cftc

#PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking No more "gray area." No more state-level bans.
Chairman Michael Selig just confirmed: Prediction markets are regulated derivatives, NOT gambling. 🏛️
Why this matters for your bag:
Institutional Money: The big players finally have the green light to enter $POLY and $KALSHI.
Mass Adoption: This isn't just for degens anymore—it’s now "U.S. Regulated Infrastructure." 🇺🇸
Volume Explosion: We just saw a $1.2B day for the Super Bowl. Imagine what happens when every major event is tradeable.
The "Wild West" era is ending. The "Institutional Era" starts now.
Are you long on Prediction Markets? Let me know below! 👇@Binance BiBi

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is making waves in the world of event contracts and prediction platforms. Chairman Michael Selig recently emphasized that these markets fall under federal regulation as legitimate derivatives—not gambling—and the agency is actively defending its exclusive jurisdiction against state challenges.
In recent statements, filings (including amicus briefs in ongoing court cases), and public comments, Selig has made it clear: the CFTC has long overseen these tools, which help hedge risks, provide market insights, and aggregate public predictions on future events.
What this could mean for the space (including platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi):
- Clearer Path for Growth — With federal backing, institutional investors and traditional finance players may feel more comfortable participating, potentially driving more liquidity.
- Reduced State-Level Uncertainty — The pushback against patchwork state bans or restrictions could pave the way for broader, nationwide access under consistent rules.
- Potential Volume Surge — We've already seen massive trading days (think high-stakes events like elections or major sports). Clearer federal clarity could open the floodgates for everyday events to become tradable.
The shift feels like moving from regulatory uncertainty toward a more structured, "institutional-friendly" phase for prediction markets.
What do you think—are you bullish on this sector's future? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
#PredictionMarkets #CFTC #CryptoNews #Polymarket #Kalshi #Derivatives

📅 February 19 - United States | The White House once again brought the crypto industry and the banking sector face to face. In a third closed-door meeting—described by participants as “constructive”—progress was made on the technical and political framework for dealing with yields in stablecoins, one of the last remaining issues to finalize a crypto market structure law.

📖The meeting, which began at 9 a.m. The meeting, which lasted several hours, focused on reconciling two opposing positions: banks argue that allowing direct yields erodes deposits and puts community banks at risk; crypto players maintain that prohibiting such yields would stifle innovation and legitimate use cases.
In practice, the discussion revolves around technical differences (stablecoins as means of payment versus financial products?) and policy differences (how to prevent circumvention of rules through third parties).
The White House has held these sessions with the goal of finding a balance that protects consumers and maintains US competitiveness, but a source familiar with the matter said the intention was to keep participants "until a deal is struck," and that so far they have not succeeded.
On the legislative front, the negotiation directly impacts the draft that divides jurisdiction between the SEC and the CFTC and which still contemplates several amendments: an amendment from the Senate Banking Committee would allow exchanges to offer yield if the user performs certain actions (for example, selling their stablecoins), but would prevent simply holding the currency from generating a return.
Banks, for their part, proposed very broad prohibitive principles against any profit linked to stablecoins, while crypto groups presented more flexible frameworks that include post-enactment studies to measure the effects on bank deposits.
The political context complicates progress: the conflict of interest surrounding those linked to the president continues to influence votes; the Agriculture Committee approved a version without Democratic support due to these tensions.
Even so, voices like Ripple's hope that pressure from the White House will push for a solution before April, and prediction markets have shown fluctuations regarding the likelihood of approval.

Topic Opinion:
If consumer protection is prioritized and anti-evasion safeguards are incorporated, an agreement that allows for responsible innovation is possible.
💬 Do you believe the White House will be able to forge a technical consensus without being swayed by politics?

Leave your comment...
#Stablecoins #yield #SEC #CFTC #CryptoNews $XRP $USDC $USD1

Sometimes darkness can show you the light
We can live in the light
Sometimes darkness can show you the light
We can live in the light
Disturbed - The Light
If you're tired of SEC uncertainty, endless lawsuits, and regulatory FUD — keep an eye on one acronym: CLARITY Act (H.R. 3633). The ice is breaking - White House passed it in July 2025 (294–134), and now the White House + SEC are pushing hard for Senate action.
Why it's a game-changer:
1.Clear division of powers, CFTC takes spot of "digital commodities," SEC handles securities/investment contracts.
2.Stablecoin legalization + rules for yield/rewards.
3.Green light for banks to custody crypto directly, slashing enforcement risks.
Current status (Feb 19, 2026):
Main roadblock: banks vs crypto on stablecoin yield. White House mediated meetings — latest one productive but no deal yet. Deadline for compromise is March 1.
SEC Chair Paul Atkins (Feb 11–12 hearings) said: "I support the CLARITY Act — agency ready to implement immediately upon enactment."
Treasury Sec Scott Bessent (Feb 13): "Pass it this spring to give great comfort to the market."
Prediction markets: Polymarket ~70–77% (spiked to 90% briefly today), Kalshi ~71–85% on passage by June/spring.
If compromise by March 1 and Senate markup/vote in March–April — expect a massive boost like after GENIUS Act in 2025. Could spark 20–50%+ rally in $BTC /$ETH in the following quarter (regulatory risk gone = institutions flood in). But if dragged to summer — bureaucracy wins, especially with midterms looming.
Poll in comments: When do you think it passes?
1️⃣ March — Moon soon! 🌕
2️⃣ Dragged to summer — but it will pass
3️⃣ Pushed to 2027... 😩
#WhenWillCLARITYActPass #CryptoRegulationBattle #SEC #CFTC #Stablecoins