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True Market Mean and Short-Term Holder cost basis form a critical $78.2K to $79.2K range that could define the next major move
The True Market Mean filters out lost, dormant, and economically inactive coins, leaving only the cost basis of participants who are actually present in the market, making it a more precise gauge of where real selling pressure resides
Just above sits the Short-Term Holder realized price (STHRP) at $79,200, according to checkonchain. This cohort, defined as investors holding coins for fewer than 155 days, tends to be more reactive to price swings. With spot prices below their average entry, these participants remain at a slight loss. Bitcoin tested the STHRP in mid-January around $98,000 and got rejected
A sustained move above this zone could shift both levels into support, strengthening bullish momentum. Conversely, failure to reclaim them may prolong bitcoin’s consolidation phase, with potential downside
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Additionally, a Saturday N12 News report stated that Israel’s security establishment had located missile launchers aimed at Israel, poised to strike if a ceasefire wasn't reached with Lebanon.
Iran claimed it is replenishing its missile and drone launchers at a higher speed than it did prior to the war with the US and Israel, the Revolutionary Guards Aerospace Force commander, Majid Mousavi, said in a video shared on social media on Sunday, according to Nournews.
They have lost this phase of the war! They have lost the Strait, Lebanon, and the region," Mousavi said.
Mousavi's statement was shared alongside an edited video of him inspecting an unspecified underground missile facility. The video also included footage of drones, missiles, and launchers inside underground facilities as well as ground missile launches.
Mousavi also claimed that "Unlike Iran, the enemy has been unable to replenish its ammunition during the ceasefire."
While neither the US nor Israel has officially responded to these claims, a Saturday N12 News report stated that Israel’s security establishment had located missile launchers aimed at Israel, poised to strike if a ceasefire wasn't reached between Israel and Lebanon
The threat from Iran was the motivation for US President Donald Trump's increased pressure on Israel to come to an agreement with Lebanon, and hisFriday announcement that Israel is prohibited from “bombing Lebanon any longer,” according to the N12 report.
Israel and the US are also preparing for the possibility that war will resume with Iran, as tensions over the Strait of Hormuz threaten peace negotiations, a source told the Israeli news outlet. The IDF has reportedly approved a list of targets for attack, focusing on national infrastructure and energy. The military is also planning operations that, if implemented, would continue toward the goals from the previous round of fighting.
Israel was surprised by Trump’s announcement that the IDF is “prohibited” from continuing strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon, according to a Saturday Axios report
The report noted that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was “personally stunned and alarmed” by the post, and that Israeli officials sought clarification from the White House
This comes after Trump posted on Truth Social that Israel was prohibited from “bombing Lebanon any longer,” and that the US will work with Lebanon separately and “deal with the Hezbollah situation in an appropriate manner.”
The language implied that Trump was directly issuing an order to Israel, which would be unimaginable under other presidential administrations, Axios noted.
Notably, according to the ceasefire agreement, Israel still has the right to take military action during the ceasefire, “in self-defense, at any time, against planned, imminent, or ongoing attacks.”
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Pope Leo XIV has addressed tens of thousands of faithful near Angola’s capital, urging the country to overcome “divisions” and “corruption” during a landmark tour of Africa.
Speaking at an open-air Mass on Sunday in the town of Kilamba on the outskirts of Luanda, Leo addressed the country’s civil war-scarred past that he said has brought “enmity and division, squandered resources and poverty”.
Today, there is a need to look to the future with hope and to build that hope. Do not be afraid to do so,” Leo said
The pontiff arrived in the Portuguese-speaking nation on Saturday for the third leg of a four-nation tour of the continent, which began in Algeria and Cameroon and will also include a stop in Equatorial Guinea.
At a meeting with Angolan officials, including President Joao Lourenco, Leo spoke out against the “suffering” and social and environmental “disasters” caused by the rampant exploitation of natural resources.
