another issue

Saxo Bank's Chief Investment Strategist, Charu Chanana, has commented on the recent failure of U.S.-Iran negotiations, describing it as a setback. According to Jin10, this development suggests that previous easing trades might dissipate, potentially leading to a rise in oil prices and a renewed impact on risk sentiment. The Strait of Hormuz remains a significant chokepoint risk, even if it is not completely closed.

Chanana noted that the substantial differences in positions between the two parties on nuclear safeguards and the Strait of Hormuz issues make this outcome unsurprising. For the U.S. dollar, this situation could mean a resurgence of safe-haven support, although a full-scale surge is unlikely unless there is a new military escalation.

Gold might benefit from renewed geopolitical hedging demand, but the market is not expected to revert to the worst-case inflation shock scenario.