XRP remains under pressure as macro uncertainty and weak market structure weigh on the asset.
The token has dropped 26% in 2026 and about 54% over the past six months, trading around $1.34. On-chain data shows roughly 36.8 billion XRP — nearly 60% of the circulating supply — is currently held at a loss, representing about $50.8 billion in unrealized losses. This large group of underwater investors may create selling pressure whenever the price approaches their entry levels.
XRP is also trading below its realized price of about $1.44, meaning the average holder is still in loss territory. Indicators like SOPR and NUPL remain negative, confirming the market has not yet exited a loss phase.
At the same time, institutional demand and market participation are weakening. XRP investment products saw notable outflows, open interest in derivatives has fallen to the lowest level since early 2025, and aggressive sell orders currently dominate order flow.
Lower trading volume and reduced wallet activity on exchanges suggest thinner liquidity, making the market more sensitive to sudden price moves. Overall, XRP can still rally, but it will require strong new demand to absorb the large supply from holders waiting to exit at better prices.
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