربت.
الأسواق في حالة هوس بس لازم تبقى ذكي لو معاك أرباح فكّر تحجز جزء لو لسه داخل حط وقف خسارة واضح
تابع تحركات المؤسسات والأخبار الاقتصادية لأن هي اللي بتتحكم في موجات السوق.
الفرصة كبيرة بس الخطر كمان كبير وإنت اللي بتحدد إزاي تلعبها وده طبعا مجرد تحليل ورأي مش نصيحةمالية.😊👻
$BTC $SOL $ETH
#BTCBackto100K #CryptoComeback #BTCtrade #TradeStories #FOMCMeeting

$BTC

Looking at the monthly chart, I see the previous three cycle tops as Waves (I), (III), and (V) tops, which completed the primary wave [I].

This cycle feels very different -- e.g., an ATH before halving. I now believe this difference is due to BTC being in Primary Wave [III] as opposed to in Primary Wave [I]. Waves I and II (what degree is uncertain) have completed. Wave 1, 2 of Wave III are also completed. Wave 3 of III should announce itself once this Wave 2 completes.

Can't think of any triggers for a sudden burst of optimism since all good news seem already out. We'll see.

#FOMCMeeting #MarketPullback #FranceBTCReserveBill #BTCReserveStrategy #StablecoinLaw

Here are 8 must-know bullish patterns:👇

1️⃣ Double Bottom
📉➕📈 A "W"-shaped reversal pattern showing strong support and a trend reversal.

2️⃣ Inverse Head & Shoulders
🧠🔄 A classic reversal signal — when the market says “I’m done falling!” 📈

3️⃣ Falling Wedge
🔻➡️🔺 Price squeezes down but breaks out upward 💥

4️⃣ Bearish Channel
📉📉 Then... 💥 breakout up! Sometimes “bearish” patterns flip bullish! 👀

5️⃣ Bullish Rectangle
📦📈 Breaks out after sideways consolidation. Patience = profits 🧘‍♂️💰

6️⃣ Bullish Pennant
📐🚀 After a strong pump, short rest… then BOOM! 📊

7️⃣ Ascending Triangle
🔼📈 Flat top, rising lows. Buyers are getting stronger!

8️⃣ Bullish Flag
🚩📉 Small dip after a run, then liftoff continues! 🚀🔥
Here is the candles image 👇

💡TIP: These patterns work best with volume confirmation 📊🔍
Study, observe, and always use proper risk management! 🛡️

👇 Save this for your next trade and stay ahead in the market!
If you found this helpful, please follow, like ❤️, and comment below! 🙏👇
#ProjectCrypto #TrumpTariffs #MarketPullback #WhiteHouseDigitalAssetReport #FOMCMeeting

Gold just completed a parabolic wave 5 rally after breaking through a decade-long resistance ceiling, surging to $4,002 per ounce. Bitcoin, currently trading at $110,056 after a 3.90% pullback, is showing an eerily similar five-wave structure on its weekly chart. If history doesn't just rhyme but repeats, we might be witnessing the setup for Bitcoin's most explosive move yet.


