modishan

IRAN OPERATIVES MADE OFFER TO DISCUSS TERMS FOR ENDING WAR: NEW YORK TIMES

🇮🇷🇺🇸
*IRAN INTEL MINISTRY REACHED OUT INDIRECTLY TO CIA: NYT - BBG
*IRAN OPERATIVES MADE OFFER TO DISCUSS TERMS FOR ENDING WAR: NYT
*NYT CITES OFFICIALS BRIEFED ON THE IRANIAN OUTREACH TO THE CIA
*US OFFICIALS SKEPTICAL ABOUT READINESS FOR IRAN OFFRAMP: NYT

#modishan #NewGlobalUS15%TariffComingThisWeek #USIranWarEscalation #USADPJobsReportBeatsForecasts #GoldSilverOilSurge

#EURUSD
Price has done the move I was expecting. It used the Buy Side Liquidity formed through the bearish Order Flow. I doubt now that it will come back just to give me a setup, that is not profitable for the market, that is not what the market wants, and I won’t try to convince myself that it will. The only thing left for me to do, is to let it unfold as it wants to.

I hope we see something interesting in the days to come.
#modishan #NewGlobalUS15%TariffComingThisWeek #StockMarketCrash #USCitizensMiddleEastEvacuation

Services PMI® at 56.1%; February 2026 ISM® Services PMI® Report

Business Activity Index at 59.9%; New Orders Index at 58.6%; Employment Index at 51.8%; Supplier Deliveries Index at 53.9%
TEMPE, Ariz., March 4, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Economic activity in the services sector continued to expand in February, say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest ISM® Services PMI® Report. The Services PMI® registered 56.1 percent, its 20th month in a row in expansion territory.
The report was issued today by Steve Miller, CPSM, CSCP, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Services Business Survey Committee: "In February, the Services PMI® registered a reading of 56.1 percent, an increase of 2.3 percentage points over January's figure of 53.8 percent and the highest since July 2022 (56.5 percent). The Business Activity Index accelerated its expansion in February, registering 59.9 percent, 2.5 percentage points higher than its reading of 57.4 percent recorded in January. The New Orders Index also accelerated its expansion in February, with a reading of 58.6 percent, 5.5 percentage points above January's figure of 53.1 percent. The Employment Index expanded for the third month in a row with a reading of 51.8 percent, a 1.5-percentage point increase from the 50.3 percent recorded in January.
"The Supplier Deliveries Index registered 53.9 percent, 0.3 percentage point lower than the 54.2 percent recorded in January. This is the 15th consecutive month that the index has been in expansion territory, indicating slower supplier delivery performance. (Supplier Deliveries is the only ISM® PMI® Reports index that is inversed; a reading of above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries, which is typical as the economy improves and customer demand increases.)
#modishan #NewGlobalUS15%TariffComingThisWeek #USIranWarEscalation #StockMarketCrash #USCitizensMiddleEastEvacuation

ADP US National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 63,000 Jobs in February; Annual Pay was Up 4.5%

Private sector employment increased by 63,000 jobs in February and pay was up 4.5 percent year-over-year according to the February ADP National Employment Report® produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab ("Stanford Lab"). The ADP National Employment Report is an independent measure of the labor market based on the anonymized weekly payroll data of more than 26 million private-sector employees in the United States. ADP's Pay Insights captures over 15 million individual pay change observations each month. Together, the jobs report and pay insights use ADP's fine-grained data to provide a representative and high-frequency picture of the private-sector labor market.

"We've seen an increase in hiring and pay gains remain solid, especially for job-stayers," said Dr. Nela Richardson, chief economist, ADP. "But with hiring concentrated in only a few sectors, our data shows no widespread pay benefit from changing jobs. In fact, the pay premium for switching employers hit a record low in February."

#modishan #GoldSilverOilSurge #NewGlobalUS15%TariffComingThisWeek #USIranWarEscalation #USADPJobsReportBeatsForecasts

BTC/USD Weekly Outlook

2 March 2026 – 6 March 2026

Fundamental Analysis
This week, Bitcoin will mainly react to:
• US macroeconomic data releases
• Federal Reserve rate expectations
• US Dollar Index movement
• Institutional flows and ETF activity
• Overall global risk sentiment

A stronger US Dollar and tighter liquidity conditions can pressure Bitcoin.
Improving risk appetite and weaker dollar conditions can support upside expansion.
However, we do not trade predictions.
We trade confirmed price action at key levels.

