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🐺 BTC November Outlook — “Last Bearer Phase”

📉 Short-Term (November Dip Cycle)

⚠️ Possible last hard bearish wave of this phase.

🔁 Pattern similar to last November’s washout.

📊 Probability: 55–60% correction or liquidity sweep.

🧊 Purpose: Cool off leverage + reset market positions.




💣 Downside Sweep Zones

💥 97K: first short-trigger or liquidity grab.

🌪️ 91K: deep retest; mid-support flush.

🕳️ 87K: max pain zone — possible short wick.

🎯 Probability of touching all three: ~45%.

💬 After that → market could start bottom-forming.



🚀 Upside Recovery & Gradual Bull Run

🌄 Recovery toward 133K–141K after dip cycle ends.

🔮 Probability: ~70–75% if liquidity rotates back.

🧠 Driven by ETF flows, institutions, and liquidity rotation.

🔁 Could form a V-bottom recovery into early 2026.



🧭 Macro Sentiment Layer

💧 Liquidity tightening → short pain.

🌊 Liquidity returning → sharp recovery.

🧩 November = bear trap, not full reversal.

🕰️ December–January: narrative flip bullish again.




📑 Overall Probability Table

⚡ Scenario 🎯 Range / Action 📊 Probability 🧩 Insight

Bearer phase / correction 97k–87k 55–60 % Reset zone

Deep retest near 87k – 30–40% Derivative flush

Gradual rally to 133–141k – 70–75% Breakout phase

Full breakdown below 80k – <15% Very unlikely



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🧠 Final Thought

> “November may roar like a wolf 🐺 — but after the howl comes the moon. 🌕
Weak hands fade, strong hands build.”


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