BTC$BTC is still struggling to break above the $70K zone, while smart money appears to be rotating into hard assets like gold, silver, and strong stocks such as Meta. Rising inflows into these assets suggest investors are positioning early for the next leg of the bull cycle
Ongoing U.S.–Iran tensions and key macro data like PCE and GDP reports continue to shape market sentiment. Precious metals remain strong, and if conditions stay favorable, new highs could be ahead. Traders are also exploring opportunities through Bitget’s CFD New User Carnival, which offers a $1,000 USDT reward pool for completing trading tasks.
🚨 BTC$BTC Short Term Holders Are Capitulating Again
The latest Entity Adjusted Short Term Holder Net Realized Profit and Loss data reveals a decisive shift in positioning. Realized losses have surged deep into negative territory, matching historical capitulation clusters seen at prior cycle inflection points. When short term holders aggressively lock in losses, it reflects stress driven distribution rather than strategic profit taking
This metric historically marks transitional phases. Extreme red spikes tend to emerge near local bottoms where weak hands exit and stronger balance sheets absorb supply. The magnitude of the current drawdown suggests forced selling pressure rather than organic trend rotation
Price is now compressing while realized losses expand. That divergence often precedes volatility expansion. If selling exhaustion materializes, supply overhang clears quickly and reflexive upside can follow
In every major cycle, panic from short term holders has been the fuel for the next structural move. The question now is whether this is late stage capitulation or the start of a deeper liquidity event.
🔥 Key Bitcoin Macro Week: Tariffs, Earnings & Inflation (Feb 23-27)
Monday kicks off with Donald Trump's remarks potentially sparking tariff speculation impacting trade and market risk sentiment. Tuesday (Feb 24) brings the Consumer Confidence Index, an early gauge of household expectations and spending
Wednesday (February 25) is the main event: Nvidia reports earnings. AI investment remains its structural driver, but valuation and guidance will reveal whether this momentum can persist
Thursday (February 26) brings initial jobless claims data, revealing labor market trends as investors watch for signs of market cooling. Friday (February 27) brings Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data, a precursor to overall price pressures and Fed policy considerations
Adding complexity, multiple Fed speakers will comment on monetary policy—remarks that often carry as much weight as the data itself in influencing markets
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