Technical Analysis
(Strictly Based on Nial Fuller Price Action Course Method)
Timeframe: Daily (New York Close)
Latest Market Structure:
• Market previously printed a strong bearish impulse leg
• Lower highs and lower lows structure visible
• Price is currently reacting near key support
• No confirmed bullish structure shift yet
Trend Bias: Bearish until a higher high forms

Key Resistance Levels (Price Action Structure)
72,000 – 75,000
Recent lower high zone and primary selling area.
80,000 – 85,000
Major previous breakdown level.
95,000
Strong higher timeframe resistance.

Key Support Levels (Price Action Structure)
68,000
Immediate daily support under pressure.
60,000
Major psychological and structural support.
55,000
Strong historical demand base.

Price Action Logic
• As long as price continues forming lower highs, bias remains bearish.
• Pullbacks into resistance zones are areas to monitor for bearish price action signals (pin bar, fakey, inside bar break).
• A strong daily close above the most recent lower high is required to shift the bias bullish.
• A confirmed daily close below 68,000 increases the probability of continuation toward 60,000.

No anticipation.
No chasing.
Wait for clear daily confirmation at the structure levels.

Risk Management Rules
• Stop loss must be placed beyond the swing structure.
• Minimum Risk/Reward 1:2, ideally 1:3.
• Fixed percentage risk per trade.

#BTC走势分析 #USCitizensMiddleEastEvacuation #XCryptoBanMistake #modishan #USIsraelStrikeIran

Chandra Asri said to declare force majeure, citing Hormuz

#modishan #USCitizensMiddleEastEvacuation #IranConfirmsKhameneiIsDead #USIsraelStrikeIran #GoldSilverOilSurge

BNB/USD Weekly Outlook
2 March 2026 – 6 March 2026

Fundamental Analysis
This week BNB will primarily react to:
• Overall Bitcoin direction and market correlation
• Binance ecosystem developments
• Exchange-related regulatory headlines
• US macroeconomic data and Federal Reserve expectations
• Global risk sentiment and liquidity conditions

If Bitcoin remains weak, BNB is likely to stay under pressure.
If market liquidity improves and risk appetite strengthens, BNB can expand aggressively.
We do not trade opinions.
We trade confirmed price action.

Technical Analysis
Price Action
Timeframe: Daily (New York Close)

Latest Market Structure:
• Clear lower high structure visible
• Bearish impulse leg from resistance
• Price trading below recent swing high
• No confirmed higher high yet
• Structure remains corrective inside broader pressure
Trend Bias: Bearish until a higher high forms

Key Resistance Levels (Price Action Structure)
650 – 670
Recent lower high zone and primary sell area.
720
Major daily resistance and previous breakdown level
780 – 800
Higher timeframe supply zone.

Key Support Levels (Price Action Structure)
600
Immediate support currently in focus.
520 – 540
Major daily demand zone.
460
Strong structural base from prior expansion phase.

Price Action Logic
• As long as price continues forming lower highs, bias remains bearish.
• Pullbacks into resistance zones are areas to monitor for bearish price action signals (pin bar, fakey, inside bar break).
• A strong daily close above the most recent lower high is required to shift structure bullish.
• A confirmed daily close below 600 increases probability of continuation toward 520 zone.

No prediction.
No guessing.
Wait for confirmation at key levels.

#modishan #BNB_Market_Update #USCitizensMiddleEastEvacuation #USIsraelStrikeIran #GoldSilverOilSurge

XAU/USD Weekly Outlook
2 March 2026 – 6 March 2026

Fundamental Analysis
This week Gold will primarily react to:
• US Dollar Index direction
• US inflation data and economic releases
• Federal Reserve rate expectations
• US bond yields movement
• Global geopolitical risk sentiment
A stronger US Dollar and rising yields can pressure Gold.
A weaker Dollar or falling yields can support bullish continuation.
However, we do not trade headlines.
We trade confirmed daily price action.

Technical Analysis
Timeframe: Daily (New York Close)
Latest Market Structure:
• Clear macro bullish trend (Higher Highs and Higher Lows)
• Strong impulsive expansion previously
• Sharp rejection from spike high
• Market currently consolidating above key higher low
• No confirmed bearish structure break
Trend Bias: Bullish while higher low holds

Key Resistance Levels (Price Action Structure)
5100 – 5150
Immediate lower high inside consolidation.
5450 – 5500
Major spike high and liquidity zone.
Daily close above 5500 confirms bullish continuation.