The remarks in Angola, which endured a decades-long civil war that ended in 2002, continued a theme of Leo’s 11-day tour, during which he has delivered pointed warnings against corruption and the plunder of the continent’s resources
The first United States-born pope has also delivered remarks seen as critical of the US-Israeli war in Iran and US policy, including calling US President Donald Trump’s threat to end Iran’s civilisation “unacceptable”
The pontiff’s rhetoric has put him at odds with Trump, who last week called the Catholic leader “weak” and “terrible for foreign policy”
Leo said he is not afraid of the Trump administration and will continue to speak out against war. But travelling from Cameroon to Angola on Saturday, Leo also said he has no interest in starting “a new debate” with the US president
Many people who attended the Mass at Kilamba arrived early in the morning in anticipation
“The pope coming here is a joy,” said ‌Sister Christina Matende, who arrived about 6am (05:00 GMT). “We are living in a moment of a lot of difficulties, and we are waiting for the blessing of the pope
From Kilamba, Leo is to travel 110km (70 miles) by helicopter to the town of Muxima, Angola’s most venerated pilgrimage site, where a 300-year-old church overlooks a river that was once a major slave-trading route
The church, with a statue of the Virgin Mary known affectionately as “Mama Muxima”, draws roughly two million pilgrims a year and large crowds are expected to meet the pope there.
The pope is then due to travel more than 800km (497 miles) from the capital to visit a retirement home in Saurimo, where he will celebrate another Mass before departing for Equatorial Guinea.
Catholic lawyer Domingos das Neves said the pope’s focus on social justice was welcome in Angola, which is struggling with “stark social asymmetries and inequalities”
“Angola is in great need of a guiding light to illuminate our collective efforts both within ecclesiastical institutions and the state, so that we do not forget the poor and the destitute,” das Neves told the AFP news agency
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Among them is XRP (XRP), the payments-focused token used by fintech firm Ripple to facilitate cross-border transactions. U.S.-listed spot XRP ETFs drew more than $17 million in inflows on Wednesday, the most since Feb. 2, according to data source SoSoValue. While that is smaller than the flows seen in bitcoin ETFs, it nonetheless points to a revival in demand for XRP after a prolonged period of muted activity marked by little to no uptake.
News flow has been encouraging, too. Ripple has partnered with Kyobo Life Insurance to pilot South Korea's first real-time tokenized government bond settlement system on blockchain
In addition, XRP's derivatives market is flashing bullish signals with open interest (OI) rising alongside positive funding rates and cumulative volume delta. The OI has jumped to 1.89 billion XRP, a level last seen in late March, per Coinglass data.
The other noteworthy development is stablecoin-focused layer-1 blockchain Plasma, which has emerged as the world's seventh-largest blockchain by total value locked (TVL), a measure of the dollar value of assets on the network.
At the time of writing, TVL stood at $2 billion, up 27% over the past week and more than 80% over the past 30 days, according to DeFiLlama. The driver behind the growth is not clear, but could be linked to rising optimism around the CLARITY Act nearing approval in the U.S., as noted by JPMorgan.
The act is a proposed U.S. bill that seeks to clarify how digital assets, including stablecoins, are regulated and which agencies oversee them.
In addition, Plasma is among a select group of networks, alongside Ethereum and Arbitrum, chosen to support Tether's new self-custody wallet, Tether Wallet, announced earlier this week
Lastly, there is
DOGE
$0.09765
, the meme-inspired token. Bollinger Bands, volatility indicators plotted two standard deviations above and below the token's price, are currently at their tightest since February 2024, typically signaling a period of low volatility that is likely to end with significant price swi
As for the market leader, bitcoin, the combination of onchain profit-taking, uneven spot demand, and cautious options suggests continued rangeplay near $75,000. Stay alert
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Srinagar, Indian-administered Kashmir — The gold earrings were a gift from her father on her birthday just months earlier. But on March 21, as South Asia marked Eid‑ul‑Fitr, Masrat Mukhtar handed them over to an aid collection effort to help civilians in Iran trying to survive the US-Israel war on the country
She was one of many in Indian-administered Kashmir who paused their customary rituals and celebrations on the auspicious day to contribute cash, household items, and personal assets for a people more than 1,600 km (1,000 miles) away.
Her cousins followed, each bringing items of personal value. Families offered copper utensils, livestock, bicycles, and portions of savings. Children broke their piggy banks, sharing savings they had carefully collected over several years. Shopkeepers and traders handed over parts of their earnings
“We give what we love. This brings us closer to them,” said Mukhtar, a 55-year-old woman from Budgam in the central part of Indian-administered Kashmir, before referring to a name by which the region has historically also been known. “This is what Little Iran does for its namesake. The bond persists through time and conflict
That bond, rooted in more than six centuries of historical connections, has taken on a much more overt presence during the war – drawing recognition from Iranian authorities, and concerns over certain fund collection methods from Indian officials
In Zadibal, a Shia-majority area of Srinagar – the biggest city in Indian-administered Kashmir – 73-year-old Tahera Jan watched neighbours contribute copper pots.
