Trump-Iran relations are becoming more shaky than most people realise.
Tehran rejects a ceasefire. The Strait of Hormuz is well-contained. Officials increasingly doubt Washington can end the war.
The US now chooses between difficult options, not favourable ones.
Continue striking. Weeks of sustained activities are straining resources. Iran apparently charges enormous fees for passage through Hormuz during the disruption. This turns from a military war into an economic drain as it continues. It prolongs strife.
Second option: pressured negotiations. Iran has more leverage due to its control over a key oil chokepoint and indicators of trade activity outside the currency system. Late deadlines and slow answers have hurt the US. Now, talks are driven more by necessity than strength.
Path three: escalate. Risk extends beyond the region. Energy markets react as volatility rises. A wider escalation might involve more actors and turn a localised conflict into a global one.
Situation structure has altered. Weeks ago, control was a concern. It's now about restrictions.
No clean exit, only trade-offs that get worse with time.
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