Key Support Levels (Price Action Structure)
4850 – 4870
Immediate reaction support.
4700 – 4720
Major higher low protection zone.
4450 – 4500
Strong structural higher low base.

Daily close below 4700 signals deeper correction.
Loss of 4450 weakens overall bullish structure.

Price Action Logic
• Market remains bullish while higher lows hold.
• Current movement is consolidation, not confirmed reversal.
• Pullbacks into support are areas to watch for bullish rejection signals (pin bar, inside bar break, fakey).
• A strong daily close above 5500 opens continuation potential.
• A confirmed daily close below 4700 shifts bias toward corrective phase.

No prediction.
No anticipation.
Only reacting to confirmed structure and daily closes.

#GOLD #XAUUSD #USCitizensMiddleEastEvacuation #GoldSilverOilSurge #modishan

First bullish signal was at the bottom we can see we have inter day ema ma cross each other and Prior to that we jad a bullish fvg 2 bullish fvgs which provided us with a clear long setup
2nd we have 3 1hour fixed ranged vps which created fair value
We also could have graded that long bullish candle into quadrants and went of the 0.25% lvl or 0.50% level
Then we had a large 15min wick which was graded into quadrants again
This wick was also in the 3 fair value fixed ranged vp of the 1 hour making a stronger bullish bias to re enter
We also noticed large amounts of buyers stepping in using the anchored vp on the side
The wick was also graded into quadrants a 3rd trade could have been taken at the 0.50% lvl

#XAUUSD #GOLD #modishan #AnthropicUSGovClash #USIsraelStrikeIran

Core wholesale prices rose 0.8% in January, much more than expected
Wholesale prices rose at a faster-than-expected pace in January, countering hopes that inflation was easing, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.
The core producer price index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased a seasonally adjusted 0.8%, more than the 0.6% gain in December and well ahead of the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 0.3%.
On an all-items basis, headline PPI rose 0.5%, also above the forecast for 0.3% and 0.1 percentage point more than the prior month.
For the full year, core wholesale prices accelerated 3.6%, while the headline index posted a 2.9% gain. Both figures are well ahead of the Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation goal and suggest that rising prices are still a factor for the U.S. economy.
Services prices primarily drove the increase, with a 0.8% month increase that was the highest since July 2025. By contrast, goods prices actually fell 0.3%, though core goods prices rose 0.7%.
More than 20% of the increase in services came from margins for professional and commercial equipment wholesaling. On the goods side, energy and food prices both fell while metals prices increased 4.8%.

Trade services prices surged 2.5%, helping boost pressures on wholesale inflation.
The report comes as President Donald Trump has repeatedly insisted that inflation has been tamed. Pipeline pressures as indicated by the PPI figures could keep the Fed cautious as it weighs its next moves on interest rates. Markets largely expect the Fed to stay on the sidelines until the summer, though Trump and other White House officials have pushed for lower rates.

#price #modishan #MarketRebound #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics – Producer Price Index (January 2026)

The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand increased 0.5% in January 2026.
December 2025 recorded a 0.4% rise, and November saw a 0.2% increase.
Over the past 12 months, producer prices rose 2.9%.
The monthly increase was mainly driven by higher service prices.
Final demand services advanced 0.8% in January.
This was the largest services increase since July 2025.
Trade services margins jumped 2.5%.
Professional and commercial equipment wholesaling surged 14.4%.
Transportation and warehousing services rose 1.0%.
Retail categories like apparel and health goods also moved higher.
However, system software publishing prices fell 12.2%.
Guestroom rental and apparel wholesaling also declined.
In contrast, final demand goods decreased 0.3%.
Energy prices dropped 2.7% during the month.
Gasoline prices fell sharply by 5.5%.
Food prices declined 1.5%, including lower egg and fruit prices.
Goods excluding food and energy increased 0.7%.
Navigation and guidance systems jumped 15.5%.
Core PPI (excluding foods, energy, and trade services) rose 0.3%.
Overall, inflation remains moderate but persistent at the producer level.

#StrategyBTCPurchase #modishan #VitalikSells #NVDATopsEarnings #PPI

#EURUSD H1: As long as candles open above 1.1788/98, I keep buying dips..