“Kashmiris traditionally collect these utensils for their daughters’ weddings. We chose to give them instead to daughters who lost mothers and sisters in the attacks,” Jan said
Sadakat Ali Mir, a 24-year-old mini-truck driver, contributed one of the two vehicles he drives for his livelihood. Other contributors offered bicycles, scooters, and other essential items. Children, including nine-year-old Zainab Jan, handed over piggy banks
To be sure, that Shia constitute between 10 to 15 percent of Indian-administered Kashmir’s population is a factor in why the war in Iran resonates so deeply in the region. But donations for Iran have extended well beyond Shia. Several Sunni families observed simpler Eid meals, redirecting household resources towards Iranian relief. Some shopkeepers closed early, while families adjusted daily routines to contribute
Political and religious figures also participated. Budgam lawmaker Aga Syed Muntazir Mehdi donated a month’s salary to the relief effort. Imran Reza Ansari, a Shia scholar and leader of the People’s Conference party, noted public participation across communities
Similar donation campaigns in support of Iranians have also been reported from Pakistan, Iraq and other countries
But at the heart of this outpouring of support for Iran in Indian-administered Kashmir – which also witnessed large rallies after the killing of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28 – are rare cultural ties that Kashmir and what was then Persia have shared for centuries
Authorities have also asked volunteers to maintain records to ensure compliance with fundraising regulations
There’s a reason for this concern, say Indian authorities
They point to the example of 2023, where funds collected in southern Kashmir – ostensibly for humanitarian purposes – were allegedly instead funnelled towards rebel groups. Organisers of the Kashmir drives for Iran maintain that all efforts are humanitarian.
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A woman who was secretly filmed in her own home has said the experience has "taken over her life" and left her feeling unsafe
Lucy Domaille, from Guernsey, has waived her anonymity as the victim of a sexual offence to speak publicly about the impact voyeurism has had on her and her family
I don't sleep," she said. "Every noise, every time the door opens, you just feel like someone is watching you 24/7
It's taken over my life completely. It's consumed my mind."
In October last year, Guernsey Police told Lucy she had been the victim of voyeurism
A man she had known socially for about 25 years had secretly filmed her getting out of the shower at her home, through a gap in her curtains as he crouched outside her window.
For Lucy, the incident has occupied her every waking thought since
She said: "I'm just not the same person. It's soul-destroying, it's torturous
When you go home, that is supposed to be the place that you feel safe, and I've lost that completely," she explained.
It has also stripped her of her safety.
I'm obsessed. I don't sleep... I have lost all of that."
Lucy was walking round a supermarket when her husband called her to tell her two plain clothes officers were at their home and asking to speak to her.
She later learned she had been a victim of Kirk Bishop, whose crimes she had first seen reported in a social media post by Guernsey Police the previous month.
She said the "emotional trauma" of it meant she was "not the same person - I don't think I ever will be".
As a mother of two young children, she said it had also changed the way she interacted with them at home.
She said: "Sometimes a child gets out of a bath and they'll run down the hallway to their bedroom with no clothes on. I don't want that now.
They've taken away my children's innocence. I'm constantly making sure they're covered."
If you are changing a law based on a crime that someone has committed, surely they should be punished in line with that?" she said.
Bishop is due to be sentenced on 15 May.
Lucy concluded: "One of the best things about Guernsey was that you felt safe. I've lost all of that."
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Bitcoin price is ripping. BTC USD reclaimed $71,000 Tuesday afternoon, erasing weekend losses immediately after President Trump ordered a five-day delay on strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure.
The sudden de-escalation signal triggered a violent capital rotation: oil futures collapsed nearly 10%, gold prices retreated 3.7%, and crypto assets surged in a classic risk-on relief rally.
Traders were positioned for immediate escalation following the expiration of a 48-hour ultimatum, but the pause caught bears offside.
While West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude plummeted to $85.45 on the news, Bitcoin decoupled from the broad commodity sell-off, validating its role as a liquidity gauge rather than a pure safe haven in this cycle.
