Bitcoin descending channel se breakout kar raha hai, lekin yeh breakout real nahi ho sakta (bull trap).
Simple baat:
Big investors (whales) chahte hain ke log abhi buy karein, taa ke baad me unko loss me sell karna pade.
Short term me Bitcoin 79k–80k tak ja sakta hai, lekin meri nazar me yeh sell ya short karne ka best chance hai.
Bear market status:
61% complete (61 / 100)
Mujhe lagta hai ke Bitcoin ka final bottom September ya October 2026 me ban sakta hai.
Yeh trap kyun lag raha hai?
Elliott Wave theory ke mutabiq market aksar ABC pattern follow karti hai:
Wave A → ho chuki hai (jab breakout hua)
Wave B → ab chal rahi hai (temporary uptrend)
Wave C → abhi aani baqi hai (final dump)
Wave C me usually:
Market me panic hota hai
Log heavily loss me sell karte hain
Badi news aati hai (jaise collapse ya hacks)
Example: last time FTX exchange collapse hua tha.
Abhi tak aisi koi badi negative news nahi ayi, is liye mujhe lagta hai real bottom abhi nahi aya.
Important level:
👉 44k = strong support
Yeh level important hai kyunki yeh volume profile ka strong zone (Point of Control) hai weekly chart par.
Final opinion:
Abhi log optimistic hain
Main cautious hoon
Mujhe lagta hai yeh ek trap hai
Real bottom abhi aana baqi hai