*But bulls still have to climb above 1.1812 area for a chance to new highs... Let's see..
#modishan #JaneStreet10AMDump #MarketRebound #STBinancePreTGE

UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE WEEKLY CLAIMS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA
In the week ending February 21, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 212,000, an increase of
4,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 206,000 to
208,000. The 4-week moving average was 220,250, an increase of 750 from the previous week's revised average. The
previous week's average was revised up by 500 from 219,000 to 219,500.
The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.2 percent for the week ending February 14,
unchanged from the previous week's unrevised rate. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured
unemployment during the week ending February 14 was 1,833,000, a decrease of 31,000 from the previous week's
revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 5,000 from 1,869,000 to 1,864,000. The 4-week moving
average was 1,847,500, an increase of 3,500 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was
revised down by 1,250 from 1,845,250 to 1,844,000.

#MarketRebound #StrategyBTCPurchase #TrumpNewTariffs #modishan #usd

BNB/USD Weekly Outlook
23 February 2026 – 27 February 2026
Fundamental Analysis
This week BNB will mainly react to:
• Overall Bitcoin direction (strong correlation)
• Binance ecosystem developments
• Exchange-related regulatory news
• Market liquidity and risk sentiment
• US Dollar strength and macroeconomic data
If Bitcoin remains under pressure, BNB is likely to follow.
If market liquidity improves and BTC stabilizes, BNB can show aggressive recovery moves due to exchange-driven demand.
We do not trade headlines.
We trade price action confirmation.
Technical Analysis
(Strictly Based on Price Action Method)
Timeframe: Daily (New York Close)
Latest Structure Overview:
• Market printed a recent lower high
• Bearish momentum leg visible from resistance
• Price trading below short-term dynamic resistance
• Structure currently showing lower highs and lower lows
• No confirmed bullish reversal pattern yet
Trend Bias: Bearish until a clear higher high forms
Key Resistance Levels (Price Action Structure)
650 – 670
Recent lower high zone and rejection area.
720
Major daily resistance and prior breakdown level.
780 – 800
Strong historical supply zone.
Key Support Levels (Price Action Structure)
600
Immediate reaction support currently in focus.
520 – 540
Major daily support and demand zone.
460
Strong structural base from previous expansion phase.
Price Action Logic (Course-Based)
• As long as the market keeps forming lower highs, bias remains bearish.
• Pullbacks into resistance zones are areas to watch for bearish price action signals (pin bar, fakey, inside bar break).
• A strong daily close above the most recent lower high shifts structure toward bullish.
• A confirmed daily close below 600 increases probability of continuation toward 520 zone.
No prediction.
No guessing.
Wait for clean confirmation at key levels.
Structure first.
Signal second.
Execution last.
#bnb #modishan #TrumpNewTariffs #USJobsData #WriteToEarnUpgrade

BTC/USD Weekly Outlook
23 February 2026 – 27 February 2026

Fundamental Analysis
This week Bitcoin will react primarily to:
• US inflation data and macroeconomic releases
• Federal Reserve interest rate expectations
• US Dollar Index movement
• Institutional inflows / ETF activity
• Overall risk sentiment in global markets
If the US Dollar strengthens and risk sentiment weakens, Bitcoin may remain under pressure.
If liquidity improves and risk appetite returns, bullish momentum can expand quickly.
However, we do not trade the news.
We trade confirmed price action.

Technical Analysis
Timeframe: Daily (New York Close)
Latest Structure Overview:
• Clear lower high formation visible
• Recent strong bearish impulse leg
• Price trading below key dynamic resistance
• Market structure currently printing lower highs and lower lows
• No confirmed bullish reversal signal yet

Trend Bias: Bearish until structure shifts

Key Resistance Levels (Price Action Structure)
72,000 – 75,000
Recent lower high zone and strong sell area.
80,000 – 85,000
Previous breakdown level and supply cluster.
95,000
Major daily resistance and prior structural high.

Key Support Levels (Price Action Structure)
68,000
Immediate reaction support currently being tested.
60,000
Major daily support and next downside magnet.
55,000
Strong historical demand zone.

Price Action Logic
• As long as price continues forming lower highs, bias remains bearish.
• Pullbacks into resistance zones are areas to watch for bearish rejection signals (pin bar, fakey, inside bar break).
• A strong daily close above the most recent lower high would be required to shift bias.
• A confirmed daily close below 68,000 increases probability of continuation toward 60,000.

No prediction. No anticipation.
Wait for confirmation at key levels.

Trading is about patience and discipline.
Structure first. Signal second. Execution last.