Bitcoin held $68,000 through peak uncertainty and is now pushing into the supply zone above $71,500.
Bulls need one thing: a confirmed 4-hour close above $72,000. That invalidates the lower-high structure built earlier this month and opens the next leg up.
Daily RSI has reset from overbought and is trending up near 58. Room for continuation exists. The 50-day EMA is the critical floor. Lose it and this rally gets exposed as a headline-driven bull trap.
Bull case: reclaim $72,000, consolidate, retest the March high at $75,620. Bear case: rejection at $71,800 sends price back to $68,500. Lose that and $65,000 opens up.
The short squeeze did the heavy lifting on the way up. CoinGlass data shows over $271 million in short positions liquidated in the hours after the White House announcement. Traders positioned for a breakdown below $67,000 got wiped and their forced covering poured fuel on the move.
Funding rates have ticked up but open interest has not reclaimed year-to-date highs. Spot buying and short covering are driving this, not leveraged froth. That is a healthier signal for trend sustainability than a derivatives-led pump.
The correlation between Bitcoin and energy markets has inverted. While oil prices tumbled 9.8%—with Brent crude falling to $98.66—Bitcoin surged. This highlights the market’s current logic chain: lower oil prices reduce the risk of sticky inflation, which in turn lowers the probability of a hawkish Federal Reserve response.
Gold, traditionally the primary safe haven, dropped 3.7% as the immediate war premium exited the market. This divergence is critical.
While Bitcoin and gold decoupled during the Hormuz crisis, today’s action confirms that crypto is trading on liquidity dynamics rather than fear. When the threat of $150 oil vanished, the liquidity outlook improved, and Bitcoin pumped.
Investors should monitor the five-day deadline closely. If tensions flare again and oil reclaims $100, the headwinds for risk assets will return.
Traders are watching $70,000 holding as support into the daily close. Maintain this level, and the path to new highs is open. Fail here, and the market returns to choppy consolidation. The trend is up, but the geopolitical fuse is still lit.
As the gold price crash and Bitcoin rally reshape portfolio allocations, smart money is beginning to rotate profits into high-growth infrastructure plays
While Bitcoin secures its position as digital collateral, attention is turning to Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER), a protocol focused on bringing scalability to the Bitcoin network through high-performance Layer 2 solutions
Bitcoin Hyper has now raised over $32 million in its ongoing presale, signaling strong institutional appetite for Bitcoin-native DeFi
The project targets the scalability dilemma by integrating Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) architecture directly with Bitcoin’s security layer. With the token currently priced at $0.0136 and staking APY exceeding 89%, early entrants are positioning for the next phase of the Bitcoin ecosystem evolution.
Investors looking to hedge against spot volatility are diversifying into infrastructure layers that capture transaction volume regardless of short-term price action
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Bhutan is selling Bitcoin again. The Royal Government transferred 519.7 BTC worth roughly $36.75 million to a Binance deposit address Wednesday. The move comes from Druk Holding and Investments, the nation’s sovereign wealth fund, and follows a consistent pattern of outflows that has been running for months.
The remaining stack now sits at 4,453 BTC. That is a sharp drop from a peak of over 13,000 BTC. More than two thirds of the position is gone.
Data from Arkham Intelligence identifies the movement as a split transaction.
The funds were routed to two distinct wallets: one associated with the trading firm QCP Capital and another directly feeding Binance Inflows.
Direct transfers to exchange deposit addresses typically signal immediate intent to sell or collateralize assets rather than mere custody rotation.
This is a liquidity event. The market has seen this repeatedly in recent weeks, including a $72 million exit last week and a $12 million tranche earlier in the month. Druk Holding is averaging down its exposure while prices hover near $71,100. While some analysts debate the exact motive, the destination of these funds suggests active profit-taking rather than long-term repositioning.
Bhutan Bitcoin holdings were not purchased on the open market like typical institutional assets. They were generated through industrial-scale Bitcoin Mining operations utilizing the country’s renewable hydropower resources.
This gives Druk Holding a cost basis of effectively zero (excluding infrastructure CAPEX), making these Sovereign BTC Sales pure profit realization for the state treasury.
The strategy has shifted. From 2022 through late 2024, Bhutan was a net accumulator. Now, the state acts as a disciplined seller.
