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Bitcoin is trading at $77.2K, consolidating between $76K support and $78K resistance after US-Iran strikes rattled risk markets. Oil spiked 1.5% while BTC held steady, showing resilience vs equities. On-chain data stays calm: MVRV at 2.1, low leverage, and mild exchange outflows signal no panic selling. A break above $78K opens a move to $82K. A drop below $76K risks a slide to $72K. Geopolitics is driving short-term volatility, but fundamentals remain neutral.$BTC

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Senegal cracks down on foreign trips for ministers as global oil prices surge
Prime Minister Ousmane Sonko says crude prices are nearing double the budget benchmark, forcing urgent fiscal adjustments.
Senegal has banned ministers from non-essential foreign travel to curb rising government spending amid escalating oil prices.
The move reflects a broader African response, with countries adopting measures to manage fuel costs and energy shortages.
Experts warn that disruptions to global supply chains could worsen food security, especially in vulnerable regions.
Addressing a youth rally on Friday, Sonko revealed that the cost of a barrel of oil was nearing twice the level initially projected in the national budget, signalling a sharp and unexpected fiscal strain.
In response, he confirmed that he had personally suspended planned visits to Niger, Spain, and France, underscoring the seriousness of the government’s cost-cutting drive.
Further measures to rein in public expenditure are expected, with the minister of mines set to outline additional steps in the coming days.
Senegal’s decision reflects a broader continental response to surging energy costs, driven in part by escalating tensions in the Middle East. Several African countries are already adjusting policies to cushion the impact, including tax reductions on fuel and energy rationing.
Despite recent progress in developing its domestic oil and gas sector, Senegal remains heavily reliant on imported fuel, leaving it vulnerable to global price shocks. Sonko acknowledged the challenges but sought to strike a measured tone, telling young people he did not wish to “frighten” them, but rather to offer “a sense of this world, which is a difficult world”. He added that, even in hardship, Senegalese citizens remained resilient.
The country’s economic outlook had appeared strong as recently as last year, with the International Monetary Fund describing growth as “robust” at nearly 8% and inflation relatively low. However, high public debt, estimated at over 130% of GDP, continues to weigh heavily. Sonko attributed much of this burden to the previous administration, arguing it has compounded the current crisis.
Across Africa, the ripple effects are becoming increasingly visible. South Africa has moved to cut fuel taxes; Ethiopia is grappling with fuel shortages that have disrupted public services; and South Sudan has begun rationing electricity. Zimbabwe, meanwhile, is increasing ethanol blending in petrol.
Compounding concerns, disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have constrained fertiliser supplies globally, prompting warnings of a looming food security crisis, particularly in East Africa.
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Washington, DC – When the White House announced that Donald Trump would be making a speech to the nation about the war on Iran, it was expected that the United States president would make a major announcement.
But in his remarks late on Wednesday, which lasted less than 20 minutes, Trump only repeated the same statements he has been circulating for weeks.
Some analysts had expected Trump to announce either an end to the war or an escalation in the conflict, such as ground operations inside Iran, but the US president only gave the public and the media more of the same rhetoric.
Here are the key takeaways from the address
In his brief remarks, the US president made four familiar points: The war is necessary; it has already been won; it must continue; and it will wrap up soon – all arguments he has been making daily.
The US president did not provide details on how the war would actually end or what kind of deal he is seeking with Iran.
We are gonna finish the job. We are getting very close,” Trump said.
Trump said on March 11 that the war would end “soon”.
“I don’t think that the speech had any point, and I failed to grasp what he was trying to do and convey. It was really a repetition of everything that he had said in the past,” Sina Azodi, assistant professor of Middle East Politics at George Washington University, told Al Jazeera.
“I did not detect anything new. Essentially, it was a summary of all of the tweets he has issued over the last 30 days, almost in chronological order,” Trita Parsi, executive vice president at the Quincy Institute, told Al Jazeera.
But precisely because it does not appear to have anything new in it, it reveals that he really does not have a plan.”
While the speech did not include any major announcement, it provided Trump with a chance to make his case to a US public that is weary of foreign conflicts after the protracted wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Trump’s main point was that Iran was going to acquire nuclear weapons and use them, so the US and Israel had to act.