#BTC☀️ #modishan #TrumpNewTariffs #USJobsData #WriteToEarnUpgrade

📊 BNB/USDT Market Analysis – Technical + Fundamental + Price Action
BNB is currently trading within a structured bullish recovery after defending a key higher-timeframe demand zone. Market structure shows higher lows forming, indicating sustained buying interest.

🕯️ Price Action & Candlestick Structure
🔹 Daily Timeframe:
Strong bullish continuation candles with solid bodies.
Recent bullish engulfing candle near support confirms buyer strength.
Resistance breakout followed by healthy consolidation.
No confirmed bearish reversal pattern yet.
🔹 4H Timeframe:
Range breakout supported by increasing volume.
Higher highs & higher lows intact.
Small upper wicks near resistance indicate minor profit-taking, not trend reversal.

📈 Technical Indicators
Price holding above 50 EMA & 200 EMA → Bullish trend bias.
RSI maintaining strength above mid-zone (55–65), avoiding overbought extremes.
Volume expansion on green candles confirms momentum participation.
Support: Previous breakout zone
Resistance: Recent swing high & psychological resistance level

🌍 Fundamental Outlook
Strong ecosystem growth within the Binance network.
Continuous BNB burn mechanism reducing circulating supply.
Increased on-chain activity and utility within Binance Smart Chain (BSC).
Market sentiment remains correlated with overall crypto liquidity.
BNB’s tokenomics and exchange utility continue to support long-term value proposition.

🎯 Possible Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Continuation:
If BNB sustains above support and prints strong continuation candles → Potential move toward next resistance zone.

🔴 Bearish Pullback:
If a bearish engulfing candle forms below support with strong volume → Possible correction toward lower demand zone.

📌 Conclusion:
Trend structure remains bullish while higher lows hold. Monitor candle closures, volume confirmation, and key breakout levels before entering trades.
⚠️ Always apply proper risk management.
#CPIWatch
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare
#USNFPBlowout
#TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned
#modishan

XAU/USD Weekly Outlook
16 February 2026 – 20 February 2026
Timeframe: Daily (New York Close Model)

Fundamental Focus
• US Dollar direction
• US inflation data (CPI if released)
• Federal Reserve rate expectations
• Bond yields movement
• Global risk sentiment
Gold reacts inversely to sustained USD strength.
However, structure always leads. We trade price action, not headlines.

Technical Analysis
Current Daily Close: 4923
Market Structure:
• Clear macro uptrend (Higher Highs + Higher Lows)
• Strong impulsive expansion into 5500 zone
• Sharp rejection from spike high
• Now forming short-term consolidation
• Price holding above 21 EMA
• No confirmed bearish structure break

Trend Status:
Macro = Bullish
Short-term = Pullback / Compression inside bullish trend

Key Resistance Levels (Structure-Based)
5100 – 5150
Recent lower high cluster after rejection.
This is immediate supply inside consolidation.
5450 – 5500
Major spike high and liquidity zone.
This is the expansion continuation level.
Daily close above 5500 confirms bullish continuation.

Key Support Levels (Structure-Based)
4850 – 4870
Immediate reaction support.
Multiple daily rejections visible here.
4700 – 4720
Strong previous breakout base.
This is the key higher low protection zone.
4450 – 4500
Major structural higher low before impulsive rally.
Loss of this zone weakens overall bullish structure.

Structure Logic (Course-Based)
• Market remains bullish while 4700 holds
• Current movement is consolidation, not reversal
• 5500 is the expansion trigger level
• Clean daily close above 5500 = continuation
• Daily close below 4700 = deeper correction phase
No predictions.
No guessing.
Only reacting to structure, levels, and confirmed closes.
Risk must always be predefined.
Minimum Risk/Reward 1:2 or higher.
Small controlled losses. Large structured winners.
#modishan #GOLD #XAUUSD #CPIWatch #USJobsData

BNB/USD Weekly Outlook
16 February 2026 – 20 February 2026

Fundamental Analysis
This week, the focus for BNB will be on:
• Overall crypto market sentiment (Bitcoin direction impact)
• Binance ecosystem developments
• BNB burn updates (if scheduled)
• Regulatory news related to exchanges
• US Dollar strength and macroeconomic data
BNB is strongly correlated with overall market liquidity.
If Bitcoin remains weak, BNB may also stay under pressure.
If risk appetite improves, BNB can react aggressively due to exchange-driven demand.

