#BankOfAmerica
📉 Bitcoin Trapped: Why Bank of America's Forecast Threatens a Crypto Market Crash?
While Bitcoin Bulls Hope for a "Home Moon," Bank of America (BofA) Analysts Have Issued a Serious Warning. The Crypto Market Could Face a $1 Billion Liquidation Cascade, and the Reason Isn't Crypto, but the Behavior of Large Institutions.
🔍 Main Thesis: The Death of the "Digital Gold" Narrative
Bitcoin Used to Be Seen as a Hedge. Today, It's the "Liquid Beta" of the Tech Sector. It Correlates with the Nasdaq at 0.35–0.6 and Amplifies (Amplifies) Stock Market Falls on Bad Days.
Why Is It Dangerous Now?
• Expensive Stocks: The S&P 500 Is Overvalued in 18 of 20 Metrics. BofA expects a "multiplier squeeze" (stocks will become cheaper even with earnings growth).
• Software crisis: The software sector has already fallen by 20% since the beginning of the year. When investors flee IT, they are the first to sell crypto as the most volatile asset.
• ETF effect: Now the outflow of big money from crypto is instantaneous. The outflow from the Bitcoin-ETF in February has already amounted to more than $1.3 billion.
📅 Three dates that will determine the fate of BTC:
1. February 25 — Nvidia report. If the forecasts for AI disappoint, the tech sector will drag BTC to the bottom.
2. March 11 — Inflation data (CPI). "Hot" numbers will force the Fed to keep high rates longer.
3. March 17-18 — Fed meeting. A signal of slowing policy easing is a sentence for assets without cash flow (which is $BTC ).