The Pattern That Predicts Parabolas
Elliott Wave theory identifies five-wave structures in trending markets: three impulse waves up (1, 3, 5) separated by two corrective waves down (2, 4). The fifth wave typically represents the final, often vertical push that captures mainstream attention and exhausts the trend.
Gold's chart tells a clean story. After consolidating in waves 1 through 4 over more than a decade, gold finally broke its long-term resistance ceiling in 2024. What followed was a classic wave 5 acceleration—the kind of move that turns patient holders into serious winners and makes headlines in the financial press.
The structure is textbook. Wave 1 established the initial impulse. Wave 2 provided a deep correction that shook out weak hands. Wave 3 delivered the strongest, most sustained rally. Wave 4 consolidated those gains with a shallower pullback. Then wave 5 launched with reduced volume but maximum price velocity.
Bitcoin's Mirror Image
Now look at Bitcoin's weekly chart. The parallel is striking.
Wave 1 peaked in 2021 at roughly $69,000 before the crypto winter began. Wave 2 carved out a brutal 77% correction, bottoming near $15,550 in late 2022. Wave 3 has been the powerful rally from those lows through the 2024 breakout to new all-time highs above $73,000. Wave 4 appears to have completed as a consolidation in the $84,000 range.
If this mapping is accurate, Bitcoin is now positioned at the threshold of wave 5—the final parabolic chapter before a larger degree correction.
The similarities extend beyond just the wave count. Both assets broke through decade-defining resistance levels before entering this final phase. For gold, it was the $2,100 ceiling that had capped prices since 2011. For Bitcoin, it was reclaiming and holding the previous all-time high from 2021, a psychological and technical barrier that took years to overcome.
Why Wave 5 Matters More Than You Think
Fifth waves are unique in market psychology. They typically occur when the fundamental narrative has fully matured, when skeptics have been converted, and when late-stage participants finally capitulate to FOMO.
Gold's wave 5 coincided with escalating geopolitical tensions, central bank accumulation, and a broader flight to safety amid inflation concerns. The move wasn't about discovering gold—it was about the world finally acting on what gold investors had been saying for years.
Bitcoin's potential wave 5 setup comes with its own powerful fundamentals. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have channeled billions in institutional capital into the asset. El Salvador's Bitcoin adoption experiment continues. Major corporations maintain Bitcoin treasury positions. The tokenization of real-world assets is accelerating, and blockchain infrastructure supporting DeFi, Web3, and decentralized applications has matured significantly.
More importantly, Bitcoin has successfully navigated multiple regulatory challenges, survived the collapse of major crypto exchanges, and maintained network security through it all. The asset has been stress-tested in ways that didn't exist in previous cycles.
The Technical Setup
From a pure chart perspective, Bitcoin has already completed the breakout. The hard part—grinding through resistance, building conviction, establishing higher lows—is behind us. The structure suggests the foundation is set.
Wave 5 targets are inherently difficult to predict because they're driven more by emotion and momentum than technical levels. But historically, fifth waves often extend to 1.618 or even 2.618 Fibonacci projections from the wave 1 high. In Bitcoin's case, depending on where you mark wave 1's peak and wave 2's bottom, those projections could point anywhere from $150,000 to well over $200,000.
That might sound aggressive, but consider gold's recent behavior. After a decade of consolidation, gold added over 50% in less than two years during its wave 5. Bitcoin, with its higher volatility and smaller market cap relative to global liquidity, could theoretically deliver multiples of that percentage gain.
The white trendline on both charts represents long-term support that has held through multiple tests. Bitcoin remains well above this ascending support, suggesting the bullish structure is intact. Unlike previous rallies that felt fragile or overextended, this one has been characterized by sustained institutional buying and on-chain metrics showing strong holder conviction.
What Could Derail This Scenario
No pattern is guaranteed. Elliott Wave analysis is interpretive, not predictive. Multiple analysts can look at the same chart and count waves differently.
The most obvious risk is that Bitcoin has already completed wave 5, and the recent all-time highs represented the top of this cycle. In that case, the current pullback wouldn't be wave 4 completing—it would be the start of a larger correction.
Macro conditions could also intervene. If global liquidity tightens unexpectedly, if regulatory crackdowns intensify, or if a major crypto protocol suffers a catastrophic failure, technical patterns become secondary to survival instincts.
The correlation between gold and Bitcoin, while interesting, isn't causal. Gold is responding to its own set of drivers: sovereign debt concerns, currency debasement, central bank policy. Bitcoin operates in a different ecosystem with different participants and different catalysts. Just because gold printed a wave 5 doesn't obligate Bitcoin to do the same on a similar timeline.
The Launchpad Thesis
Still, the pattern recognition here is difficult to ignore. Both assets show five-wave structures. Both broke decade-long resistance. Both are trading above long-term ascending support. Both have completed what appears to be a wave 4 consolidation.
If Bitcoin is indeed "standing on the launchpad," as the analysis suggests, then the implications are significant. Wave 5 moves tend to happen faster than earlier waves. They capture attention from market participants who missed earlier opportunities. They generate the kind of vertical price action that dominates financial media and social media feeds.
Ethereum typically amplifies Bitcoin's moves, often outperforming in the later stages of bull markets. Altcoins, particularly those with strong fundamentals in sectors like AI crypto and decentralized finance, could see explosive gains if Bitcoin enters a parabolic phase.
For traders, the strategy becomes clearer. If you believe in the wave 5 thesis, the current pullback to $110,000 might represent one of the last opportunities to position before the final acceleration. If you're skeptical, then managing risk and watching for signs of distribution becomes paramount.
The Target Is "Much Higher"
The vague target of "much higher" frustrates analysts who want precision, but it's also honest. Wave 5 targets depend on where you measure from, which Fibonacci extension you use, and how much momentum builds once the move begins.
What we can say with more confidence is this: if Bitcoin follows gold's playbook, the move won't be modest. Gold didn't add 10-15% in its wave 5—it went parabolic. The percentage gains were substantial enough to validate the decade-long patience of holders who bought in 2011 and waited through years of consolidation.
Bitcoin's volatility profile and market structure suggest even larger potential moves. A 50-100% rally from current levels would put Bitcoin in the $165,000 to $220,000 range. That's not a prediction—it's simply math applied to historical wave 5 behavior in similar chart structures.
The real question isn't whether Bitcoin can reach those levels. The question is whether the current wave count is correct, whether the macro environment will support that kind of move, and whether Bitcoin can sustain the breakout above its previous all-time highs without triggering a premature correction.
Reading The Market's Blueprint
One of the most valuable lessons in market analysis is that markets often leave blueprints. They signal their intentions through pattern, structure, and repetition. The gold-Bitcoin parallel might be one of those blueprints.
This doesn't mean blindly betting on wave 5. It means understanding the structure, acknowledging the pattern, and preparing for multiple scenarios. If wave 5 unfolds, you want to be positioned. If it doesn't, you want to have protected capital and maintained flexibility.
The breakout is already done. Bitcoin has reclaimed its previous all-time highs and established them as support multiple times through 2024 and 2025. The consolidation phase has built energy. The structure looks coiled.
Gold showed us what happens when an asset breaks through a decade-long ceiling and completes its fifth wave—it goes vertical. Bitcoin, with its unique characteristics as a digital asset, its growing institutional adoption, and its fixed supply against infinite fiat creation, has its own compelling narrative for a similar move.
Whether that narrative plays out depends on factors both technical and fundamental, both visible and hidden. But the pattern is there. The playbook is on the table. And if Elliott Wave theory holds once again, we're watching the setup for Bitcoin's final parabolic chapter before the next major reset.

When gold broke its 10-year ceiling and launched into wave 5, it rewarded the patient and punished the skeptical—Bitcoin's chart is asking which side of that equation you'll be on this time.
#bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #ElliottWave #MarketAnalysis #goldprice #DigitalAssets #CryptoTrading

#CryptoMarket4T #FOMCMeeting