Technical Analysis
(Strictly Based on Your Price Action Course Method)
Timeframe: Daily (New York Close Logic)

Market Structure:
• Recent lower high formation
• Bearish momentum after rejection from resistance
• Price trading below short-term dynamic averages
• Overall structure leaning bearish unless higher high forms
Trend = Bearish / Weak Structure

Key Resistance Levels:
Major Daily Resistance: 720
Intermediate Resistance: 650
Lower Resistance / Flip Zone: 600

Key Support Levels:
Current Reaction Support: 520
Major Daily Support: 460
Extreme Support: 400
Price Action Plan (Structure-Based, No Scenario Language)
The market is currently respecting lower highs.
Until a daily close breaks and holds above 650–720 zone with strong bullish structure, bias remains cautious to bearish.
Professional approach:
• Wait for pullback into resistance zones
• Look for rejection candles or false break structures
• Stop loss placed above recent swing high
• Target toward next major support
• Minimum Risk/Reward 1:2, preferably 1:3
If strong bullish daily close forms above major resistance and creates a higher high, only then structure shifts to bullish.

Edge + Discipline + Risk Management = Long-term survival.
#bnb #btc #modishan #OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI
#USNFPBlowout

📊 BTC/USDT Market Analysis – Technical + Fundamental + Price Action
Bitcoin is currently trading within a strong bullish structure after confirming a breakout above key resistance. Market momentum remains positive as higher highs and higher lows continue to form on higher timeframes.

🕯️ Price Action & Candlestick Structure
🔹 Daily Timeframe:
Strong bullish continuation candles with solid bodies.
Previous resistance flipped into support (classic breakout-retest structure).
Bullish engulfing candle confirmed buyer dominance.
No confirmed bearish reversal pattern yet.
🔹 4H Timeframe:
Consolidation breakout supported by increasing volume.
Minor upper wicks near resistance indicate short-term profit taking.
Market structure still intact above key demand zone.

📈 Technical Indicators
Trend remains bullish above 50 EMA & 200 EMA.
RSI holding above mid-level (55–65 zone) showing strength without extreme overbought conditions.
Volume expansion confirms breakout validity.
Support: Previous breakout zone
Resistance: Recent swing high & psychological level

🌍 Fundamental Outlook
Institutional accumulation remains strong.
ETF inflows continue supporting demand.
Exchange reserves declining (supply tightening).
Long-term holders maintaining positions.
Macro liquidity conditions remain a key factor for continuation.

🎯 Possible Scenarios

🟢 Bullish Continuation:

If BTC holds above support and prints strong bullish candles → Potential move toward next resistance zone.

🔴 Bearish Pullback:

If bearish engulfing appears with high volume below support → Possible correction toward lower demand area.

📌 Conclusion:

Trend bias remains bullish while structure holds. Watch candle closes, volume confirmation, and key support levels before entering positions.

⚠️ Trade with proper risk management.

#CPIWatch
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare
#USNFPBlowout
#TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned
#modishan

BTC/USD Weekly Outlook
16 February 2026 – 20 February 2026

Fundamental Analysis
This week the market focus will be on:
• US economic data releases (CPI, Retail Sales if scheduled)
• Interest rate expectations and US Dollar strength
• Institutional Bitcoin inflow/outflow data
• ETF flow updates
• Overall global risk sentiment
If the US Dollar strengthens, Bitcoin may remain under pressure.
If risk-on sentiment returns, short covering and relief rallies are possible.
However, we do not trade the news.
We trade price action.

Technical Analysis
(Strictly Based on My Price Action Course Method)
Timeframe: Daily (New York Close logic)
Market Structure:
• Clear lower high formation
• Recent lower low printed
• Strong bearish momentum
• Price trading below 8 EMA and 21 EMA
• Trend = Bearish

Key Resistance Levels:
95,000
110,000
120,000

Key Support Levels:
68,000 (current reaction level)
60,000 (major daily support)

However:
The overall trend remains bearish.
Selling rallies at resistance remains the safer approach
until market structure breaks and forms a higher high.

Professional Trading Mindset
• Do not chase price
• Do not trade emotionally
• Wait for confirmation
• Small losses, large wins
• Define risk before entry

Trading is a business.
Losses are the cost of doing business.
Edge + Risk/Reward discipline = Long-term survival.

#modishan #BTC #USNFPBlowout
#USRetailSalesMissForecast #OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI