Title: ETF Outflows vs Bitcoin Rebound — Real Recovery or Dead Cat Bounce?

Institutional investors are pulling money out of ETFs at a significant pace. From November–December last year to January 2026, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs alone saw around $3 billion in net outflows. Major players like BlackRock, Fidelity, and Grayscale all faced heavy redemptions recently.

Yet, amid this, BTC surged 11% on Friday, climbing back to around $70,400. The big question now: Is this the start of a sustainable recovery or just a short-term bounce?

Data to note:

· Glassnode suggests BTC is still in a "Bear Phase"

· Current price (~$69,273) remains well below the 200-day MA (~$87,256), indicating a longer-term downtrend

· Polymarket traders are pricing in a 54% probability that BTC hits $75,000 by the end of February

What to watch next:

1. Whether ETF outflows slow down or stabilize

2. Broader macro factors: Fed policy, geopolitical tensions, tech earnings

3. Liquidity conditions returning to the crypto market

What’s your take? Is this the last support before another drop or the beginning of a real reversal?

Share your thoughts below! 👇

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