But Trump himself had repeatedly said that the US strikes on Iran’s facilities in June 2025 had obliterated the country’s nuclear programme.
Even before last year’s war, Trump’s own intelligence chief, Tulsi Gabbard, told lawmakers that “Iran is not building a nuclear weapon”.
Iran has repeatedly denied seeking a nuclear weapon, while Israel is widely believed to possess an undeclared nuclear arsenal.
Trump also suggested on Wednesday that the conflict was about settling scores with Iran after decades of rivalry between Washington and Tehran
“This fanatical regime has been chanting, ‘Death to America. Death to Israel’ for 47 years. Their proxies were behind the murder of 241 Americans in the Marine barracks bombing in Beirut, the slaughter of hundreds of our service members with roadside bombs,” Trump said
They were involved in the attack on the USS Cole, and they carried out the countless other heinous acts, including the just horrible, bloody atrocities of October 7 in Israel.
The USS Cole bombing in 2000 was carried out by al-Qaeda operatives with no known links to Iran
There also has been no evidence linking Iran directly to Hamas’s October 7, 2023, attack in southern Israel, which was followed by a US-backed war on Gaza that leading rights experts say amounts to genocide.
Public opinion polls have suggested that a strong majority of people in the US oppose the conflict. On Wednesday, Trump tried to amplify the same talking points that have failed to rally the public around the war over the past month.
Parsi noted that the war is losing popularity in Trump’s own Republican base.
A recent YouGov poll suggested that only 28 percent of respondents, including 61 percent of Republicans, support the war.
In a previous YouGov survey released on March 2, 76 percent of Republican respondents said they support the war.
“They’re losing patience,” Parsi said of Trump’s supporters. “They’re paying the price at the gas station, at the grocery store, and it’s going to get much, much worse if this continues.”
Still, some Trump allies were happy with Wednesday’s speech.
PERFECT SPEECH,” pro-Israel commentator Mark Levin wrote on X.
Since the start of last week, Trump has been saying the US is negotiating with Iran, suggesting that a deal may be imminent.
Less than 24 hours before his address on Wednesday, Trump wrote in a social media post that “Iran’s New Regime President” asked the US for a ceasefire, suggesting that negotiations may be ongoing.
Iranians were quick to deny the claim. They have previously dismissed Trump’s assertions of negotiations while confirming that some messages have been exchanged through intermediaries. Iran also does not have a new president – Masoud Pezeshkian has been president since 2024.
Iranian officials have accused Washington of fabricating reports about diplomacy to manipulate the energy markets.
Despite Iran’s denials, Trump and his aides have repeatedly stressed that Iran is being untruthful and that there are indeed talks between the two countries.
However, on Wednesday, Trump did not mention diplomacy or negotiations.
What caught my attention was the fact that he didn’t say anything about the talks – if there are any,” Azodi said.
Throughout his remarks, Trump kept returning to the central point of his speech: that the US has won already and it only needs a little more time to “finish the job”.
We are systematically dismantling the regime’s ability to threaten America or project power outside of their borders,” the US president said.
That means eliminating Iran’s navy, which is now absolutely destroyed, hurting their air force and their missile programme at levels never seen before, and annihilating their defence industrial.
Trump also asserted that Iran’s ability to retaliate against US attacks is all but vanquished
Their ability to launch missiles and drones is dramatically curtailed, and their weapons factories and rocket launchers are being blown to pieces – very few of them left,” Trump said.
But shortly after Trump concluded his remarks, Iran launched another missile attack against Israel.
Simultaneously, Bahrain issued a warning for residents to “head to the nearest safe place” amid an incoming Iranian attack. Earlier on Wednesday, Qatar said a cruise missile fired from Iran had hit a QatarEnergy liquefied natural gas (LNG) ship off the country’s coast. Qatar also said that its military had intercepted two other Iranian cruise missiles.
Still, Trump’s victory lap on Wednesday included claims that the US has changed the ruling system in Iran.
Regime change was not our goal. We never said regime change, but regime change has occurred because of all of their original leaders’ death. They’re all dead,” the US president said.
While US-Israeli attacks did kill Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and several top political and military officials, there have been no major defections within the Iranian ruling system.
Khamenei was replaced by his son Mojtaba, and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), which is spearheading the war effort, has promised to continue the fight and “punish” the US and Israel.
Jamal Abdi, the president of the National Iranian American Council (NIAC), ridiculed Trump’s claim of regime change in Iran.
Trump hasn’t changed the regime; if anything, he’s honed it to its hardest core. It’s interesting he thinks this clearly false claim is so important to spin. It’s Trump’s way of admitting failure,” Abdi told Al Jazeera.
Trump acknowledged that Americans are paying more for petrol, but he promised that the economic pain would only be temporary.
Many Americans have been concerned to see the recent rise in gasoline prices here at home,” he said.
This short-term increase has been entirely the result of the Iranian regime launching deranged terror attacks against commercial oil tankers in neighbouring countries that have nothing to do with the conflict. This is yet more proof that Iran can never be trusted with nuclear weapons
The average gas prices surpassed $4 per gallon (3.8 litres) this week – the highest since 2022.
Iran has responded to the US and Israeli attacks by blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a major waterway for the international energy trade.
While the US – a major energy producer – is largely self-sufficient when it comes to oil, supply issues affect prices across the world and send prices soaring globally.
However, Trump argued on Wednesday that countries dependent on Gulf oil should take the lead on resolving the Hormuz crisis, although the US launched the war unilaterally with Israel
Build up some delayed courage,” he said in a message to countries that import Gulf oil.
They] should have done it before, should have done it with us, as we asked. Go to the strait and just take it, protect it
Trump said the US will continue to bomb Iran into “the Stone Ages”, reiterating his threat to target the country’s electric grid
“If there is no deal, we are going to hit each and every one of their electric generating plants very hard and probably simultaneously,” he said
Bombing civilian sites is prohibited under international law
Iran has warned that if its power plants are struck, it would retaliate against energy and electric infrastructure across the region
“It means that the rules-based international system is dead and there is no longer a facade,” Azodi said of Trump’s threat
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$153 million in daily volume. $4 billion total. $200 million in the first week alone. Polymarket’s 5-minute prediction markets have gone from experimental product to one of the highest-velocity trading venues in DeFi – and Chainlink oracles are the reason any of it works.
The volume surge, confirmed by on-chain data shared across crypto analytics channels, represents a roughly 400% increase from earlier baseline figures, with the 3x weekly growth rate still accelerating as of the latest reporting window
Standard oracle infrastructure built for hourly or daily market resolution can tolerate latency. A price feed delayed by 30 seconds is noise when a contract settles in 48 hours
In 5-minute prediction markets, that same 30-second delay is the difference between a valid settlement and a manipulated one, exactly why Polymarket’s architecture required a fundamentally different oracle setup.
Chainlink’s Data Streams integration, deployed on Polygon where Polymarket settles, delivers timestamped price reports at sub-second intervals
Combined with Chainlink Automation handling the on-chain settlement triggers, the system processes the full cycle, price confirmation, contract resolution, USDC payout, without human intervention and without the manipulation vector that centralized price feeds introduce.
The oracles provide the official price feeds that trigger contract settlements, removing the need for a centralized authority entirely.
The scale of what’s now running through this infrastructure is significant. Over 3,000 traders are actively using Chainlink Data Streams across integrated platforms, and the Dashlink dashboard tracking oracle demand shows a direct correlation between the Polymarket volume surge and a decline in LINK exchange reserves – whales are pulling supply off exchanges as network utilization hits new highs for prediction market settlements.
Native USDC collateral adoption within these markets has further accelerated institutional participation by improving capital efficiency.
The appeal is obvious: a platform already under scrutiny for insider trading patterns on longer-duration markets now offers a format where information asymmetry has a 5-minute shelf life.
The risks are real and shouldn’t be buried. Short timeframes amplify volatility, HFT-dominated order flow can crowd out retail, and oracle delays, however rare, carry outsized consequences when resolution windows are measured in minutes.
But the volume data doesn’t lie: the format is capturing demand that didn’t have an instrument before.
Liquid Chain built a Unified Liquidity Layer that aggregates capital across multiple Layer-2 networks using Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) as the messaging backbone
The core problem it solves is real and expensive – assets stranded on individual L2s require manual bridging, creating slippage, delay, and trust assumptions that institutional allocators won’t accept
Liquid Chain’s architecture lets users move assets seamlessly across chains without manual bridge interactions, with CCIP handling the verification and message-passing layer beneath the surface
The project has been pitching its Layer-3 DeFi buildout as a credible answer to the fragmentation problem, and the Convergence judges agreed
Other notable hackathon submissions concentrated on Real-World Asset tokenization and DeFi automation – a consistent signal that Chainlink’s developer community is orienting toward institutional-grade infrastructure rather than consumer speculation. The CCIP adoption rate implied by the hackathon submissions validates Chainlink’s cross-chain positioning at exactly the moment demand for tamper-proof oracle settlement is breaking records on Polymarket
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Several major investment firms have preemptively downgraded Coinbase and other platforms as a sharp drop in trading activity and falling token prices threaten to derail upcoming first-quarter earnings results.
Barclays took the most direct step, downgrading Coinbase (COIN) and warning that “global crypto trading activity has declined to a level not seen since the end of 2023.” The bank added that “absent a resurgence in near-term crypto trading activity, we see profitability under pressure at Coinbase.”
The slowdown is visible in the data. Coinbase’s March trading volume marked “the lowest volume month since September 2024,” Barclays wrote, with April showing “no signs of improvement.” For the first quarter, the bank estimates volumes fell roughly 30% from the prior quarter.
Coinbase and other exchanges charge fees on each transaction they facilitate, meaning lower volumes will lead to less revenue.
The mechanics are straightforward. When markets turn quiet, many traders step back. A retail user who once traded weekly during a rally may stop altogether when prices flatten. Multiply that behavior across millions of accounts, and exchange volumes drop quickly.
That matters because transaction fees remain the main revenue driver for most crypto platforms. Barclays underscored this risk, saying its forecast for Coinbase’s adjusted EBITDA is about 24% below the Street, driven largely by weaker spot trading and retail activity.
Crypto prices have pulled back in the first quarter, with the average price of major tokens falling sharply quarter-over-quarter. Bitcoin lost over 22% of its value in the first quarter of this year, while ether was down 29%.
Oppenheimer struck a similar tone but kept a more upbeat stance on Coinbase. The firm said it is cutting its forecasts due to softer crypto prices and lower trading activity in the first quarter, driven in part by broader economic uncertainty. It also noted that current Wall Street estimates still do not fully reflect the drop in trading volumes during that period.
Across the industry, analysts are revising models downward to reflect a quieter market.
Oppenheimer cut its Coinbase volume estimate to $211 billion for the quarter, down from $244 billion previously, and now expects total revenue of $1.48 billion, below prior forecasts and consensus.
The reset is not limited to Coinbase. Oppenheimer said that Circle (CRCL) continues to expand the USDC stablecoin network, with stablecoin market cap and USDC transfer volume rising about 1% and 12% quarter over quarter, respectively.
Crypto platform Bullish (BLSH), the owner of CoinDesk, saw “strong on platform activity” tied to volatility in February, though spot volumes still missed expectations. As a result, Rosenblatt downgraded BLSH earlier this week while Compass Point downgraded CRCL — to "neutral" and "sell," respectively.
Even these pockets of strength highlight the broader issue: the core business of crypto trading is slowing.
Efforts to diversify revenue streams are underway but may take time to offset the downturn. Coinbase’s push into becoming what it calls an “everything exchange” includes derivatives, tokenized assets and new markets. Barclays was skeptical, writing that the strategy is “likely to take a long time to pay off” and that it sees “little ‘right to win’ in new asset classes like equities.”
Stablecoins, often seen as a steadier revenue stream, also face uncertainty. Barclays pointed to ongoing debate in Washington over regulation, noting that the status of stablecoin rewards “remains in question.” At the same time, Oppenheimer sees near-term support from new use cases, saying “increased prediction market activity could support USDC growth.
Still, those areas remain secondary to trading.
The broader takeaway is that analysts are moving preemptively. With earnings season approaching, firms are lowering estimates now rather than risk being caught off guard by weak results later.
Coinbase reports second-quarter earnings on May 7 and Bullish reports on April 23. Circle has not yet announced a date.
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Chinese swimming authorities say they have ⁠launched an investigation ⁠into cyberbullying of diving champion Quan Hongchan, a three-time Olympic gold medallist, and reported the ⁠matter to police.
Malicious” online attacks against Quan are being investigated by China’s General Administration of Sport, the body said on Wednesday.
Quan, who won her first gold at Tokyo 2020 at the age of 14 and two ⁠more at the following games in Paris 2024, has given several interviews in which she talked about toxic online commentary over her weight and the immense pressure she has ‌felt to diet even though she was already eating very little.
Now 19, Quan told Chinese magazine Renwu this year that she seriously considered retiring after the Paris Olympics before deciding she wanted to keep going.
After the Olympics I actually thought about retiring,” she said.
Quan said that she had been asked repeatedly about her weight.
During that time, not just within the team but also in public opinion outside, I saw people every day saying I was fat,” Quan said.
“Recently cyberbullying, malicious attacks and false information targeting Quan Hongchan and other divers has emerged online,” the General Administration of Sport’s swimming management centre said in a statement.
“Our centre takes this very seriously and immediately launched verification and handling work,” it said, adding that it was working with officials in the southern province of Guangdong, where Quan is from.
It added that it “firmly” rejected “abnormal” fan culture
Adulation towards China’s athletes has included fans obsessing over their personal lives and cyberbullying opponents
State media have called such behaviour “toxic fandom” and Chinese authorities pledged to crack down on it.
Quan won gold at the pandemic-delayed Tokyo Games in 2021 when she was just 14. She won two more golds in Paris in 2024
Now one of China’s most popular athletes, crowds have descended on the teenager’s hometown and mobbed her at hotels
Quan’s swimming club also said on Wednesday it had “reported the case” to police
“Any act of malicious slander, insult or spreading false information against athletes and their families has crossed the legal and moral line,” it added
Quan has seen her home village of Maihe, part of the southern city of Zhanjiang, become a tourist destination ‌since her Olympic success
Her life has been placed under a microscope, the state-backed Global Times said in an ‌April ‌editorial, criticising an “unhealthy fan culture” where admiration turns into criticism, even hostility
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US Secretary of Labour Lori Chavez-DeRemer will be leaving her post in the administration of President Donald Trump, the White House has said.
Chavez-DeRemer is the third woman to leave the Trump administration since March, when the president fired Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem in the wake of federal immigration raids in Minnesota that led to the deaths of two protesters. Trump also ousted Attorney General Pam Bondi earlier this month.
Chavez-DeRemer has done a “phenomenal job” protecting American workers and is set to “take a position in the private sector”, White House Director of Communications Steven Cheung said in a post on X late on Monday, announcing the labour secretary’s departure.
Keith Sonderling will take on the role of Acting Secretary of Labor,” Cheung added, referring to the current deputy labour secretary.
While Cheung did not give a reason for Chavez-DeRemer’s departure, the New York Post reported in January that she was under investigation for “pursuing an ‘inappropriate’ relationship with a subordinate” and drinking in her office during the work day.
Al Jazeera was unable to independently verify the allegations.
From the beginning of her tenure, Chavez-DeRemer had some notable differences with other members of Trump’s inner circle.
She had voiced support for the pro-union Protecting the Right to Organize Act (PRO Act), earning support for her nomination from some Democrats.
Her appointment was also seen as favoured by Sean O’Brien, the president of the International Brotherhood of Teamsters, who notably spoke in support of Trump’s re-election campaign at the Republican National Convention in July 2024.
However, as the labour secretary, Chavez-DeRemer’s positions have more closely aligned with the Trump administration’s overall anti-regulatory policies, according to US media outlets. During her tenure as secretary, the Labor Department stalled on responding to calls for limits on silica exposure from Appalachian coal miners suffering from the occupational black lung disease.
Chavez-DeRemer is not the first top official to leave the Labor Department during Trump’s second term.
In August 2025, Trump fired the director of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Erika McEntarfer, who was appointed by previous President Joe Biden, after a report showed that hiring had slowed in July and was worse in May and June than had previously been reported
Chavez-DeRemer had supported the president’s move at the time.
“I support the President’s decision to replace Biden’s Commissioner and ensure the American People can trust the important and influential data coming from BLS,” Chavez-DeRemer said in a post on X following McEntarfer’s removal
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The Conservative and Labour parties argued Nigel Farage broke Commons rules by not declaring the £5 million, but Reform UK said it was an exempt, personal, unconditional gift.
Farage confirmed the gift in an interview with the Daily Telegraph, saying it was meant to keep him "safe and secure for the rest of my life" after a milkshake was thrown at him in 2019 and a firebomb attack on his home last year.
Harborne, a Thailand-based businessman with a 12% stake in stablecoin issuer Tether, made the payment in 2024. Farage announced his Clacton candidacy in early June last year and won the seat in July.
A Reform UK spokesman called the payment a "personal unconditional gift" given before Farage was elected and said his decision to stand as an MP was "entirely unrelated
The spokesman, the report added, said "We are confident everything has been declared in accordance with the rules."
The Commons code of conduct requires new MPs to register benefits received in the 12 months before their election, and says any benefit should be registered if there is doubt. Reform says the gift falls under the exemption for purely personal gifts.
The country’s main opposition Conservative Party wrote to Parliamentary Standards Commissioner Daniel Greenberg asking him to examine whether any of the funds were used to support political activity rather than security. Labour chair Anna Turley said Farage "appears to have broken the rules again."
Harborne gave Reform £9 million, then worth around $12 million, late last year in the largest single donation to a U.K. political party from a living person on record.
Earlier this month, BitMEX co-founder Ben Delo said in an op-ed he had given Reform £4 million ($5.1 million) since the start of the year.
The U.K. government imposed an immediate moratorium on crypto donations to political parties in March, citing the Rycroft review's warning that digital assets could be used to channel foreign money into U.K. politics.
The ban covers donations of any size and will be written into the Representation of the People Bill, with criminal penalties for non-compliance.
That same month, Farage invested £215,000 ($286,000) in Stack BTC, a London-listed bitcoin treasury company chaired by former Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng, taking a 6.31% stake through his investment vehicle Thorn In The Side.
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The Trump Administration has officially slapped Brazil and Canada with tariffs of 50% and 35% respectively, levies that will affect the trading relations between these countries.
On July 30, President Donald Trump signed an executive order making his earlier threats official, stating that this decision was an answer to the Brazilian government’s recent actions, which posed “an unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security, foreign policy, and economy of the United States.”
The White House explained that Brazilian institutions have compelled U.S.-based social network companies to “censor political speech, deplatform users, turn over sensitive U.S. user data, or change their content moderation policies.” The prosecution of former President Jair Bolsonaro, a close friend of Trump who allegedly attempted a coup, is also mentioned as a justification for these measures.
Some products will be exempt from paying these taxes, including civil aircraft, precious metals, energy imports, and fertilizers. Coffee, on the other hand, will not.
On July 31, Trump also raised the tariff percentage collected from Canadian imports to 35%, with an executive order stating that Canada has “failed to cooperate in curbing the ongoing flood of fentanyl and other illicit drugs, and it has retaliated against the United States for the President’s actions to address this unusual and extraordinary threat to the United States.”
On Truth Social, Trump also referred to the intention of the Canadian government to recognize the Palestinian state as a pain point to achieve a better trade deal.
In contrast, Trump gave Mexico a 90-day extension of the current deal, which establishes 25% levies on Mexican imports and a 50% tariff on steel, aluminum, and copper. Trump stated that “the complexities of a deal with Mexico are somewhat different than other nations because of both the problems and assets of the border,” stressing that he was getting to “know and understand” Mexican President Claudia Sheimbaun after a phone call.
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