Unlike El Salvador, which continues to buy, Bhutan is monetizing its digital surplus to fund domestic initiatives. Analysts view this as a capital rotation likely funding the Gelephu Mindfulness City infrastructure project.
While Bitcoin and gold reverse roles in the broader macro conversation, Bhutan treats its BTC stack strictly as a working capital account.
Markets are absorbing the supply. Despite persistent sell pressure from Bhutan, Bitcoin remains resilient, trading with volatility signals that suggest strong demand absorption. The Druk Holding wallet is now a known sell-side vector. This is an organized unwind. The treasury is liquidating into strength.
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The proposal would move block building away from individual validators, create a revenue entity called FIRE to buy and burn FLR, and reduce annual token inflation to 3%.
External estimates put annual MEV revenues at tens of millions on networks like Arbitrum, upwards of $500 million on Ethereum, and as much as $1 billion on Solana. Flare's three-stage proposal would route the revenue into the protocol's own token economics.
In the first stage, block building moves from individual validators to a designated builder, initially run by the Flare Entity, with a fallback to the current model if the builder is unavailable. In the second, block building moves into Flare Confidential Compute, making the process publicly auditable. The third stage merges the builder and proposer into a single entity, shifting existing validators to a verification role.
The proposal also creates FIRE, the Flare Income Reinvestment Entity to collect revenue from multiple protocol sources including attestation fees, FAsset and Smart Account fees, confidential compute fees and the captured MEV. FIRE's primary mandate is reducing FLR token supply through open-market buybacks and burns.
Several changes would take effect immediately after approval. Annual FLR inflation would drop to 3% from 5%, with the hard cap cut to 3 billion tokens per year from 5 billion. A 20-fold increase to the base gas fee, from 60 gwei to 1,200 gwei, would raise estimated annual FLR burn from roughly 7.5 million to 300 million at current transaction volumes. Even after the increase, a standard Flare transaction would cost a fraction of a cent.
Flare has deep roots in the XRP ecosystem, having distributed its initial token supply through an airdrop to XRP holders in 2023. Its FAssets system, which has produced over 150 million FXRP, is designed to bring smart contract functionality to assets on blockchains like XRPL that do not natively support it.
The network reports over $160 million in total value locked as of late March 2026, with more than 887,000 active addresses.
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#TrumpNewTariffs is trending after Donald Trump renewed discussions about imposing new import tariffs if he returns to office. These proposed tariffs are aimed at protecting U.S. industries but could have major effects on global trade and financial markets.
📌 What Are the New Tariffs?
Trump’s new tariff proposals focus on:
Higher duties on Chinese imports
Broad tariffs on selected foreign goods
Stronger “America First” trade policies
The goal, according to his statements, is to reduce the U.S. trade deficit and boost domestic manufacturing.
🌍 Impact on Global Trade
If implemented, these tariffs could:
Increase costs for imported goods
Trigger retaliation from other countries
Disrupt global supply chains
Slow down international trade
Countries that rely heavily on exports to the U.S. may face economic pressure, especially in manufacturing and technology sectors.
📉 Market Reaction
Financial markets tend to react quickly to tariff news:
Stocks of export-based companies may fall
Inflation concerns could rise due to higher consumer prices
The U.S. dollar and commodities could see volatility
Crypto markets may react as investors seek alternative assets
Trade wars in the past have shown that tariffs often lead to short-term uncertainty and market swings.
🏭 Who Benefits and Who Loses?
Potential winners:
U.S.-based manufacturers
Domestic steel and industrial companies
Potential losers:
Import-dependent businesses
Consumers facing higher prices
Exporters hit by counter-tariffs
🧠 Investor Perspective
For investors and traders, #TrumpNewTariffs signals:
Increased geopolitical risk
More market volatility
A need for careful risk management
Importance of watching policy updates closely
Some investors may move toward safe-haven assets during periods of trade tension.
✅ Conclusion
The discussion around #TrumpNewTariffs highlights how political decisions can strongly influence global markets. Whether these tariffs become reality or remain political statements, they have already impacted market sentiment.
As trade policy becomes a central issue again, investors should stay alert and prepare for higher volatility across stocks, commodities, and crypto markets.
Always: Do Your Own Research (DYOR) and manage risk responsibly.
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